I didn't realize but trump is ahead in 538s forecast? | Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?

Elliot Morris is a hack who used to be in charge of the Economist's shit model and it is r-slurred that anyone pays attention to him and put him in charge of 538 after Nate left. His forecast was suspended for over a month because the parameters he chose suddenly had a massive Trump advantage after DD(D) dropped out, so he had to rework it and didn't tell anyone after he changed it. He also doesn't publish results on his analysis sites for aesthetics reasons.

Nate is less r-slurred. He's not great, but at least you get occasional funny reminders that he's gay when he gets in catfights on Twitter.

👋 Hey Bette!

Understand you may still be frustrated Silence of the Lambs came out the same year as For the Boys so you were pretty much always gonna lose Best Actress to Jodie Foster. In poker, we'd call that a bad beat. But that's no reason to tweet out conspiracy theories. https://t.co/39Gj3iRarl

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) September 10, 2024