He is going to play the retard and say shit like "oh no I'm going to lose guys :(" so that your average Norman decides not to vote him out because "drumpf is going to lose anyway". 2d chess

My title was better but I'm not an approved submitter 😭.

This should generate good drama. I'm sure /r/politics will respond rationally and calmly.

22 minutes ago, and already three awards. The leftoids at r/politics sure like spending their parents money on imaginary shit.

/r/politics/new has this about 100 times.

Of course it does. At this point, I think he’s just feeding of their hate.

So do I tbh

But will auto mod anything remotely against the narrative as already submitted

money on imaginary shit.

Sweaty please.

We all know they spend a lot of it on funko pops.

And they certainly don't spend it on paying rent!

Why would they gift a fucking repost of a news article? It's not like the OP created content or anything, they literally just linked a news article.

I really hope I don't catch the brainworms that reddit spreads.

r/politics is so hilariously unhinged.

Here they are taking umbrage at Daddy for capitalizing on the "mostly peaceful protests" that have been happening for like 2 months now:

https://www.reddit.com/r/politics/comments/i0jpsh/donald_trumps_campaign_is_pretending_theres_no/

"Why!?!? Why won't Daddy run on his weak points instead of against our weak points?!? How dare he!"

As if anyone with half a brain couldn't see that the unflinching, uncritical support for rioting and looting wasn't a political gift to El Trumpo Grande.

Daddy always knew how to make people mad in 260 characters or less.

He wants to lose, he hates being president, you can tell.

[deleted]

Maybe his next suggestion should be to up the character maximum.

Only for his account though

Daddy gets two scoops 😍

Distraction fron that nearly 10% gdp hit. Suggesting something the most conservative scotus wouldn't let happen in a thousand years, yet will absolutely dominate the narrative the next few days.

Pants on head retarded, no doubt. Unfortunately it is matched by the retardedness of the other adults in the room.

Yeah, he’s spinning the narative away from the GDP, and they don’t even realize it.

Yeah, he’s spinning the narrative away from the GDP, and they don’t he doesn't even realize it.

FTFY

You mean daddy is the only person capable of outsmarting daddy? He’s two steps ahead of himself?

woah

Damn, he really manipulated the media by changing the narrative from "Economic growth slows down during global health crisis" to "Sitting President floats the idea of delaying elections indefinitely"

Good thing he still has other moves like "reveal a pro-choice stance", "push for stricter gun control", and "increase taxes" in his "distractions that won't make me bleed moderates" pile.

Maybe next time he has some mildly negative coverage he can come out as an atheist. That will definitely give the media something to talk about and will have no other consequences whatsoever.

I'm waiting for CNN to drone on trying to analyze a random anime gif from him

We're in the middle of a pandemic, are you willing to accept all the deaths your "freedom to die of covid" elections will cost this country?

Pretty hard to justify pushing for schools to reopen while simultaneously declaring the situation too dangerous to hold elections 🤔🤔🤔

Children are much more resilient than voters.

And those children don't get shipped off to a parallel dimension when the school year starts. They interact with teachers, custodial and administrative staff, and their families.

The conservatard wheel of political spin has a few screws loose it seems.

Teachers can wear masks. It worked for protestors.

Voters can wear masks.

Just admit you're simpin for donnie

Masks choke voters

Voters can wear masks, you wonderful genius.

Masks restrict voter respiration.

It's a good thing children don't live with adults. Otherwise they could bring the virus home to them.

Parents can quarantine children in the backyard.

I believe Daddy's point is that he'd rather consider canceling elections rather than have mail-in voting, which he has spoken out against many times. He would be fine with in-person elections, but COVIDcels are against it because we need muh eternal lockdown.

Of course, he worded it much less eloquently than I.

I think his point is that he'd rather cancel an election he might lose instead of having it and risk humiliation.

Only the weak will die anyways

Shit, it makes some people hella strong. You never know.

Yet you brought it up and the top comment on the megathread brought up the gdp

I’m talking about the media companies, CNN has got it on their front page since he made the tweet.

ddf coping on boomer droppings

Drop the hammer on all the coup plotters, pedos, and criminals in Congress. 75%+ of them are going to end up in trouble with the law.

He probably won't. That'll all come after he wins reelection most likely

Literally more delusional than /r/politics. Impressive.

I just got banned there for trolling that big ass q anon thread again after repeated warnings

F

The beauxmers lost a real one. 😔

Thank u for ur sacrifice moran

screens or stfu

Wow, he exudes this aura of masculine confidence. We won so much that we're just getting tired of winning.

FourMoreMonths

This guy is such a baiter.

He's basically getting MSM to campaign for him by making sure they amplify his "concern" to the level necessary for Trumpists to mobilize.

The whole "I'm in trouble" shtick is a ruse.

Yes, it's not that he's consistently been doing badly in the polls for 4 years, nothing he does is helping, and he's in a panic now. It's actually 4D chess!

Voting mobs is what counts.

Reddit snickering, counts not.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/national/

Holy shit, given the response to this it seems /r/Drama really is filled with innumerate brainlets.

Yeah this sub is dumb as fuck sometimes, lol.

Remember how well those polls did in 2016?

Polling, especially online is flawed. It almost always favours the left-wing parties. Not to mention that there was some research recently in which 70% of conservatives said that they’re afraid to make their political affiliations known.

National polls were spot on in 2016 you dumb cunt. It was only state polls that were that inaccurate, and there is no way around this, an 8 point polling deficit is bad. Hillary only had a lead that big for a few weeks.

Your momma’s a dumb cunt for letting you on the internet without supervision.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/national-polls/

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

538 had Clinton at a 5 point lead. And her odds at 71%.

Everyone knows something with a 29% chance can't happen!!!!

No one has ever flipped a coin and had it land on heads 2 times in a row!!

God, no wonder rightoids lose their jobs to illegals.

TIL the election was a random coin toss and not a mass collective of people's conscious decisions

A child's understanding of predictive modeling right here.

Good job.

yes, i did correctly identify your post as such.

good job

it was nothing, really

No u.

There. We reached the logical conclusion of this conversation.

bruh you know you made it seem like the election was determined via a coin toss by Allah xerself

I was explaining how percents and probability work to rightoids.

You know very well anything beyond flipping a coin would be too complicated for them to grasp.

I mean look at you right now. Having trouble grasping what an analogy is.

i know what a bad analogy is

and thats why i replied lol

I look forward to your research paper on the intricacies of predictive modeling in your next comment.

it's coming out about a week after yours about the benefits of daily dilation

Anything can technically happen, but is it likely to happen. And with 29% you’re not really placing too much of a possibility on it actually happening.

LOL.

Almost a third of a chance isn't likely?

That's nonsense. If you had a third of a chance of getting injured doing something, would you do it?

Depends on the injury.

Clearly you already have brain damage, so this shouldn't come as shock.

Russian roulette only has a 16.7% chance of killing you. If 29% is almost zero chance, 16.7% must be literally impossible! You should try it tonight!

I hear if you play it 6 times by yourself it can really be fun!

I never said it’s immpossible you snarky dumbass, I said that it’s unlikely. When discussing probabilities, a 30% probability is considered to be low, especially when discussing elections, due to the calculations which are performed.

30% is 30% you dumbass.

Doesn't matter if it's an election or a fucking dice roll. It's the same god damn chance, which is pretty high.

It'll literally happen 3 out of 10 times.

It matters idiot, due to the way it’s calculated. 538 has a whole segment on the way they do it, read up a bit.

In which universe is 3 out of 10 times considered high? And no it won’t literally happen 3/10 times.

The probability of getting a 1 on a dice roll is technically 1/6, but try rolling the dice 6 times and see what you get.

Holy shit...

Your understanding of statistics is literally below that of a 4th grader. This is astounding.

And no it won’t literally happen 3/10 times.

On average, it will happen 3 out of 10 times. that is the expected value.

For the dice, the expected value is 1 out of 6 times. Rolling 3 ones on six rolls doesn't prove that wrong.

538 has a whole segment on the way they do it, read up a bit.

It's extremely obvious you are confusing polling in the 30% range to the models predicting a 30% chance to win. If Trump was polling in the 30% range, he would have a 100% chance to lose. They are two completely different things. You do understand that right?

The expected value doesn’t necessarily correlate with the actual results.

No you fucking retard, I’m talking about their forecasting model for predicting the voting results, not about the polling numbers.

The expected value doesn’t necessarily correlate with the actual results.

It should with a large enough sample size.

That's what you don't seem to get Nate Silver is literally just saying with these polling numbers based on historical results, we would expect Trump to win this % of the time.

And a 30% is not low at all. It's roughly equivalent to being down 8 points at halftime in a basketball game.

https://imgur.com/RS2pmss

Key word “should”.

Also, comparing the probabilities of a basketball game and a presidential election don’t really make sense. Technically it’s the same probability, but not really.

Just admit that statistics confuse you

Also, comparing the probabilities of a basketball game and a presidential election don’t really make sense. Technically it’s the same probability, but not really.

It's the same. Probability is probability.

It sounds like you are complaining that basketball has a higher sample size, while Nate Silver's model does not.

A model is only as good as the data put into it. Maybe Nate Silver's model is flawed, but Trump winning with a projected 30% chance doesn't prove that. We have no way of knowing. So people who say that Nate Silver's model was wrong because Trump won are idiots.

We do know form all the congressional races and governor races that Nate Silver's models are fairly accurate.

It’s not the same due to all the different variables which can potentially impact the election and the ones that can impact a basketball game.

Let me ask you this, you keep saying that 30% is a really high chance; would you put all of your life savings and everything you own on a bet that has a 30% probability of you winning?

Let me ask you this, you keep saying that 30% is a really high chance; would you put all of your life savings and everything you own on a bet that has a 30% probability of you winning?

Depends on the odds, obviously.

But a better example would be, if you took a bet that was 50/50 for even odds, and it sank to 30% odds, would you give up hope? if it went up to 70% would you get cocky, or would you still be worried?

I'm not saying 30% is high. I'm saying it's not low. You wouldn't be surprised if something with a 30% chance happened.

30% probability with 5 to 1 odds, just like Trump had. Would you make that bet?

I probably would give up.

30% probability with 5 to 1 odds, just like Trump had. Would you make that bet?

I wouldn't bet my life savings on it, because I'm not one to take risks or gamble in general, but if the Vegas odds were 5 to 1 and Nate Silver's model was projecting a 30% chance to win, I'd certainly choose that side of the odds.

Interesting.

On a serious note. Who do you think will win this year?

If polls hold, Biden.

Still a lot of time though. If the economy and COVID get under control Trump could see a surge.

But I suspect it would also require something like the Comey memo a week before the election. Bill Barr seems to be willing to bullshit something like that up, so we will see.

But regardless,, Trump has an uphill battle solely because Biden simply just isn't hated as much as Hillary or he is.

Yeah, I think if the economy and pandemic get somewhat better it might be a tight squeeze in Trump’s favor.

I just hope there’ll be debates, that’ll be a goldmine for this sub.

Yeah. I'm interested too. There was been very little back and forth between the two candidates so far. Trump really hasn't been attacking Biden very much.

I think he's having a tough time finding something that sticks. With Hillary it was a lot easier. People would believe anything about her.

True.

And with 29% you’re not really placing too much of a possibility on it actually happening.

Uhhhh what?

literally what are you talking about now you sound legitimately tarded

Rightoids can't do math exhibit 12384743930

Cope

Rightoid: A 29% chance will never happen!

Also Rightoid: Can't wait to spend $50 on scratchers tonight!

Seethe

You got trounced

This has already been posted in this very thread

45.7-41.8 = 3.9 5

Most of the adjusted polls had her at 5 points.

Our model is mostly based on state polls

Lmao you linked sources that proves the other guy right you dum dum hahahahahahahahahah

And what does it say below that? Do they maybe adjust it for the national level?

Yikes imagine using the downvote button because you're that mad that you're a dum dum

Imagine calling others a dum dum and not reading that even though it’s based on state polls, that it’s adjusted for the national level.

Also, I didn’t downvote you. You are aware that there are other people using this site?

Not to mention that there was some research recently in which 70% of conservatives said that they’re afraid to make their political affiliations known.

Conservatives are pussies confirmed

https://e.huffpost.com/pollster/share/2016-general-election-trump-vs-clinton.png?1490979763

Anything Huffpost says should be disregarded on sight.

https://i.imgur.com/CIT1SNv.png

The actual fuck are those folders? I geninuely hope you included those just to troll cause jesus christ

The "Blood (other)" is especially disconcerting

The funny one is the last one. After all that stuff you finally get a folder that says "Gross Stuff," LOL.

Came here to say this

Hand-holding folder

Good shit right there

Degenerate

That’s chance of winning lol, not the actual poll figures. Winning with a 30% chance of winning could just mean you were down 1-2% in the polls.

I know you’re not that dumb.

That wasn't on the first page of results so I posted the wrong thing to do the bookmark joke. The actual graphs are on your side but you still have the wrong sexual orientation.

They still show 49 Hilldawg - 41 Trump in August. with 8 percent for Gary Johnson. The winner is not certain yet.

Actually

cope seethe dilate have sex

hes going to drop out any day now

increasingly nervous man

Oh no not the polls!

https://imgur.com/8HnT78H

This never gets old.

I think it might be an Ed original TBH, I got to keep his spirit living on.

These streets have taken too many dramatards from us. 2019 was especially rough.

What happened to Ed in the end? There’s no way he had the mental restraint to just stop posting

It seems he has semi-retired and now spents most of his time shitposting on GOT subreddits, of all places.

Such a disappointing end to Ed's story, just like the show he constantly shit posts about.

I will miss his interactions with grandpa tick tock and how Ed and Circo used make each other seethe so hard while always pretending they were the calm one.

He came back but we scared him away.

Who cares, Ed was just another gimmickposter among others.

Honestly would pick him over most modern day dramatards, you included, you massive f slur

Thanks, it means alot to me

uwu

Ed angered numerous people just by existing. The amount of spergouts he caused was top tier, he was a once in a generation dramatard and will go down as an all time great

😴😴😴

Ed is all around in the dark. He's everywhere, wherever you look. Wherever there's a fight so bored people have lolcows, he's there. Wherever there's an Iowa boomer reporting a guy, he's there. He's in the way guys 😴😴😴 when they're not impressed. He's in the way kids laugh when they know there's a Marsey coming.

God bless his heart I miss his suspiciously agenda oriented snooze posting

He’s spinning the narative away from the bad GDP numbers, and they’re all just eating it up.

Classic daddy.

Except here we are talking about both the shit GDP numbers and his retarded election comments. 200iq

And what do you think the news is going to focus on?

Probably both, you god damn idiot. Where the fuck do you think you heard about the GDP numbers in the first place?

Or they’ll probably focus mainly on the tweet, instead of the GDP numbers, as they’re already doing. Look at CNNs frontpage, fucktard.

Literally everyone (with money) is looking at the GDP numbers lol. I'm ngl, this tweet just sticks out as another retarded thing our resident retard has said. Where's that okayretard.jpg?

Trump tweets stick around for a week or two. GDP numbers are here until the end of the year.

4D chess!

Both. This will be in the news for a couple weeks, then the GDP hit and coronavirus numbers will surge back because neither of those will be going away anytime soon. The same thing that's happened with every other flash-in-the-pan Trump event over the past few months.

Oh, yeah, spinning the narrative away from something everyone already knew by saying shit that will drive more Democrats to the booths while further alienating moderates and fence-sitters. Genius!

I think he just says random shit and things end up working out . That or people end up not caring because it's either vote for him or let the MA'AM burn down their house for the black people.

It's less 4D chess and more likely a magical toupee which he bought from one of those 1980's movie NY chinese merchants.

Imagine being Donald Trump and your ineptitude doesn't matter at all because your enemies are so fucking retarded that they ended up working for you.

He's got a lucky rabbits foot on his key ring

On his cock ring, the last thing capable of maintaining his erection.

Daddy is a reincarnation of the God of Luck.

You don't have to be a chess master to be able to predict exactly how the liberal media is gonna react to you in every circumstance, though. They're painfully predictable.

They're painfully predictable.

That's the best part.

The eagerness with which they go for it, from any angle imaginable, it's really amazing.

The Man versus the Ma'am.

i wonder if he wishes he was as smart as people say he is

No way, why would he wish something like that? He already knows that he's a very stable genius.

Trump: says some retarded shit

Rightoids: ackshually what he meant is genius

It must be exhausting spending all day defending every dumb thing he says.

Saying someone made a good tactical move in the context of the game played does not mean you defend the guy who made the move.

You need dial down your over-socialized bullshit.

Imagine having a fanbase that's so fickle that you have to whine like a bitch in order to get them to vote for you lol

Hey, dont hold back, man...

🤔

a good tactical move in the context of the game played

LMAO goddamn

Unironic 5dchessposting, never thought I'd see it.

tactical

Get the fuck out, lmao.

Just because he traded queens in chess with uncle joe doesn't undo the fact that daddy donald is still down a dozen pieces, conservalarp

Listen, I cannot wait for the debates bc Biden is even worse than Hillary.

If you thought "you'll be in jail" was petty, you haven't seen anything yet.

/r/drama will link up to at least 5 SRD meltdowns daily

/r/politics will explode

It will be glorius.

I just wanna see two senior citizens fight why do I have to watch them try to debate reeeee

Dementia can cause violent behavior, there is no guarantee the debates won't devolve into a brawl on air.

He may even go so far as to lose the election so that the media will talk about his loss instead of Biden's win.

Holy smokes... /r/politics is leaking lmao

As a white man, I dont care who wins elections.

can you teach me to be this based?

[removed]

It-It's just part of the plan, guise...

This guy is such a baiter.

And that tweet is such obvious bait. Some big "fish" is going to bite with a "we can do both (hold the election and secure the mail-in vote)" and Trump's going to respond with a "that's what I've been saying about preventing covid and reopening the schools/economy."

Quite literally the end of Democracy apparently

Jesse Pinkman weighs in

oh god oh fuck. I must post to r /AskTrumpSuppprters askimg them of how they think of this

BRB

God dammit I wish I could throw out random shit on twitter and do these things. I hope he just shitposts on twatter for the rest of his days and everyone has a meltdown. I wish he would post like a day later with "haha trolled" just for the responses.

With Universal Mail-In Voting (not Absentee Voting, which is good)

I don't know why this interjection is so funny to me.

That's the good mail

Absentee voting is very legal and very cool

Imagine trying to make people believe that these are different things and people are so retarded that it works.

ACA vs Obamacare again. Except now in ONE idiotic tweet.

[removed]

DADDY NOOOOOOO! WE CANT DELAY THE VOTERINOS!!!!!

He couldn't delay without house approval anyway. Of course various retards will take the bait and think it's the apocalypse regardless.

what a fucking idiot, even the conservative sub is saying as much

Anyone remember when reddit was seething over the Wisconsin governor not being able to delay the supreme court election a few months ago?

https://www.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/fwa0sf/wisconsin_supreme_court_blocks_order_to_postpone

https://www.reddit.com/r/politics/comments/fw8qqp/wisconsin_election_back_on_for_tuesday_in_the

Imagine thinking that's in any way comparable to the US presidential election. 🙄

Cope.

That's because those roids thought they were going to win

There were very many angry leftoids even so far as calling holding an election during a pandemic murder. Surely they will remain ideologically consistent and maintain that holding a presidential election during a pandemic amounts to murder.

Delay it by 45 minutes.

Imagining a person who bankrupt casinos being able to keep an economy from not tanking bigly.

Trump suggests the US should 'Delay the Election' — something he does not have the power to do

So, uh...

Maybe that's why he's suggesting it.

Alex Jones was right all along we own him a big apology.