Think it might be time for me to retire.
1 2021-03-13 by adminsare55IQ
I just hit basically peak rightoid delusion and doubt I'll ever have anyone top it.
Just had a guy call a mathematical formula "partisan." I don't think it gets any better than that.
147 comments
1 justcool393 2021-03-13
i see you're already back
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
I never left.
1 thenortheastface 2021-03-13
What's your favorite toppings?
And do you have any particular dislikes?
1 WarSanchez 2021-03-13
See you in 2 weeks
1 thenortheastface 2021-03-13
https://imgur.com/a/tmRgSPY
1 thenortheastface 2021-03-13
Three years ago
1 Apprehensive-Quote83 2021-03-13
Daily reminder that đ will be the last active đ´ââ ď¸ drama User when reddit finally shuts down.
1 UpvoteIfYouDare 2021-03-13
You get way too worked up over internet shit, and this is coming from someone who already takes the internet too seriously.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
Oh I'm not worked up, I just don't see ever encountering something this dumb again.
This is literally my absolute peak. Someone unironically just called math partisan.
1 UpvoteIfYouDare 2021-03-13
He called the organization that applied the findings of that paper partisan, not math.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
Except all that was linked to him was the formula being applied to the maps.
There's no possible way for it to be "partisan." so he literally just called math partisan.
1 UpvoteIfYouDare 2021-03-13
Unless I'm looking at the wrong comment, I see a link to this Azavea organization's website which shows their application of the paper's modeling. He's calling that organization partisan.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
The article is literally applying this formula:
To the map. They aren't doing anything with it, it's literally just the open formula you yourself can go apply to the map if you want.
It literally can't be "partisan."
What does the organization have to do with a math formula? Either he's calling math partisan, or he's trying to reject math with a fallacious ad hominem, either way, he's avoiding math that proves him wrong.
1 UpvoteIfYouDare 2021-03-13
You're probably overanalyzing this. I doubt he did more than glance at the link.
1 The_Dramanomicon 2021-03-13
The pizza family crest
1 habeshamuscle 2021-03-13
Autism speaks
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
Yeah, Jubber doesn't understand what gerrymandering is or how we detect them.
He thinks the outcome of a gerrymander is based on the shape of the district, but that isn't how it works.
When looking at partisan gerrymanders we use various formulas to determine how bad the gerrymander actually is.
One of those is called the "efficiency" gap. This is a formula developed specifically for this:
I linked him something applying this formula and he called it partisan.
He literally just said a math formula was partisan.
1 Homofascism 2021-03-13
Okay bud.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
What is biased about the presented formula?
1 Homofascism 2021-03-13
If you have a population that is 40% X and 60% Y, you could easily put 40% of the seat to X and 60% to Y, that would be the perfect goal.
If you were trying to minimize that formula per district tho, you would result in every county have 40%X and 60% Y, so everything going to Y (btw that's exactly how gerrymandering work).
On a side note it would also result in any party having a small defecit in votes to lose all elections forever, which I assume is why they called it partisan.
Which would have been obvious if you weren't dumber than a rock.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
Do you literally not understand what is happening here?
Republicans are creating basically wave-immune districts.
The only fix to gerrymandering - the only way to create fair districts is to create compact districts.
Your solution amounts to rigging districts so Republicans can still be competitive, that's not called a "fair district."
1 Homofascism 2021-03-13
>No, no, you don't understand, gaining 2% more should result in 10% gains in houses/...
PATHETIC PARTISAN TAKE.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
Are you unironically 50 IQ? What are you even trying to argue at this point?
Why are compact districts bad? How is a formula that clearly shows extreme gerrymandering somehow biased?
The only way to conclude this is somehow "biased" is if you believe fair districts are biased.
A party having a deficit in votes means they should lose elections. Explain why that is bad.
1 Homofascism 2021-03-13
I already explained it, but you refused to answer that because your debating style is ignoring everything that put hole in your argument than claiming victory after people get fed up with your retardation.
X got 49.9999 to Y 50. Therefore the X should not have a single seat anywhere. Your actual, unironic take. lmao.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
You didn't, your argument was literally stupid. There's no bias in a formula that simply shows rigged districts.
Are you dumb? Yes, that is how the American electoral system works.
A loss by 1 vote is the same as a loss by 500 votes. Furthermore, compact districts wouldn't be an outcome of "not one seat" for anyone.
If you were to end gerrymandering in America and draw compact districts the outcome would be a swing of 10 house seats towards the democratic party.
If you don't like the electoral system (the one, btw, Republicans refuse to change) then take it up with them.
They want this system. What they don't want is fair districts because they can't win voters with their unhinged platform.
1 Homofascism 2021-03-13
The margin for democrats was +8.6% in 2018. There are 435 seat.
435*(0.5-0.043)=198 seat for republicans. Actual, seat for republicans, 199.
So what you successfully demonstrated right now is that ending gerrymandering would be far more partisan than leaving it in place. Ten times more even.
I was gonna answer more but lmao for that self own.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
To be clear here, are you unironically trying to argue that fair districts, as in districts with no rigging, are actually unfair and more partisan than leaving literal rigged districts in place?
Do you seriously not read the shit you type?
Like really lmao?
As far as I can tell you don't even know what the wasted vote formula is:
1 Homofascism 2021-03-13
> No rigging
> 10 times worse than now at representing the vote
I am sorry?
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
You are completely low IQ man. I don't even know how to help you here.
There's a tool that shows you exactly how the house changes based on different methods of ending gerrymandering:
To show you exactly how dumb your argument is, here's the map in which compact districts are drawn:
The primary issue with your argument is you seemingly didn't account for or consider "competitive districts."
1 Homofascism 2021-03-13
Good for you. Now explain why exactly you want something that is literally worse than the current system would be good.
You literally didn't understand a single word of what I was saying, did you?
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
It's literally not worse, and the issue isn't me not understanding your argument, it's that your argument is dumb.
The only outcome of compact maps = more competitive district and fewer safe Republican and democraitc seats.
Even if we were to take your argument at face value (we shouldn't, it's stupid) fair districts are not "unfair."
1 Homofascism 2021-03-13
1 seat of difference to something that represent perfectly the voters VS 10 seats of difference.
How exactly would it not be 10 times worse? :thinking:
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
How are you this dumb lmao.
You understand you have to do this on a state by state basis, right? Trying to look at national vote share and percentage of seats to make this argument is really bizarre.
Some states have much larger congressional districts than others.
1 anti-cdace 2021-03-13
u r a ghey
1 Homofascism 2021-03-13
And now you get back to arguing for gerrymandering. Make up your mind.
That's literally the only correct take broski
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
Except no, I'm not. A fair district is not "gerrymandered." There's nothing unethical about 1 person 1 vote, and fair districts.
There's a lot unethical about drawing districts specifically to lock in a certain balance of seats.
Not really, the senate isn't intended to be based on the population vote share.
1 Homofascism 2021-03-13
Yet you are arguing against the option that is closest to the proportionnal one.
Ah, yes, not letting people decide is the proof of a good democracy.
1 anti-cdace 2021-03-13
Tell him, fashy!
1 Homofascism 2021-03-13
You are a bad person, and I feel worse for knowing off your continued existence. Please stop doing that, thank you very much.
1 anti-cdace 2021-03-13
It's ironic. A back-handed homage. And a sad reminder that the dinos are gone and never shall they return.
1 Homofascism 2021-03-13
Excuses excuses. I am looking at you dino hater.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
It's literally not man, you can go look at what a fair map would break down into.
There's no perfect solution, literally, all we can do is come up with a way to create competitive districts.
Either way, to put into perspective for you how extreme the gerrymandering actually is in America, compare the 2010 tea party win with the 2018 democratic win.
Democrats won the house vote by about 8 points in 2018, and took home 37 more seats.
Republicans won the vote by about 7% in 2010 and took home 63 more seats.
Do you not see the problem here?
The 2018 advantage in favor of Republicans was extreme. The GOP won about 16 more seats than would be expected based on average vote share across all congressional districts:
1
The US is not a good democracy. It's actually garbage, as shown by gerrymandering and the senate. I'm no fan of the senate, but there's nothing we can legally do about it.
1 Homofascism 2021-03-13
So you are saying you were wrong wrt to the previous 10 seat number you put out?
At this point you are admitting at least of of your take was wrong, but I am not yet sure which exactly.
Yes, you could do gerrymandering back to ensures correct result. This way you would have only 1 seat of difference to expected output.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
I have now given you 4 different empirical sources showing the absurdity of gerrymandering in America.
I have given you multiple empirical sources showing the map make ups with actual fair districts.
You can accept these or keep denying them and trying to defend electoral rigging, your choice.
No gerrymandering, period. Political parties picking their own voters is literally rigging.
1 Homofascism 2021-03-13
I am asking again because you aren't answering :
So you are in favor of dissolving the states? Your views are severely uncoherent tbh.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
No, you're just not factoring in seat changes in either direction. I have no idea how many seats democrats would also lose in compact districts, or how many would switch.
When you create 40 new competitive districts, they're by definition, competitive.
Are you actually illiterate? Am I reading this correctly that you think ending gerrymandering is the same thing as dissolving states?
1 Homofascism 2021-03-13
Which yet again amplify small difference to a major impact, resulting in self evident issues of representation.
So something you took out of your hat, with nothing scientific behind? A lie? A fake news?
Smh, I expected better of you pizza.
How are state not gerrymandering? If a state is +10 dem and another is +10 rep, it seems like an obvious issue with your previous mathematical construct.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
Ok we need to back up here. Define for me using your own words what you think gerrymandering is.
1 Homofascism 2021-03-13
Manipulating the result of an election trough drawing borders in a specific way. The perfect result being evidently the proportionnal.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
So let me explain this.
There are 2 forms of gerrymander.
A) Unintentional gerrymandering that takes place due to geography.
For example, you could draw random districts in a state and still end up with unintentional gerrymanders.
B) Intentional gerrymandering.
There's always been some form of gerrymandering in America - intentional and unintentional.
What's happened in 2010 is computer software advanced to the point where politicians could draw incredibly precise, gerrymandered maps that were wave immune, meaning that there is realistically no political solution to fixing them outside of re-drawing them.
This is completely unlike anything that has happened previously in American history.
When we talk about gerrymandering - what we mean is this form of extreme, intentional gerrymandering meant to lock in place specific ratios.
There's nothing about the states that requires this. A map doesn't have to be gerrymandered, there are numerous ways to draw fair maps, competitive maps. Being against rigged districts with map software doesn't mean one is in favor of "dissolving the states."
1 Homofascism 2021-03-13
You say this yet you refuse to talk about redrawing states? You can keep drawing, but if the big boxes are wrong, you will get wrong results. Simple as that.
On a side note, why do you care so much about it, when it's provably pretty much nill (literally one seat out of 435 of difference).
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
What is being suggested is the districts are drawn using software that focuses on compactness.
This is what a compact map looks like:
As you can see, these are fair, even districts. There's no real advantage for anyone here.
Because it's not nil. As seen by the radically different 2010 win and 2018 win.
And house races aren't the only problem with gerrymandering, state houses are also a problem.
The state seats are actually vastly more gerrymandered than the national seats are.
We're talking democrats winning 50% of the vote and walking away with 30% of the seats.
1 Homofascism 2021-03-13
Ah, yes, one side compare results to what would be expected if it was fair and the other draw with crayon. It also is completely unrelated to the formula you talked about.
I looked at your previous post. How did I miss this :
As a reminder, if the vote in the house was proportionnal it would be literally 1 seat away from the one that resulted.
So what you are arguing for is a gerrymandering that is literally 16 times worse than the current state of affair. And you call this non partisan. LMAO
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
No, it's literally not unrelated. Drawing compact districts would also solve the gap.
The house is not "proportional" so I'm baffled as to why you keep saying this.
Gerrymandering does not mean "fair districts." You're again, trying to claim that fair, computer drawn districts are somehow partisan and gerrymanders.
Do you have idea how mentally disabled you have to be to think this?
1 Homofascism 2021-03-13
Would it? So far you have proven
No it's not. But it's the perfection of one person one vote that you pretend to fight for.
I am starting to understand that you are actually, really, really dumb. Like you didn't even think a second about what is the supposed goal of gerrymandering, what should be the result.
They are literally, provably 16 times worse than the current state of affair.
Two question stem from this.
1) what exactly would be fair? Give a criteria.
2) Once you understood that the criteria of 1) is basically the proportionnal vote, think a bit about the fact that one would be 1 vote away from it and the other 16 vote away from it.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
The efficiency gap is a way to identify gerrymanders, it's not a model for re-drawing the maps.
Compactness is a model for re-drawing the map. The product of compactness is reducing the gap.
It is literally not mathematically possible for the house to be proportional in a winner take all system.
No, I think you're dumb. You seemingly can't comprehend the difference between intentional malicious gerrymandering and fair districts.
Even districts drawn with no political bias.
Do you literally need like a basic lesson here in english?
Think about how dumb the argument you're making is.
Let's say we have 3 people lined up for a foot race. Let's say one of those people is fat and runs slower than the other 2.
Let's say the fat kid gets control of the foot race rule board and moves his starting line closer to the finishing line.
Let's say the other 2 people protest, and fight to make all 3 lines equal again.
Is this unfair, is this rigged against the fat kid? No, of course it isn't. The idea that non-partisan, non-gerrymandered fair, even districts are somehow "unfair" and "partisan" on the basis Republicans are on the losing end of those districts is so profoundly stupid it borders on mental illness.
1 Homofascism 2021-03-13
This seems unlikely to me given that people tend to congregate toward their own.
That goes against the formula you used.
Yes, it is lmao. Just redraw districts to have each a set of 100k people that are all either republican/democrats for this election (one type per district).
Perfectly proportionnal in a winner take all system.
You literally can't determine what is fair and what is not, and you attempt to use that.
This is the most retarded take I have read in a long while. Anyway if that is the goal, I am a better drawer than you because I am less politically biased, not being from the US, let alone being a stan for one of your parties.
So yet again, I was right and you were wrong. It's starting to get quite common, start having a point fast please.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
Ok, either I explained this poorly or you're dumb. I'll assume it's a bit of both.
How compactness works is as follows:
1
The issue is that we do not have enough house seats. What you're talking about is greatly expanding the size of the house, which would address gerrymandering. The way we appoint seats is stupid and makes it very hard to have proportional representation:
1
You can though, is the thing.
I am not calling for me or any human to draw the districts, but a computer to draw them.
You are deluded.
1 Homofascism 2021-03-13
Divide population by number of electors to get the size of a district. How fucking dumb are you?
Which make it quite impressive that it's literally one seat away from it innit.
Guess who tell the computer to draw you absolute rslur?
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
Why are you suggesting shit that you clearly don't comprehend?
This isn't how our system works, you can not change how anything currently works other than drawing the maps.
Do you even know that the electors are based on the number of house seats/senate?
It's not.
An open source algo that has no bias?
1 [deleted] 2021-03-13
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1 Homofascism 2021-03-13
Fucking bot. Not gonna try to find a way trough it
Do the maff, nerd. Then apologize for being dumber than a rock
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
You are unironically just too dumb man, I don't think I can help you.
1 Homofascism 2021-03-13
It's easy bro.
Just take the number of seats (435) and multiply it by the percentages the republicans got.
Really easy. Do it for me please.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
I'm literally not going to engage in this stupidity man.
You're not comprehending how the map would change with new districts, or the fact bigger states (which tend to be blue) are under-represented in the house for multiple reasons.
Like, you aren't getting why your claim is stupid.
https://www.brookings.edu/blog/fixgov/2017/02/22/misrepresentation-in-the-house/
This isn't something you know anything about so it's pointless trying to help you.
To put into perspective why your argument is really dumb, is when we break this down on a state by state basis (which is what you're supposed to do) the problem is very obvious:
We're talking about fixing the system so states have equal representation. You keep trying to look at the total national margin and don't understand that isn't relevant.
This is a topic far too complex for someone that gets everything they know filtered through 4chan.
1 Homofascism 2021-03-13
I am asking you to do a mere multiplication. WHy is it so hard for you bro?
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
Because it's not relevant to any argument being made. It's again, you not understanding what is being said.
You're clearly not educated on this subject nor do you care to be educated on the subject.
You're also not even looking at the house over, for example, a 10 year period, and trying to look at singular years (which are wave elections, which make the house representation map look better than it actually is.)
The 10 year average looks vastly different. The 20 year average looks vastly different.
So no, the house is not "within 1 seat" because there happened to be a wave election in which democrats won by 8.3 points, nor does that change the fact on a state by state basis either party can get 65-78% of the representation with 50-56% of the vote.
I'm done with this shit, feel free to read:
2 Homofascism 2021-03-13
Yet you argued my mathematical result was wrong. So please do the calcul yourself.
0 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
It's not that you're wrong in the sense the current balance is "acceptable."
It's that you don't understand what is being said to you.
The map looks "ok" when democrats win by 8.3 points. Now how do you think the map looks when Republicans win by 8.3 points?
2 Homofascism 2021-03-13
I just want to see you do a multiplication broski
0 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
No, because it's pointless. Think about the incoherence of what you're asking me.
even if I couldn't do it (lmao) I could literally just pull up a calculator and do it.
Me not answering you is based entirely on it holding no relevance to the argument.
2 Homofascism 2021-03-13
Doing a multiplication is really that complex to you?
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
Can you unironically not read?
1 Homofascism 2021-03-13
Can you unironically not not make a multiplication?
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
Gonna just assume you're illiterate.
1 Homofascism 2021-03-13
Do you have dyscalculia or something? If yes, I will stop mocking you, I got a friend with that and it sucks.
2 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
https://www.readingrockets.org/helping/target/comprehension
1 Homofascism 2021-03-13
I assume it's a no. LMAO imagine being unable to multiply, you absolute rslur
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
https://www.readingrockets.org/helping/target/comprehension
1 Homofascism 2021-03-13
1*2=?
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
https://www.readingrockets.org/helping/target/comprehension
1 Homofascism 2021-03-13
1*1=?
An even easier one. Come on.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
https://www.readingrockets.org/helping/target/comprehension
1 Homofascism 2021-03-13
I will take my victory then.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
https://www.readingrockets.org/helping/target/comprehension
1 DeanofPSU 2021-03-13
A formula could be developed that yields the results that the person who created it wants though couldn't it?
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
Considering it aligns with the other formulas that also exist to expose partisan gerrymanders, I doubt it.
If there was some bias in the formula it'd be easy to prove. The formula is actually very simple, it's based on "wasted" votes as in what percentage of voters are being wasted or having their votes not really count.
For example, if a state has 4 districts, and 1 of them is democratic by 92 points, something fishy is most likely going on, as in basically every Democratic voter in the state is being packed into 1 district.
The GOP has basically been engaging in the most extreme gerrymandering in history for years now.
Jubber is just a poorly educated internet conservative that uses the same playbook they all do.
lose an argument.
deflect.
chant "but both sides."
Declare all data that says he's wrong fake.
1 DeanofPSU 2021-03-13
So while a formula can't be partisan, it can be used to partizen ends.
I'm curious.
Does the GOP do anything you admire? I don't mean in policy or the politicians who gather under its tent. I don't mean the voters who heave(the lucky ones) themselves out of their chair, or drive their chair(the unlucky ones) to the polls. Is there anything about them that impresses you?
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
The GOP has not one redeeming quality. It's a poorly educated, hyper-partisan religious conspiracy cult engaging in open electoral rigging.
The only thing they are good at is bamboozling rubes.
1 WeWuzKANG5 2021-03-13
*Checks pizzas early life section...
1 Eternal_Mr_Bones 2021-03-13
This is my math formula:
Pizza + serious posting = Wrong
You can call me biased, but math formulas, math formulas are forever. And unfortunately that means Jubber is right.
1 AlecOzzyHillPitas 2021-03-13
Never give up. Never surrender.
1 Bummunism 2021-03-13
https://i.redd.it/en0sf5mibn001.png
1 Im-Probably-Drinking 2021-03-13
Sorta wish I was Zozbot right now. Oh well.
Boooooorinnnnnnng!
Bye, cya next time you sperg with a new account. Hope you pick up some better tips&tricks in the meantime.
1 Coonass_alt 2021-03-13
nobody cares
1 ffbtaw2 2021-03-13
Any optimization schema has the possibility of partisan bias. In order to optimize for something you first have to choose a measure to optimize on. In this case efficiency defined by partisan symmetry.
The bias precedes the formula itself, with the axiom that decides which objective function to optimize. I suspect there is plenty of partisan disagreement on whether or not efficiency is the best way to prevent gerrymandering. Brief inspection suggests it would benefit Democrats.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
This is literally a pants on head stupid argument. Literally any fix to gerrymandering is going to cause a net flip in seats because Republicans have gerrymandered the country to hell and back.
Using that logic, literally anything that could possibly fix gerrymandering is somehow partisan and biased.
1 ffbtaw2 2021-03-13
That may all be true, I'm a leaf so I don't know. Also as a leaf I always thought opposition to photo id's to vote was weird. For as long as I can remember it's been a requirement in Canada.
There is nothing inherently partisan about voter ID laws but Democrats recognize that it would potentially flip seats to Republicans and oppose it.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
You've got it very wrong, which is probably because you are a leaf.
America has a long history of voter laws put in place specifically to suppress minority voters.
This is something, as far as I know, did not exist in other western countries. The thing about these laws is they always seem race neutral, but aren't actually.
Take the poll tests of the Jim Crow era, for example.
Anyway - democrats aren't actually against photo ID laws. They're against Republican attempts at photo ID laws which always happen to include other restrictions, that are clearly intended to reduce voter turnout.
This isn't my opinion - it's literal court rulings. Take the NC law which multiple courts struck down:
And for example, attempts to end sunday voting:
And this wasn't all that took place. The US supreme court had to strike down multiple districts on the basis they were illegal racial gerrymanders:
The point is, this isn't just about ID. It's about a constant pattern of Republicans trying to suppress black voters, because they can not win black voters. They have repeatedly lost in court.
1 ffbtaw2 2021-03-13
None of this negates the fact that their is nothing inherently partisan about voter ID laws just like their is nothing inherently partisan about using a particular formula to prevent gerrymandering. Dems and Reps are starting from different optimization criteria.
Democrats want to maximize number of votes cast/ number of votes that have a causal effect on the outcome (minimizing efficiency gap)
Republicans want to maximize the quality of votes - i.e. minimize 'questionable' votes from people without photo ids/ mail-in ballots etc.
It's literally in the names.
You can't optimize both of these things at once and choosing which variable to optimize is subjective so both parties try to optimize for the variable that improves their chances at winning elections. That's why all of these discussions devolve into accusations of partisanship.
I've no doubt the Republicans do some fucky shit to up their chances, both parties would be fools not to maximize their chances of winning. That's just Realpolitik. You don't gain power in the most powerful empire to ever exist on Earth without some Machiavellian tendencies.
My point wasn't to delve into the nitty gritty of who does what but rather to challenge the idea that an objective mathematical formula can't be subject to partisan bias.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
When you write the laws specifically to suppress voters you can't win, that is in fact partisan.
No, they don't. The entire calculation, from start to finish, is to reduce turnout.
They have repeatedly lost in court, fabricated claims of voter fraud, and failed to present any evidence a problem even exists.
I don't entertain both siderism. I deal in facts.
1 ffbtaw2 2021-03-13
There are 34 states that require photo ID so it doesn't seem that they always lose.
Absence of evidence isn't evidence of absence. It's implausible that in a country of 330 million people there is zero voter fraud going on.
Again, we are starting from different assumptions. Power processes are the most likely of all processes to be corrupted by partisan courts, cherry picked statistics and distorted information feeds.
Power is a zero-sum game and Machiavellianism is necessary for success, at least in the long run, only temporary aberrations are possible. Given that the DNC has been around for a long time corrupt machinations are inevitable, believing anything else is hopelessly naĂŻve. If you don't believe this is true at the federal level you have to at least acknowledge that at the state level, e.g. Illinois, it is rampant.
You can make the case that the median Dem politician is less Machiavellian than the median Rep politician, but you cannot argue that the zero-sum competition for entering the upper ranks of leadership in either parties doesn't select for a willingness to bend the rules.
You see sociopaths being disproportionately represented at the top of all powerful institutions - business, media, religious institutions and politics. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Psychopathy_in_the_workplace
I'm not saying 'both sides are the same' just echoing Douglas Adams.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
They have lost in relation to their more absurd ones, many blue states have photo ID laws as well. You're not actually refuting me here, you're proving my point.
Democrats aren't against ID, they're against Republican rigging.
This is what we call a strawman argument. There's a non-zero amount of fraud. There is no organized fraud, nor does fraud take place at any large enough rate to flip elections.
Voter fraud in America is a very rare occurance. You can look at the various papers on this subject:
1
Again, not responding to the point, just making weird accusations of partisan bias or whatever, which isn't actually defensible.
The rest of this doesn't even seem relevant to what is being said. We can dance around with sophisms like this all day, the point is I have the data, you do not.
1 ffbtaw2 2021-03-13
One thing I never got was the idea that Trump was simultaneously a fascistic threat to US democracy and that any attempt to rig the election in favor of democracy was somehow beyond the pale.
If Trump was in fact a significant threat to American democracy/pluralism and usher in an era of concentration camps for Muslims/Jews/LGBT or whatever then ensuring he lost via any and all means wasn't just justified, but a moral imperative.
Are Democrats so immoral that they'd leave the death of millions of minorities to electoral chance?
One of the following must be true: Trump wasn't a fascistic threat, Dems rigged the election, or Dems are indifferent to another Holocaust occurring.
You're appealing to empiricism where I have reason to doubt the sources (power processes are inherently corrupting) while I'm trying to argue from a point of deductive reasoning which is why we are talking past each other.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
Trump was a major threat to US democracy because he destroyed norms and ran around claiming the system was rigged and fake.
The US electoral system, in practice, is far too large, decentralized, and scattered to fall victim to any kind of organized election theft attempt. We're talking about hundreds of thousands of people, many thousands of different rules, regulations, department heads etc.
The thing is, Trump was deeply unpopular, mentally ill, and failing left and right. Nothing has to be rigged to make sure he loses.
Trump was a fascistic threat, the election wasn't rigged, and Trump was carrying out another "holocaust" was not a serious talking point outside of the most fringe internet social media spheres or blog tier media.
But you have no reason to doubt the sources. They're all credible, published papers, from reputable sources, and all of the data is available for you to go check yourself.
You're seemingly getting what you know about US politics filtered through 4chan or something.
1 ffbtaw2 2021-03-13
If Trump had flipped 43000 votes in three states the electoral college would have been tied. You're way overstating your case here - the election was close. Closer than 2016.
The holocaust comparison was silly, I'll give you that. You can reformulate the statement as follows.
Given that the election was in fact close.
One of the following must be true: Trump wasn't a fascistic threat, Dems rigged the election, or Dems are indifferent to democracy ending.
There is a replication crisis in the social sciences, that's reason enough to take non-political let alone political studies with a grain of salt.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
The election was not closer than 2016, you are straight making that up or misinformed.
The margins Biden won by in those states was actually fairly standard in an American election and larger than the margins Trump won by in 2016.
https://www.statesman.com/story/news/politics/politifact/2021/01/11/mitch-mcconnell-says-accurately-joe-bidens-win-wasnt-unusually-close/6623432002/
The 2020 election was not close.
Or, you know, democrats aren't going to engage in illegality when they don't have to.
That's neat, this has nothing to do with the things I linked you. Incoherently invoking "replication" crisis to discount just objective, publicly available empirical data is very weird.
Either you don't know what a replication crisis is, or again, are getting what you read filtered through 4chan.
1 ffbtaw2 2021-03-13
2016 and 2020 were virtually tied in terms of the victory margin. 2000, 2004, 2016 and 2020 are all in the top 25% closest electoral victories in US election history. They are only normal if you restrict to the last 20 years of elections which are historically close due to increased polarization.
At what percentage chance of a Trump win is rigging the election morally justified in your view?
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
While I understand you probably aren't America, trying to cite the electoral college margin is hilarious. The election was not that close. Biden won by fairly stable and large margins in the relevant states.
Biden even won with a 2+ state buffer.
I have no idea, there's probably no moral cause for rigging the election. Trump wasn't popular, if the guy did anything super obviously illegal he'd be dragged out of the WH. You don't go far for a 36% approval rating. Not exactly enough to pull much of anything off.
1 ffbtaw2 2021-03-13
So he wasn't a fascist threat?
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
He was a fascist threat, thankfully fascism is only appealing to about 36% of the population.
Trump and his base hit every single marker of a proto-fascist movement.
1 ffbtaw2 2021-03-13
In that case, he was a fascist but not a threat ergo not a fascist threat.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
A fascist is a threat no matter what, especially if they're allowed to lay roots and inflame tensions.
The only 2 successful fascist movements in history did what they did with about 35% support.
1 ffbtaw2 2021-03-13
If he was a fascist threat then rigging the election is a moral imperative. You're oscillating between him being impotent.
To saying he had a good chance at achieving a victory for fascism.
Do you not see the contradiction here?
Impotent again. You can't have it both ways.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
You keep trying to bait me into this false dillema. No, that isn't how reality works.
I don't know if you're some internet pseudointellectual that saw some other clown make this argument and couldn't identify the fallacy or what, but no.
Most people don't even know what fascism is. Normalcy bias is in fact a think.
Trump was, by literally all definitions of the term a proto-fascist.
That doesn't mean anyone is going to start rigging elections.
He did, the institution barely survived.
No, because you're trying to engage in these little fallacious arguments.
Something being a fascist threat doesn't mean they're a successful fascist threat.
Even a failed fascist can destroy a country.
1 ffbtaw2 2021-03-13
Democracy barely survived and yet zero extra-legal means were justified in saving it from the jaws of defeat. Fascinating.
Pizza you make me want to believe in the Dunning-Kruger effect despite it most likely being a data artifact. Replication crisis strikes again. Have a nice day.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
Ok pal, considering you again want to throw out terms you clearly do not understand, let's do this.
Point to me a single piece of credible evidence in relation to organized election fraud during the 2020 election.
Show me this evidence of election fraud.
1 ffbtaw2 2021-03-13
Lmao, sorry Pizza I already finished, not interested in being part of your bating session anymore. Getting that post-nut clarity right about now.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
I mean, if you're nutting from losing arguments you have issues.
1 ffbtaw2 2021-03-13
Sorry about the blue balls đ.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
Guy, you literally just tried to set up some dumb false dilemma, were wrong on pretty much every point you made, and didn't make any coherent argument.
1 habeshamuscle 2021-03-13
Why do you post here? This has to be the worst sub to push your seriousposting shit. Get a job, pizza
1 Doesnt_Draw_Anything 2021-03-13
I'd take him over you, he's a pillar of the community
1 busslordlowkeybussin 2021-03-13
I fear for whichever community you live in if you aren't able to vent your madness regularly.
1 Pepperglue 2021-03-13
You said that every time, though. Yet here you are.
Just learn to ignore dumb shits and leave your cynicism to yourself.
1 noPENGSinALASKA 2021-03-13
Pizza havenât you heard math is racist. By talking about formulas youâre commuting a heck is valid white supremacy dog whistle
1 WeWuzKANG5 2021-03-13
If you applied the energy you do on arguing with sub 60 iq gorillas all over political reddit towards real life you probably would be doing much better IRL and wouldn't look so much like a nonce version of a human racoon hybrid.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
Idk how spending more effort irl is going to change dark circles under my eyes caused by allergies.
1 WeWuzKANG5 2021-03-13
Must be the buscemi allergy type, do you tip?
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
https://www.healthline.com/health/allergic-shiners#causes-and-riskfactors
1 AugustinesBitchBoy 2021-03-13
Hi sweety, do you ever think about not arguing with people here and just being wholesome and friendly ?
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
Hahahahahaha.
1 Spysix 2021-03-13
Go outside.
Take your meds, schizo.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
You really gotta stop coming at me. How many arguments will you lose before you stop?
1 Spysix 2021-03-13
????
Seeing as how I haven't lost an argument. I don't stop? You stopped once you literally got shook when I mentioned your pathetic IQ argument was useless. I didn't want you to self-harm.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
You literally tried to claim the statement "people will die if we don't address climate change" was crazy.
Honestly, you're way dumber than jubber, which is crazy. You lose every argument you come at me with. You're a low tier fent brained ape.
1 Spysix 2021-03-13
Because it is a ridiculous statement and you couldn't refute it.
Take your meds, schizo.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
I literally did refute it. That statement is objectively correct. You tried to throw out the braindead climate denier talking point "but the climate has changed before."
Keep losing arguments.
1 Spysix 2021-03-13
So are you arguing the position that the climate is static? Despite what science says? Sounds like a science denier....
For context for everyone else: he's literally defending AOC who writes the sort of policies to try and prevent cows from farting to warm up the earth.
I never lost, schizo, keep trying tho B)
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
Holy shit you actually did it again, let's do it.
No, you moron. Obviously the climate has changed before. The difference is modern civilization didn't exist then, and the climate has never changed this quickly.
Your argument is about as dumb as saying "so what if an asteroid is going to hit the earth, it's happened before." The climate changing before has no relevance to the current state of things, and it doesn't mean everything will be ok.
Wow, almost like you're low IQ and don't actually know what is being talked about:
Jesus Christ, how are you so profoundly stupid?
You just did, again, for the 7th time.
1 Spysix 2021-03-13
Yes, I keep winning and going to win again, here we go B)
Except that wasn't the argument you were making. You were in fact arguing the opposite and failed to be specific. Try again.
If you were actually smart, maybe look at a data chart that maybe start way longer than just 30 or 40 years ago to actually get a true picture and idea of the climate. From a PhD level scientist in molecular biology and biochemistry who recently published an essay. I trust sources like these than "climate advocates" that suggest we put diapers (or muzzles) on cows to stop them from emitting hot gas and eating bugs while elites continue to buy water front properties and fly private jets for climate awards.
I stand with science, you stand with hypocrisy. Similar to your IQ arugment, you first thought it was a useful argument to defend Bush (for some reason?) and then say you don't care about IQ. Which means you were either lying then or lying now for your arguments.
But hey, I guess for someone like you, you need to do as much deception as possible to "appear" like you're winning an argument, because all you live for are reddit arguments and video games.
Sad!
An asteroid is not planetary climate, it's an external foreign object. I thought you'd be smart enough to differentiate between the two.
lol Oh, my bad, sorry, cow burps. Wrong hole. Glad this is the hill you want to burp on.
And I just won for the 8th time. Thanks for keeping my streak going.
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
That literally was the argument. AOC correctly states that if climate change is unaddressed, people will die.
I'm sure you do trust that source, considering he's a fucking wackjob climate denier shilling the long debunked "but the sun is causing this" meme.
Like do you seriously not get why nobody takes you people seriously? You link dumb shit like this, from actual quacks that have been shilling climate denial for years, and try to pass them off as real sources.
You conveniently ignore the overwhelming scientific consensus against them, and then you try to accuse the scientific consensus of somehow being "activist" when in reality the people you're linking are the activists.
Fucking cringe.
Again, why are you a pathological liar? The suggestion is to change the diet of cows because they are in fact a large source of methane you fucking inbred twat:
1
No, you literally do not. If you stood with the science, you wouldn't be lying about cows and linking known climate denier sources of information while you ignore overwhelming scientific consensus on the subject.
Are you actually this slow? The point still stands - just because the climate has changed before doesn't mean anything. Lots of bad things have happened before, but we weren't around to experience them.
Hint: you're fucking wrong.
This is why you're a joke dude. You're literally linking blog posts from climate deniers and pretending they somehow erase scientific consensus and then declaring victory, after being proving a fucking clown.
That's a yikes from me dog.
1 Spysix 2021-03-13
And, again, for the third time, that can be made for about any statement.
People are always going to die, so explain to me how a policy that puts more money in government, going to save people?
literally there is more than just "The sun" in those graphs, but okay, I understand, multi-graph instruments are too complicated for you.
So what you're saying is you have no real arguments. Got it.
Ad populism fallacy. You know the Third Reich was a good idea to a lot of people....
I'm not sure why you are addressing yourself like this.
Except you never made that argument at all. You just linked "cows burp" or did you forget you schizo?
Even then, this was never brought up in AOC's draft, so your point is out of scope of the argument.
Try again.
But I was agreeing with you, so I guess I was wrong to agree with you? Okay.
Reddit moment.
Take your meds, go play more video games you jobless schizo.
Since you didn't make any arguments against my claims beyond baseless accusations, I win this debate. Cya!
Until I spank you later next time, Schizo B)
1 adminsare55IQ 2021-03-13
That again, does not change the fact is completely correct.
Explain to you how slowing down climate change can prevent deaths?
No, there's not idiot. This has been debunked countless times, it's one of the oldest climate denier talking points:
These people are very good at repeating bullshit that has been debunked, except in a very long-winded way that fools poorly educated people such as yourself.
No, I actually made my argument pretty clearly: your climate change denial blog is not a valid source of information.
If I had a dime for every time one of you people tried to misuse fallacies like this, I'd have a lot of dimes.
Ad populism applies when things are believed by the masses with no evidence. A scientific consensus is not a "fallacy."
A scientific consensus is based on what the majority of the research says on a subject - it is empirical. Here, try this wiki page to educate yourself on the basics:
I can also provide to you some logic textbooks so you learn what fallacies actually are and don't misuse them in such an absurd way.
Who do you think you are fooling?
You tried to attack AOC for making a meme about cow methane production and pretend it was absurd, when again, she was completely right.
1 911roofer 2021-03-13
How can we miss you if you never go away?