"The_Donald - Politics =FatPeopleHate + TheRedPill + Coontown", and other fun equations. Brought to you by your friendly neighborhood Fox.

0  2017-03-23 by Hellkyte

So Five Thirty Eight is Nate Silvers fairly famous stats site that does pretty decent analyses of all sorts of stuff. Although they also miscalled the election they had by far one of the most conservative edges for Clinton in their model.

Anyways, they just published something that does a pretty neat/detailed analysis of The_Donald, and it has a lot of (unsurprisingly) inflammatory implications.

Here's the article:

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dissecting-trumps-most-rabid-online-following/?utm_source=fark&utm_medium=website&utm_content=link&ICID=ref_fark

And here are all the more places it's being discussed, sorted by controversial. So far DataIsBeautiful is the most drama filled thread, but given time the others could properly blossom:

DataIsBeautiful

Technology

TD

TrueReddit

Ed: /u/phedre also dropped a link in UncensoredNews, which was one of the other 5 subs most closely linked to TD by the article. Seems like it caught a few folks in there as well, but not too much interesting yet.

12 comments

n/a  hugefuckingfaggot2 2017-03-23

So Five Thirty Eight is Nate Silvers fairly famous stats site that does pretty decent analyses of all sorts of stuff

yeah. i remember when predicted hillary clinton win.

n/a  Hellkyte 2017-03-23

They definitely missed that one, but they still had the most conservative margin of all the major outlets.

n/a  riemann1413 2017-03-23

28% for a Trump win. i was actually just talking to a blithering retard about it this morning. iirc, he got the popular vote margin spot on, but failed to predict WI/PA/MI flipping like they did

his model is super interesting, and i really liked reading about its day to day movements. my biggest mistake was thinking he was overly bullish on Trump and underestimating Hillary's GOTV, lol.

n/a  Prince_Kropotkin 2017-03-23

538 looked terrible in the primaries with their stupid Trump posts but they weren't too unreasonable w.r.t the general.

n/a  riemann1413 2017-03-23

yeah, they were fucking stupid for basing their GOP primary forecasts on "Well i think Trump is like... a 2%?"

n/a  Prince_Kropotkin 2017-03-23

Harry Enten even wrote a negative chance of Trump winning the primary...

https://i.kinja-img.com/gawker-media/image/upload/s--VnzBcybo--/c_scale,fl_progressive,q_80,w_800/npoz85yrzlvzrn56lfau.jpg

n/a  riemann1413 2017-03-23

lol that's ridiculous. gj harry.

n/a  CucksLoveTrump 2017-03-23

tbf I made a pretty penny last football season using his predicted margins. Things like Elo don't really translate well into political modelling

n/a  riemann1413 2017-03-23

yeah, i think if you just take the Silver line on most sports bets you end up ahead over a long enough term.

and i really do think he did a good job on the election. i mean just because something does happen, doesn't mean it was likely to happen

n/a  SnapshillBot 2017-03-23

No wonder you have an army of pretentious neckbeard losers following you around

Snapshots:

  1. This Post - archive.org, megalodon.jp, ceddit.com, archive.is*

  2. https://fivethirtyeight.com/feature... - archive.org, megalodon.jp, archive.is*

  3. https://www.reddit.com/r/dataisbeau... - archive.org, megalodon.jp, ceddit.com, archive.is*

  4. https://www.reddit.com/r/technology... - archive.org, megalodon.jp, ceddit.com, archive.is*

  5. https://www.reddit.com/r/The_Donald... - archive.org, megalodon.jp, ceddit.com, archive.is*

  6. https://www.reddit.com/r/TrueReddit... - archive.org, megalodon.jp, ceddit.com, archive.is*

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n/a  HodorTheDoorHolder 2017-03-23

That parallax was startling to see

n/a  hoponthathighhorse 2017-03-23

Fat black bitches voted for Hillary lul

n/a  sonicaficionado 2017-03-23

thanks for the nice and well thought out post kyte. I liked the little history and run down diddily doo on the site. smooches xx