China Population Pyramid evolution to 2100 (2024 UN population prospects revision) :marseyjewoftheorient: :marseyflagchina: :marseychartviolin:

https://youtube.com/watch?v=Mkh_SkgYNVg

!neolibs !mathematics

Bonus the US demographic pyramid

It includes, medium, low and high fertility scenarios (current medium projections are pretty much the lowest scenario of 10 years ago so they can get worse), and zero migration scenarios.

And Brazil

!macacos medium case scenario for 2100 is 163 million Brasileiros. Worst case scenario the population drops by almost half to 106 million. Considering the IBGE stats show the total births number falling year after year, the medium scenario is optimistic.

20
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I hope their population collapses and thry die out. Lest we have to show the filthy commies how we did it in 'nam :marseyvietnam:

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On their current trajectory their population will drop by more than half by the end of the century. But it gets even worse when you consider 40%+ of said residual population will be 65+

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I don't believe this btw

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Why not? Their fertility rate is just 1 child per woman, last year only 9 million chinks were born (official stats by their own government), compared with over 20 million being born per year in the 1990s, this small cohort will enter reproductive age by 2040 and they won't breed. There hasn't been a single country whose TFR dropped below 1.4 which managed to recover above 1.6. There's a point where it becomes self-reinforcing

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There hasn't been a single country whose TFR dropped below 1.4 which managed to recover above 1.6. There's a point where it becomes self-reinforcing

It's a new phenomenon. Eventually the non-breeders will die out and people will start fricking again.

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It's not as new as people think. Germany reached 1.5 in the mid-1970s and stayed below that number with the exception of a small bump in 2016, the year of the Syrian refugees crisis.

Most of western Europe has been sub-replacement since the 1970s and it only got worse in the past decade, it looks like even immigrants are not having kids anymore.

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Because I just don't, ok? :marseyindignantturn!:

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