Factoring in that tech is slowing down not speeding up, these robots are not going to be replacing humans for general purpose work for another 30-40 years if at all.
What's instead going to happen is that we are going to keep getting better at making niche task robots to replace the human from random places. It's going to be a very drawn out iterative process.
We are still just making better cowtools over time. Nothing that can replace us.
Even AI is hitting a wall now, probably got 3-4 more years left before it too hits the wall and is again stuck for another 20-30 years of time.
Additional fun fact:
Japan's life expectancy has begun to go down. 90 might actually be the limit even with all the medical care in the world. Cancer or brain worms just catch up in the end. Nothing is forever repairable. Even stars die.
Tech is hitting the wall, and having only one or zero kids may be the only way left to keep getting richer in a developed economy.
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Yeah. It's impressive if you look at it as "wow they managed to make a humanoid robot", but as a replacement for a human worker? Not in this form. A human worker who moved that slow would be hauled over the coals by their foreman/supervisor, and if they didn't shape up they'd be fired. I don't know how much money and time they spent on developing this, but you could get a 15 year old on work experience to do this job way faster and way, way cheaper.
I know, "proof of concept", but I agree that the path forward is going to be things like the robots in car factories, not this sort of ersatz human. As you say, robots for niche tasks. Though BMW is looking for humanoid robots, but I think that is the way they can work: not moving out of a limited area, doing repetitive tasks, all the parts at hand. It just has to put the thing into the slot, over and over again, fast and accurate.
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exactly. How slow robotics is scaling up also ensures that the manpower wars will happen.
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