After watching the Russian military in action for the last 3 years I think the real embarrassment is for Ukraine failing to defeat them.

There appears to be a 30 years gap between the competence of the average Ukrainian soldier and the average zerg rush Russian soldier. You shouldn't be having a stalemate against another army with tactics that are older than your grandfather.

The real embarrassment of the Russian-Ukraine war isn't that the Russians have a 2 day special operation going on for 3 years. The real embarrassment of the Russia-Ukraine war is that the Ukrainians are getting bogged down by the guys who would hit and explode their own troops in a warzone.

With the capabilities that the Russian troops are displaying, the death to kill ration of Ukrainians should be 1:10 yet they appear to be far below target.

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/putin-orders-russian-army-expand-war-ukraine-rcna171429

Just look at them. Russia is still trying to win with a numbers game. Becoming the second largest military in the world won't win them the war but they are unable to accept this fact.

Ukraine is going to have no future at the end of this war, but nor is Russia.

Russia is keeping 1.5 million active military personnel at all times.

The Kremlin reportedly sought to recruit 400,000 soldiers from across Russia in 2023, and according to some reports, citing anonymous sources, Russian officials expect to recruit a similar number of contract soldiers this year.

Based on the Russian hiring numbers. The Russians appear to be losing 400,000 troops per year who need to be replaced to maintain military strength.

In 2023 1.3 million children were born in Russia. If the above estimates are correct, Russians are losing 1/3rd worth of people compared to the number of Russian children born per year.

If you look at their population numbers by age, after the age of 30 the Russian female outnumbers the Russian male, in the age brackets before the age of 30, the Russian male outnumbers the Russian female.

The smartest thing that a Russian man can do after the war is over is to leave the country. He very obviously has no rights within his own country worth having him stay there for.

Conclusion:

Russia is either going to lose the war or be defeated by the aftermath of the war.

USD to ruble value has already crossed 105 ruble for 1 dollar.

Right now one Indian rupee is worth 1.25 rubles.

If the rubles value falls below that of the yen, they are done for. There is no recovering from that. Even the Japanese are not able to survive at those numbers.

It's Joeover for the Russian empire and the reason for it is that they actually didn't have enough human rights and human dignity for their people to want to stay. Nor the wealth distribution among the common populace to make them want to stay.

In a globalized world you have to either be very rich with equitable wealth distribution or you have to have very high standards of human rights and dignity. Otherwise your people just leave for better pastures.

All the smart Russians are going to leave for Brazil if they aren't allowed into the US or Europe.