The math is pretty simple. Israel only needs to engage Hamas for 2 years before they can succeed in their goals to liberate the Gaza Strip from Hamas and bring peace to the region.
I modeled Israel's liberation operation based on the decreasing density of embedded Hamas terrorists among the population, rather than as a function of total decreasing population.
This is a more valid analysis because as there are fewer Hamas to specifically target, there will simply be fewer strikes. The model also always assumes that 30% of all kills will be Hamas, the rest are their human shields.
Modeling it this way does create an asymptote, and I also forced integer values since you can't kill half a terrorist, meaning that some calculations will never decrease below a certain value once applied.
It works out that two years after the Oct 7 attacks, there will be fewer than 1000 members of Hamas left, and fewer than 60,000 civilian deaths.
This is less than half of the German civilian deaths produced by the Red Army in the Battle of Berlin. The Soviets accepted those losses because they were killing Nazis, and since Palestinian terrorism was founded by Hitler through Al-Husseini, Israel is merely trying to kill Nazis too.
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
/h/edidthemath
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
More options
Context