Journ*list should write scripts for comedy movies.
Like why would Putin now sign peace deal under Biden if Biden soon will be out + Russia won
#NewsMap
— Julian Röpcke🇺🇦 (@JulianRoepcke) November 12, 2024
Critical situation south of #Kurakhove after the Russian army entered #Dalnye from the East. pic.twitter.com/Bq0iiW5E8O
In reality Russia has no reason to sign any peace it can just continue grind Ukrainian and every upcoming day it becomes easier to grind them. West has no real counter anymore other than boots on the ground that nobody supports. It told in 2022 if Russian uses nukes then Ukraine will get nato offensive weapons like tank, jets and long range missiles. Ukraine got it all now and proudly backpedals.
Archive how Biden flexed
while somewhere between 60,000 and 80,000 young Ukrainian service personnel have died
While Russian supposedly lose 800,000
Yet Russian don't have 10 times the Ukrainian population, ain't forcefully mobilising people and ain't short on men power as Ukraine.
Also Ukrainian loses were 35k in September 2022 so in worst case their loses in next 2 years were 45k
Western sanctions have failed completely to alter Russian policy. They have cemented a new alliance of autocracies. Their impact on western inflation, especially energy prices, has merely undermined western governments, helping topple those in Britain, Germany and now the US since the war began. As for the west's use of Ukraine as a proxy in a "war of deterrence" against Russia, success in such wars is provable only with the hindsight of history.
Sanctions were the biggest meme, I was telling since day one they won't work. Like what kind of economist are working there that were seriously thinking sanctions have long term effects. Absolutely majority of sanctions power comes on day 1 when they are announced because the coming months the economy will be adapting to sanctions situation and finding ways to combat it. But our genius especially EU economist were telling us oh no wait till summer wait till fall wait till winter
Ending the Ukraine war is a choice that lies with the US, without whose support Ukraine collapses. But the end must come with negotiation. This has to mean going back to the failed 2014 Minsk and 2022 Istanbul agreements.
Putin literally rejected those this summer
And nothing happened that weakened Russia since June 2024
There is no realistic alternative.
Russian are moving in zaphorozhyy.
Kyiv cannot recover Crimea.
No fricking way
Russia must accept some external guarantee of Ukraine's future security. Kyiv must accept that this stops short of Nato membership, while Russia must accept that Ukraine will develop some deal with the EU.
They probably forgot but after they realise in late 2022 early 2023 that Ukraine won't defeat Russia they started talking about that they need to help Ukraine to get in position of power so that Ukraine can dictate its term. That was also reason to launch epic spring counteroffensive that despite having zero loses by Ukrainian side, failed.
So Ukraine is clearly not in position of power, it's today weaker than in 2022. Yet they dictate the term that Russia must accept
The BBC's Moscow correspondent reported on Monday that Putin is on a high after last month's Brics summit in Kazan, attended by 36 states not aligned with the west. In view of Trump's call, the Russian leader might now be tempted to hold off from negotiations until his friend is in the White House.
Yet he suggest Biden to sign peace deal
Putin currently has Ukraine on the back foot and Nato in an uncertain mood. Joe Biden must be eager to end at least one of his wars before he goes. It might be possible to get a deal done before the chaos and uncertainty of the second Trump era begins.
Homo just in previous paragraphs told it's impossible
Peak journ*lism 2024
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Russia might sign a peace deal...
if it includes concessions to them. That's kinda how it works, if you want peace with a belligerent who's not defeated you usually have to give them something.
But the only peace deal I've ever seen offered by NATO/US is basically "abandon all your territorial gains and leave and say sorry" which like obviously they're not going to agree to.
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