https://www.ynetnews.com/article/rkslk21yjx
Over time, Hezbollah leaders became concerned about their vulnerability to Israeli surveillance and cyberattacks, fearing even ordinary phones could be used for eavesdropping and monitoring under Israeli control.
and
As part of the operation's first phase, the booby-trapped communication devices began arriving in Lebanon via the Mossad nearly a decade ago, in 2015. These portable two-way radios contained relatively large battery packs, hidden explosives and a transmission system that gave Israel full access to Hezbollah's communications.
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I don't really understand how they thought pagers were anymore secure than cell phones.
Unless they only sent code words, which don't really mean shit because the key would have to also be sent by some electronic means unless they really distributed paper copies to everyone.
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They clearly didn't learn from the great documentary "The Wire".
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You cant trace a pager. No missile up your butt, even if you have to use a shitty watch code like in the wire
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Terrorists who live most of their lives in caves might not the smartest people around
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I find this all really confusing because Hezbollah used to be really good at not doing r-slurred shit like this. That was their trademark. They had better intelligence on the Israelis than vice versa. We know that was definitely true at least up to 2006.
Obviously this changed at some point but I don't know when or why. It's like they all started taking tard pills all of the sudden.
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If Israel managed to infiltrate a few of their guys in Hezbollah then it's possible that the spies slowly pushed all the competent people to the side and encouraged the promotion of the most r-slurred members
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Yeah, I'm starting to think that it's HUMINT. Except they should have found the spy by now. If you got a spy then normally you would use them once before they get suspected. None of this makes sense to me.
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There's no way that Hezbollah and Iran aren't deeply compromised at this point. Lebanon and Syria have so many competing factions with troublesome internal politics that's it probably hard to find people who don't have conflicting ties and loyalties.
Iran in particular is basically a country where huge portions of the population are working against them. Between the Azeris, the Kurds, and the various militant groups it seems like a nightmare for their government to keep tabs on every potential intelligence leak. Not to mention America literally transported the MEK to fricking Albania of all places just so they could keep an anti-Iranian government organization alive. It makes sense how Mossad could clip important nuclear scientists and military leaders inside Iran.
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Iran I got. I guess because I actually knew people there and how much everyone hates the regime across the entire country. Not weirdo people who are into politics, just legit ordinary people. Basically everyone in the country who aren't cronies personally benefiting from the current regime. These people are really fricking mad. Nobody I knew was an ethnic minority or related to the MEK or anything but they were all really mad. The veil shit is extremely unpopular there. I don't want to try to predict things
but I think we're heading for a scenario like the collapse of the Soviet Union.
Lebanon, I got no sources inside the country and I don't know Arabic. It's really hard for me to tell wtf is going on there. And Hezbollah is an extremely secretive organization. My best guess is they have to deal with non-Shi'a people all the time and somehow they were infiltrated that way. But that's literally all I can even guess at.
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There are probably dozens of spies and informants. Hezbollah is deeply unpopular in Lebanon since there's no "zionist occupation" to blame for their mismanagement and corruption, and also they're shi'ites and Lebanon is mostly sunnis and christcucks.
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Yeah, this is probably the most important factor. After 24 years of telling everyone that their lives needed to be all about fighting Israel when there was no need to fight Israel, people are sick of their bullshit.
And something that nobody ever mentions in western media: They were never that popular with Shi'a either. You can tell because not many people ever actually voted for them even at the height of their popularity. They were always the guys you supported because of the war, not the guys who were your first choice.
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Who would the Shi'a rather have? Amal?
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(I have to add the caveat that the only Shi'a Arab I've ever talked to is on this site and she's Canadian, so take what I say with a grain of salt.)
Yes. They got way more votes. Hezbollah is into a lot of weird heretical ideas that Khomeini introduced in the 1980s. Amal is more the party of normie Shi'a who aren't all weird and stuff. People who just want to follow their local traditions without some butthole in Qom telling them they have to stop for some reason.
That's not to say that Amal is popular. Their leader Nabih Berri is the public face of the corruption that has ruined the country.
It's important to remember tho that originally Amal was led by Musa al-Sadr. He was a truly heroic figure. Strong but wise and didn't chimp out. Somebody everyone respected. Like Nelson Mandela, or Oscar Romero in Nicaragua. Until that [imagine I'm writing more profanity than I have the energy to think of write now] Ghaddafi murdered him. So they can still pull voters based on that.
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They ramped up recruitment in order to send bussy boys to the Lion of Damascus. This allowed Rizzrael to sneak in spies.
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Yeah, I didn't think of that but that's gotta be a factor. They expanded a heck of a lot really fast in those years and they couldn't have known everybody they were hiring.
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Also Syria has been compromised for decades, so when Hezbollah worked closely with them, they got pozzed as well
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Yeah that place is even more fricked up. They had a coup every year after WW2. By the early 1960s they had narrowed it down to Alawis doing coups against each other. So everyone in the country from every ethnic group is butthurt because they have family who got tortured by somebody. And then in the civil war a lot of these people have to get together to keep ISIS from taking over the country and killing all minorities but it doesn't mean they suddenly like each other. Not a great situation for employing loyal workers.
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