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didn't every intelligence agency in the region other than israel think it was going to happen or something

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The Israelis themselves have known since last year that Hamas had a plan like that but dismissed it as too ambitious and difficult to accomplish https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/30/world/middleeast/israel-hamas-attack-intelligence.html

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Hamas has billions in assets, there's a good chance Hamas itself shorted it

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