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I accidentally made a longpost on KF, so i figured i'd repost it her : just a quick overview of why the Islamic civilisation eventually declined

Islam's reliance on Jihad is an effective way to fuel conquests, since in its ideology every human on earth should either convert, pay up or die, but the problem is this tactic of zerg-rushing relies on having a very strong figurehead that can lead the conquest and rally people around it, some sort of Attila or Alexander the Great. What you quickly see happen with Islam is that they take up a lot of lands very quickly, then their leader dies, and then basically every either collapses or slows down to a crawl because the power vaccuum created ends up causing a civil war, or the hastily conquered regions (that weren't colonised yet) start yearning for independence, or the ONE thing that's supposed to keep your people united (religion, through the ummah) suffers a schism and everything goes to shit.

People think taking over a country is a big thing, but while decapitating its elite and putting yourself in their place is an impressive achievement on the surface, it means jackshit if you can't control the people, which was often what happened with the Arabs, who just formed a ruling elite that wanted little to do with the local population. Successful empires generally solve this issue either by military occupation (though this ceases to be effective once the soldiers aren't there, look at the USA in the Middle East for proof of that), by trying to insert themselves in the local culture to gain legitimacy (like the Franks in Gaul, who essentially claimed the title of consul or imperator in order to appear more legitimate to the local Gallo-Roman population) or by straight up replacing the locals through colonisation. The Arabs tried to bypass this by colonising the people using religion to replace their local culture, but the numerous schisms in Islam hindered it a lot.

They also got extremely lucky, with the Persians suffering from a hundred years of wars with the Romans, the Byzantines being taken up on multiple fronts, the Goths having a succession crisis and their lands being in general unusually productive during the time of their rise.

And with the Abbasid Revolution in the 740's, despite Islam uniting the conquered populations, everything splits apart and the empire ceases to grow, though they did grow culturally thanks to their absorption of Roman remnants in the Middle East and their conquest of Persia (both which also coincidentally formed the gateway between Europe and Asia), which guaranteed them a solid cultural base which while not originally theirs was slowly but surely assimilated into Islamic culture. That's the one big advantage with identifying with religion instead of ethnicity, it allows you to bypass race and culture and keep up the appearance of a strong and united group.

They technically managed a renaissance with the arrival of the Ottoman Turks, who took none of that bullshit and managed to keep a central authority (on top of having a much more stable empire that they built from years of steady conquests instead of zerg-rushing like iditios), but even then, as soon as that empire stopped growing, Islam just hindered them from progressing further culturally. Interesting to note is that imo the "Islamic" civilisation and the "Ottoman" civilisation are quite different ; while they share the same religion, which makes them appear similar, the latter was Turkic in character and actually a lot more Western-influenced thanks to the taking of Constantinople. In general it's quite funny because most parts of the Islamic civilisation are not Arab at all, but rather a mix of Persian, Byzantine and Turkish/Ottoman.

From the day the 19th century arrived the Ottomans and Islamic civilisation in general was already cooked ; they lost wars by the dozens thanks to their ultraconservatism and their lack of forward-thinking. Islam's a neat religion for expansionism but it doesn't really drive people to innovation or change, and its philosophy leads to stagnation without outside stimulation. Turkey itself only really got off the ground again when Ataturk brought secularism to it, though the sheer technical r-sluration of the Empire means even the unity of religion couldn't save it.

PS : i remember a particularily funny incident where Ottoman officers visited Ludwig Loewe (German manufacturer) to look into possibly buying machine guns for the Ottoman Army. The guy at the factory noted that they seemed to not give a single actual frick about their task. Here's an excerpt from an old article on the subject :

According to the correspondence, it seems obvious that Luger professionally supported and advised the Montenegrins. On July 10, 1907 he wrote to Haydukovich: "I am bound by my word to support and defend your interests and behave as being one of you." He gave detailed data about other countries' armaments asking for conspiracy of confidentiality in that regard. On December 30, 1906, he informed Haydukovich that, "Turkish Government had commissioned 50 machine guns." In the letters of May 19 and July 10, 1907 he reports that the work on finishing the Turkish machine guns were being accelerated. That weapon was 7.65mm calibre and "adopted to fit the wheeled version of sled mount M1901 that could be pulled on the wheels or carried on horseback. The mount mass was 67 kg and machine gun and carriage mass was almost 100 kg (sic), which means that the weapon was too heavy for the hilly terrains." Luger did not hesitate to mention that the "two Turkish officers responsible for receiving material were completely ignorant as to the machine guns and, in addition, they showed no interest in learning anything, but were only embarrassed because smoking in the factory was forbidden.

Really speaks as to how far behind Islamic civilisation was in the end, when the top brass of its army couldn't even be bothered when it came to the biggest military revolution of the time. Even the bloody Montenegrins were more professional.

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You must also account for the fact that it took some time to figure this out but humanity realized that empire building was a system with limited success as it was based on extreme resource extraction including a high level of manpower requirements being fulfilled by slaves and requiring constant further invasion to replace those slaves or acquire more resources for an ever growing empire.

Pretty much every evolution of the state has been an exercise is figuring out the next step in maximizing gains while decreasing exploitation over time to delay the point at which the system reaches its peak and collapses from the accumulation of too many errors over time.

This is why immigration is so important. It acted as a replacement for slavery where people were moving in willingly to supply the nation state with more labor and manpower resources.

The Islamic middle easterners as they practiced slavery used to make eunuchs out of the men en masse and kept putting themselves in a position where they had to be constantly invading neighboring territories to keep feeding the machine that was their civilization.

As anyone who has studied history even at the most basic level would be able to tell, nation states in a constant state of active war tend to fall into decline over time. War economies in the long term are simply not as stable as technological or service based economies.

Today, we see some of the biggest failures as nation states among territories who have failed to reach this conclusion so far and still think in terms of conquest which actually slows down GDP growth unless you were in a position to exterminate the entire population of the other territory and fully occupy it which just isn't possible in the modern era.

The "Work is slavery" crowd was right to the extent that overworking the immigrant labor in comparison to the labor available at home did indeed replace slave from previous eras.

Another primary reason Islam in practice failed was that it was extremely isolationist in terms of who it identified as an equal worthy of respect, which led to constant warfare and conflict breaking out, especially from within.

Just as the modern age continues to make being a street thug one of the least profitable ventures compared to getting any job in a modern developed society, nation states whose primary principle is conquest find themselves as a similar disadvantage today.

Conclusion:

Immigration replaced slavery. The country with the highest number of immigrants is best positioned to rule the world due to this very reason, they have a manpower advantage. Which is why the US remains the strongest economy in the world and Germany would have been the second most powerful economy in the world if it weren't for the extremely large sizes of nation states such as China and India.

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Yea im sure America :marseyjusticebait: is on top of the world :marseyww1british1: because of the gorillion illiterate latinxes we hired to hit numbers :marseysoypointtrips: on the mcdonalds :marseywhale: cash register.

You stupid :marseybrainlet:

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Neighbor :marseyblackfacepenny: so many of these immigrants :marseyabbott: dont even pay taxes

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I am sure the silicon valley cutting edge techbros are only alive because of the cheap and low value food supply chain.

:marseysmoothbrain:

You are the kind of r-slur who would burn down every single farm in the country because you were offered 20% more funds than the total income generated by those farms.

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Fuc dat got to do with anythin blud over here blabberin about rando shie he from ohio or som)

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I don't know what you said, because I've seen another human naked.

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If evermore specialiasation has taken place among the economy then specialisation of nations will happen as well. Smaller states with less landmass to govern will pivot far more gracefully imo

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I disagree. For example in the case of the semiconductor industry Taiwan is in the lead but the US realized that China wants Taiwan and has over the years been actively working to close that gap. You can have specialization of nations in non-critical components but that just means that those nations produce nothing special that impacts the world in any real way.

At the end of the day long term specialization also doesn't work for small nation states because they can easily be replaced by bigger poorer nation states which is what we see with global industrialization where the factories for common consumer goods keep shifting from nation state to nation state over two to three decades as the GDP per capita of a country rises high enough as to make shifting factories to a poorer country more viable.

Cuba specialized in making doctors that work internationally but the US still leads in the medical sciences.

At a certain size and skilled workforce smaller nation stats simply cannot compete even if they attempt to specialize and even the specialization is temporary as any developed nation state will over time attempt to make all corners of the system it exists in more efficient.

The most common example is the middle east being the primary supplier of oil. The US was critically dependent on that area until they began to mine oil within the US itself, leading to US gaining oil independence and no longer being in a position to be bullied by Middle Eastern oil embargoes like had happened in the past.

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Isn't this is why american wine from commifornia ended up being so good that the french people had to invent new rules to disqualify it from international recognition along with american parmesan cheese

:marseysmug2:

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This.

Also France is going to fail as a nation state. You can only avoid true competition for so long. Every country that attempted to become a closed economy has suffered the consequences of such asinine policy.

France will fall into decline in terms of quality of their most famous products and over time France will fail like Italy and Spain. Only Germany will remain.

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In a similar vein I kinda feel like Spain and Italy working to actively suppress any loan words in their languages is setting them up for stagnation in certain areas. It also comes across as incredibly silly and petty as someone who speaks English as it has no qualms with taking loan words from where ever the frick and has remained an incredibly successful language. Same thing with Japanese.

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All central planning systems fail because they completely cut off the natural competition that emerges and results in only the best ideas surviving over time. Anything that does not change is going to in the end get left behind in a world as dynamic as the one in which we live.

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What was the name of the town again? The whole story of the town where the wineyards are located is such an interesting read, and it was basically the inspiration for one of the most famous images in the history of humanity, the Windows XP background. Imagine how irrelevant some food would become if it was not produced by some nothingburger town in italy, or the Golden Sun kiwi variant was produced en masse and not just only in New Zealand

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Didn't read

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Another issue I would like to raise is that the Roman empire was 2 thousand years ago. If your country is so small that it cannot defeat the most powerful empire from 2,000 years ago, then your country isn't powerful enough to survive the modern era no matter what it does. At that point the modern small state is simply at the mercy of international law and the willingness of bigger players to follow it.

I would say anything smaller or weaker than New Zealand has no future as its independence exists solely due to international law and not due to any capacity to protect itself or defend its borders from an actual war.

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