The US is the highest GDP economy in the world in the present day, and based on how the rest of the world is doing, the US is set to remain the highest performing economy in the world for decades to come. The US currently has the highest GDP, one of the highest GDP per capita, a strong and healthy GDP growth rate, a stable population growth rate, and a population that ages far slower than the rest of the world in terms of Median age. By every metric the US is set to remain the greatest power in the world for this entire century and beyond, and is likely to make it to the top 5 and possibly even the top 3 nation states in terms of GDP per capita very soon. US power doesn't just end there however, for there is a vast Ocean sized gap between the US and the rest of the world that most people haven't quite learned to appreciate. This article is meant to help people appreciate exactly how far ahead of other nation states the US is.

1.1) Europe :

The European Union is a trade and political union of nation states that hasn't yet fully federalized. In terms of population the EU has a far larger population than the US, but otherwise is set to decline demographically unless it keeps expanding. The US became a federal government in 1789, which means the EU as a political system of governance is more than 235+ years behind the US. In terms of GDP ( nominal ), the EU is more than a generation ( 30 years ) behind the US. Same for GDP per capita income. For the average American to move to the EU would mean to literally move back to their father's time in terms of annual income, not even factoring in the additional taxes in the EU. More realistically, taking into account that the US isn't just going to stop growing in current year, it would take multiple generations for the EU to catch up to the US even if it began to grow at a higher rate than the US.

1.2) China:

China comes the closest to matching the US on the international economic stage. China currently has a higher PPP GDP than the US. In terms of Nominal GDP, if China continued to grow at present rates and the US froze in place, China could catch up within 10 years. However, China's GDP growth is actually slowing down year on year and once again we find ourselves faced with a nation state that came within 1-2 decades of reaching the US economically then began to slip back again. The US has a steadily increasing population while China has a negative population growth rate. Immigrants move to the US while people leave China. Technologically the cutting edge chips made in China are permanently stuck being 10 years behind the US and it is likely that as the standards of trade secrets of South Korea rises over time that China will get left further behind in terms of technology when compared to the US. In terms of GDP per capita, China is 45+ years behind the US in current year, but more realistically with the slowing GDP growth rate, is more than 90 years behind the US in current year.

1.3) Future planning of the US:

The US has for almost a century been the single major world power. In its dominance it has had enough funds to plan for all probabilities and events including assuming enemy forces being 2-10x more competent than anticipated and planning accordingly. Assuming an alien invasion is possible and planning accordingly. Planning for zombies. There is not a single contingency that the US government does not have a plan for. This puts any other nation state that is fighting against the US at a disadvantage, as the other nation state may be planning to fight against the US at its best, but the US has its military prepared based on plans taking into account the other side fighting at their best, the US side fricking up half their instructions, and God himself joining in on the fight on the side of the anti-US faction. The US is over prepared to say the least. This can be seen in the adaptability of their economy, their highly efficient logistics, and their ability to develop new alliances decade on decade without giving up their previous alliances. The US for all intents and purposes is future proofed and there is no way to defeat them as no other nation state has had the opportunity to plan as long as the US has, nor the funds to study and implement as many contingencies as the US has. Add in the fact that the US is forced to learn from their defeats and we see a nation state that cannot be defeated in the same way twice.

1.4) US military might:

The US military remains the strongest in the world. It is a military that has had large scale combat experience in recent times. Has some of the best equipment in the world, and has its protective armor capabilities keeping up with whichever bullet size they find being used in 3rd world battlegrounds. They got troop transport vehicles that can walk over landmines without any casualties and got drones that can fire death from the sky across entire bases without being seen by the enemy. The US military in terms of technology is generations ahead of the average military to say the least. While the European military at times come close in terms of military technology used in tanks and jets, US tech is still considered a generation ahead while being decades older, and doesn't have as many logistical and performance issues as the European equipment today. The US remains far ahead of the EU in military capabilities primarily because of them actually fighting wars, unlike the EU which never expected their ground forces to actually be used any time soon.

In previous years the Russians were considered the second most powerful military in the world. This myth has been disproved with the occurrence of the Ukraine war where they are being kept at a stalemate while more Russian territories are being taken over, with older Nato equipment and restrictions placed on Ukraine as to where they are allowed to strike. After Russia the strongest military in the world is considered to be China, a military with limited combat experience which hasn't really been blooded in a generation.

Taking these factors into account, we can consider the US military to be at least 30+ years ahead of the 2nd most powerful military in the world at all times due to a combination of more actual combat experience, better logistics, preparedness, military tech advantage.

Conclusion:

The US is at the very least 30+ years ahead of whichever country ends up as number 2. More realistically the US is generations ahead of the rest of the world and this gap will remain throughout this century. For the Average 3rd world citizen to immigrate to the US is the equivalent of traveling a century into the future. The gap between the developed world and the US is greater than the gap between a middle income nation state and the developed world. If the developed world is AAA economies then the US is a AAAAA economy.

The US is the future and where all of humanity will be moving to as population collapse depopulates nation states across the world.

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These are the three regions of the world that are losing 0.2-0.3% of their population each year at this point and their population decline is only going to continue on for the foreseeable future.

East Europe and South Europe are the worst hit as they are losing populations even after being open to immigrants. When the world collapse occurs from the global population decline, these three regions of the world will be hit first.

Not a single one of these regions is in a position to see their numbers rise again, if any of them did, the other two would be able to recover as well.

Even sending mass immigration waves of Indians to these regions of the world will not fix the problem as there aren't enough Indians on the planet to replace the entire populations of these territories taken together.

Similarly the entire population of Africa would not be able to fill these areas either.

That is to say, 2.12 billion of the world's population is set on a continual decline that is irreversible as long as the rest of the developed world exists.

The only possible way that the global populations are kept balanced across the world at the ratios similar to what exists today would be if either India never goes below the replacement rate or the whole world becomes without borders and opens up fully to African immigration letting in as many as are willing with zero restrictions in the future.

The Russian-Ukraine war does not hold any true relevance for the world as when the war is over both the nation states will be in a state of enough damage that none of them will ever fully recover to current day levels in terms of influence, population, and strength. Already, Ukraine is winning against Russia by selling its future in body bags. Russia is holding onto its war by having emptied its prisons and rural landscapes, with a Moscow now under fire from Ukrainian attacks. Before this for multiple generations East Europe was already in decline when it came to population, the end result is that the population collapse of Eastern Europe has been sped up to rates where nation states can disappear.

When we look at Southern Europe, the worst hit is Italy, which appears to be a sinking boat that all its youth are actively working day and night to escape. Spain was the one large nation in the region that was still able to keep a positive population growth rate but it too has gone down to zero and is well set to fall into rapid decline. The only thing that could save the population of Southern Europe would be mass immigration waves of the variety that its people are not ready for. Especially Italy whose people were more than happy to vote in their current party on an anti immigrant stance.

The case for the decline of East Asia is well known, as East Asia has been in the news media of the west for generations being talked of how they were set to fail and have their populations die out under the current trajectory, while ignoring how the Europeans were themselves aging in a similar direction. Japan was the first old man of East Asia. Followed by South Korea and China. If China had never implemented the one child policy it might have made it unscathed through the century, but alas, it set up a trap for the next generation a generation ago. South Korea is too divided among gender disputes to be ever capable of reconciling, and its population will likely have to worst collapse due to how extreme the difference is going to be between population sizes in the next generation compared to the current one.

Central Asia is growing at a very healthy rate, but sadly its population is also too small to be able to supply even just East Asia by itself.

Europe country survives on the back of the European Union, an entity within Europe that is capable of attracting enough immigrants from across the world ( including non-eu Europe ) as to be able to keep growing its population over time year on year, or at least every 2 years. This gives Southern and Eastern Europe a survival chance as part of the greater entity that is the EU, where these two regions can still have small populations remain on their lands as the EU continues to build these territories as part of their infrastructure projects.

East Asia on the other hand has no such luck. There is no common union among the nation states of East Asia allowing them to cooperate together and build a stronger entity together out of the now collapsing systems of their individual nation states. Each nation state in East Asia is too proud and nationalistic to give up parts of its identity even for the continuance of its people. It is in this manner that Japan, South Korea, and China perish as independent entities.

From the example of these three nation states and the continuing trend of all other nation states following in their example, we can see that the nation state is set to die out as an entity as it reaches its limits as a functional system to govern the people, with only empire equivalents ( in size or complexity ) capable of overcoming the limitations of the nation state that set it to die off over time.

As of now, only the US, European Union, and India sustain the complexity and size of empires allowing them to overcome the limitations of nation states in the future. All other parts of the world are set to collapse unless they are to come together into forming even larger unions and systems of governance.

Conclusion:

2.1 billion humans of the Earth are already in declining population regions of the world with no reversal in trends. 25% of the world's population is already going through population decline on a regional scale and the three regions are Eastern Europe ( including Russia ), Southern Europe, and East Asia. Only joining in a larger union state can save a declining nation state.

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Note : some of the numbers listed in the article may be a bit off. Do not take the contents as legitimate and correct.

If we look at human history, all of humanity is descended from a total of 1000-10,000 individuals 60,000 years ago.

Since the dawn of mankind there have been 117 billion births so far.

That is to say, that the majority of humans have always died out over time, with the better gene lines exploding in population until they had replaced all gene lines that did not share their blood and were not able to procreate with one of them.

That is to say, the majority of the humans born today are genetic dead ends no matter what based on the nature of human reproduction.

Throughout human history the richer and more powerful a class of people were, the more likely they were to successfully spread their progeny across the world, simply due to the number of choices they had for mate selection.

Modern society has already shown to be a population sink, where living like a modern citizen in the majority of cases reduces the likelihood of successful reproduction rather than raising it. Which is to say, the mega rich are the only people who successfully reproduce generation after generation and have their bloodline spread among the people.

The poor lose because at some point they would become middle class in wealth at which point there is a bottle neck among the middle class of society where only a minority of them are able to both adapt to middle class lifestyles and keep up the reproductive success rates at the same time.

Globalization has resulted in the formation of a globalized wealthy class, middle class, and poor class in terms of nation states, where we are seeing the strongest die off among the middle income nation states such as Eastern Europe and East Asia. As poor nation states rise in terms of income levels, they too see diminishing reproductive success that goes far below the reproductive success of developed nation states.

Immigration flows also add to this, as the most powerful nation states have immigrants come in and become naturalized within 3-4 generations mixing their gene line with the home population, which at the end of the day results in developed nation bloodlines successfully reproducing down the line.

Of all the humans born today, in the developed world we can already see the trend of half the population or even more leaning towards never having children. This trend also shows no reversal over time, signifying that at the end of the day, we can expect only 1% of the population today to be part of the global population 6-7 generations down the line.

1% of 8.4 billion humans is 84 million humans. The US is where all of humanity is headed and the US makes up 4.23% of the global population, signifying that the US will always end up making up the world's total population in the end.

This is primarily due to the fact that you need a minimum population of 330 million and growing to be in the 10 trillion USD plus club. Which guarantees that all other nation states with a lower population will all fail, stagnate, and die off long before they reach 10 trillion USD no matter what they do.

As it is human nature to move towards wherever wealth lies, we see that humanity continues to grow towards the US as long as it remains the most powerful nation in the world. As China and India find themselves unable to topple the US on the global stage, it leaves zero nation states in a position where their population will not be leaning towards the US over time.

Due to this constant in flow of citizens to the US till the end of humanity, the surviving 1% are always to be found in the US at the end which guarantees that all humans will be related to US citizens in 7 generations.

South Korea for example :

2060 - population halves to 25 million

2090 - population halves to 13 million

2120 - population halves to 7 million

2150 - population halves to 3.5 million

2180 - population halves to 1 million

Population too low to run a sustainable nation state, everybody leaves, likely gaining asylum in the US which can assimilate 1 million Koreans over the next 10 years.

This scenario exists for all of East Asia right now.

China for example :

2060 - China population halves to 700 million

2090 - China population halves to 350 million

2120 - China population halves to 200 million

2150 - China population halve to 100 million

2180 - China population halves to 50 million

2210 - China population halves to 25 million

China has 1 million people leaving the country each year at this point which results in the nation becoming empty in another 25 years.

The US is the final survivor because US immigration based growth never stops. European Union is incapable of surviving only on immigration, they have to geographically expand to always have a net positive population growth rate, which means that at some point their population will begin to decline over time.

Europe's population today is already on its way to halve each generation as well:

2060 - Europe's population halves to 350 million

2060 and beyond - Europe's population follows the trend line of China after 2090.

The global population movement continues ever westwards resulting in all of the world emptying out into the US at the end of the day.

The US population itself will remain around the 400 million humans mark, after which its population will once again begin to grow at the 1% will have replaced all of the non performing and non-successful 99% populations, resulting in a new population explosion across the world, this time with the planet being occupied by Americans. This wave of American expansionism will occur in the 23rd century.

Germany and France become the last major nation states in Europe where the entire population of Europe empties out over time.

If we look at the developed and developing world, the developed world has the most number of immigrants. Out of the developed world, the US has the most immigrants. Which again shows that the US wins.

If we look at the numbers by income levels, any nation state with an income level below 14,000 USD per capita is going to die out in the end. Again leaving US as the winner.

If we look at the numbers by continents, Asia has the higher number of immigrants, with western Asia having the highest number of immigrants among all the Asian regions, once again showing us that global immigration is moving westwards, which again leaves the US as the final destination of humanity.

In West Asia the highest number of immigrants are to be found in Saudi Arabia, which shows us that Saudi Arabia is the link between the east and the west where rich immigrants from Saudi Arabia move into the west while the poor populations in Saudi Arabia replace the immigrants who move out.

The west already has strong relations with half of the middle east and continues to expand its influence, signifying that once again west Asian populations are meant to move further west to Europe and North America.

Long term whichever way you look at the numbers, at the end of the day the US wins because every other developed economy over time ends up with a lower fertility rate than the US, lower net migration rate than the US, and lower wealth than the US, so over the course of centuries where the US does not fail, humanity ends up all moving to the US.

This is why the US will never expand, because it is the exact size it needs to be to rule over the Earth and to rule over humanity once everybody moves to the US.

Continental centers of the world according to total migration numbers:

1. East Africa - Uganda and Ethiopia

2. Middle Africa - Democratic Republic of the Congo

3. Southern Africa - South Africa

4. Western Africa - Cote D Ivoire and Nigeria

5. Northern Africa - Sudan

6. Western Asia - Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Turkey

7. Central Asia - Kazakhstan

8. Southern Asia - India

9. Eastern Asia - Hong Kong and Japan

10. South East Asia - Malaysia and Thailand

11. Caribbean - Dominican Republic

12. Central America - Mexico

13. South America - Argentina and Chile

14. Oceania - Australia

15. Eastern Europe - Russian federation and Ukraine

16. Northern Europe - United Kingdom

17. Southern Europe - Italy and Spain

18. Western Europe - Germany and France

19. North America - US

When any of these territories begin to lose populations over time the end of the species has begun because even the largest territory in the region is no longer attracting enough migrants to keep itself alive.

As of now Germany and France are somehow holding on, Spain is barely holding on, Italy is dying, Russian federation and Ukraine are dying, Thailand is dying, and Hong Kong is dying.

This shows us that the end of human dominance and ownership of the entire planet is already coming to an end and that there are entire continental regions that are already on the path of dying out before the end of the century.

Conclusion:

The US will be the last stronghold of humanity. Multiple regions of the world are already dying out in terms of human presence. Global populations will continue to become more concentrated in the most developed parts of the world. Any bloodline the members of which do not reproduce with or end up as US citizens are guaranteed to die out over time.

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It is often said that the US invents, Europe legislates, and the Chinese copy.

This statement is only partially correct and misunderstand the natural place that China has occupied in the global world order, a place that fits it perfectly like a glove.

China does not simply copy, it transfers, it distributes, it standardizes.

The US and Europe were the winners by the end of the 20th century, yet the population of the European Union nor the US was large enough to supply the rest of the world with products at the desired price point. At the start of the new millennium there were 6.1 billion people in the world, and the US with 5% of the worlds population was not big enough, nor cheap enough, to supply the rest of the world with their products. Europe similarly was incapable of the industrial base required to supply the world with cheap goods at rates where every country no matter how poor, had access to them in their markets.

The rise of China changed that, and China became as a gateway for the third world, the developing world, to have access to all the commodities and middle tier goods that were once limited to the wealthy or the first world. China became the factory of the world, and allowed the developing world to set up standardized expectations of what they could afford, instead of it being split into nation states where what goods you can be supplied with differed nation to nation.

Today, China has become the largest exporter in the world, providing goods and services at affordable rates to the rest of the world. As 17.87% of the world population, it has enough people to provide a true global industrial base that goes beyond the first world.

The largest exporter in the world however, suffers from a demographic crisis, which makes it impossible for it to maintain that industrial base at the same level of production and price point due to its fast rising quality of life and income. Once again a gap is created in the global supply chain, which is now filled by India, a nation state with population numbers similar to China, and with a per capita GDP low enough for them to fill the gaps wherever China's wages rise too far to be able to make any products at a cheap price.

China and India together make up more than 37% of the world's population, a large enough industrial base for a global supply chain to be able to provide all the necessary baseline products for the rest of the world without issue, even with the declining demographics of China. This also guarantees the place of China or India as the third richest economy in the world at all times, as these two countries act as the industrial base of the world that actually is capable of reaching every single corner of the world. In current year, India is set to surpass the GDP of both Germany and Japan by the end of the decade, which fits in with India becoming the new global industrial base of the world.

The downwards effect this has on the global supply chain is that no jobs would ever go to Africa on the global supply chain, simply because India and China together have already covered all corners and levels of the global supply chain below the developed economy high end products. This limits Africa's GDP growth to be always below that of India at all times, irrespective of what they do or do not do, at least until India becomes developed enough as to give up on producing lower end goods on the supply chain.

Africa gets left behind as the last player on the world chain simply because of how many larger players on the world stage are ahead of them globally. Between the US, Europe, and Asia, there is just not enough of the pie left for them to throw labor at.

This trend can also be seen in global immigration, where the US, Europe, and the middle east are able to satisfy all their migrant needs via taking in educated Asians, to the point that there are no more seats left for Africans to fill. In this manner Africa becomes limited in immigration flows, GDP growth, and industrialization, simply because of the existence of India and China further up the supply chain.

Due to these reasons, Africa becomes limited to supplying raw resources to the world as their primary market space. The bottom rung of the ladder. Which causes them to grow at the rate of global wage increase, and global market products becoming cheaper.

The role that China and India occupy in today's and tomorrow's world is one that was previously occupied by Japan, but Japan was never large enough to provide goods to even half the world, no matter how cheap they made them. This is why we can see Japan fail in the face of being surrounded by global behemoths right next to it.

Every new civilization or global power rises forth has to face the challenge of being a better system or more powerful in some manner than the adversaries around them and the predecessors before them to be able to sustain themselves. As India and China take up the bottom tiers of the global supply chain, any nation state that wishes to have any chance of rising any further above in the world would have to be able to match them in capabilities and numbers. In this manner the rise of China and India also pushes for the rest of the world to form ever larger unions, as when faced with the US, the EU, China, and India above them, none of the other nations of the world are powerful enough to hold their own against any of these players on the world stage.

Isolationist societies end up dying due to this reason, as the only way to survive is now expansionism and multiculturalism to gain a large enough size and scale fast enough to be able to compete against the big players of the world as it has become now. This is why cultures such as the East Asians are set to fail, due to their inability to adapt to a world where they need to join together with their neighbors economically, politically, and legislatively.

Conclusion:

India and China are the only countries large enough to actually supply the entire global supply chain. They take up the role of global distributors standardizing the goods available to the rest of the developing world. India and China taking up such as large chunk of the global supply chain limits the growth of all nation states smaller than them including Africa. The existence of large nation states and unions such as the US, the EU, India, and China, make it impossible for any other nation state that exists in its current form to be able to surpass any of them, and between these 4 big players there is no more meaningful space left on the global supply chain. This in turn causes the death of isolationist states and the rapid rise of regional unions through the century to be able to stay competitive.

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South Korea's fertility rate is already down to 0.72 and declining. At those rates South Korea is losing 66% of its population every generation. The worst part is that South Korea's fertility rate still has not stabilized and is continuing to go down year on year. At current trajectories we can expect South Korea's population to fall below 10 million people by the end of the century.

Similarly we are seeing the population fertility rate continue to decline in all populations across the world with no bottom level at which the fertility decline stops.

Africa's fertility rate while far higher than the rest of the world is consistently going down as well. The US, one of the most stable rich nation states in the world, also has its fertility rate going down over time, showing us that in the best case scenario, developed nation states can hold the line for a decade at a time at most.

Israel today remains one of two developed nation state with a higher than replacement fertility rate, and even Israel continues to lower in fertility year on year, with Saudi Arabia barely two to three years away from falling below replacement fertility levels as well.

If we are to look at nation states by population, China and India, the only two 1 billion plus population nation states, are both below replacement rate and continuing to decline over time.

The US as the third largest population nation state also remains below replacement rate, and Indonesia the fourth largest population country is the first nation on the list to have an above replacement fertility rate, with its fertility rate expected to fall below replacement as well in another decade at most. This leaves us with Pakistan as the first nation state in the population list with a fertility rate above 3, which is expected to fall below replacement levels in another 20-30 years. We see a similar trend for all high fertility high population nation states, where we can expect all of them to fall below replacement levels before 30 years are out at most.

That is to say, demographically, the world is going to continue to decline in terms of global fertility for at least the next 30 years, and far more likely to continue to decline until it reaches at least 1.5 fertility rate, as this appears to be the point where most developed nation states managed to stabilize for long periods of time. The global fertility rate falls about .3 point every 12 years which means we can expect the global fertility rate to go below replacement before 2035, and we can expect the global fertility rate to have a chance of stabilizing around 1.5 by the year 2060. It is however far more likely that by 2060 the global fertility rate will not stop at 1.5, but simply slow down and continue to crawl its way towards 1.3 and then 1.1. As the global fertility rates continue to decline year on year, the only winning strategy appears to be slowing down the decline by passing policies that accrue benefits to married couples with children such as parental leave and childcare support as part of national policy. These policies come nowhere close to reversing fertility trends in any meaningful manner, but tend to slow down population collapse by another 2-5 years every time such a policy is passed focusing on providing more support to couples with children.

These continually declining demographics force the world and its countries between two choices, either to continue to provide more and more benefits to people with children over time, or to make people responsible for having their own kids, with no additional support from the government. As we can see based on global trends, nation states that make the couple responsible for their children with no support in the form of parental leave or childcare costs being subsidized, tend to do far worse in terns of the population of children being born than more individualistic nation states that support providing support to people with children and give them enough time to raise their families.

Generally there is a negative correlation between a nation state having a developed economy and a nation state having lots of children. The US being the first developed economy without any future collapse, has done impressively well in keeping its fertility rate as high as they have. Any developed nation states with a fertility rate below that of the US are obviously implementing worse systems of governance and policies which guarantee their future failure in comparison to the US. If you are a nation state with a fertility rate below that of the US, you have no future. As the US itself with a fertility rate of 1.7 is only able to function due to being the number one nation state at assimilating useful immigrants from across the world.

As of now, there are 77 territories across the world that are currently set to fail as they have a fertility rate below that of the US. As global fertility rate continues to decline and nation rates continue to go down as well across the world, it is far more likely than not that the number of nation states with no future are only going to keep increasing over time. This is primarily due to the fact that the way the US is set up, their demographic trends shift far slower than the rest of the world. There will come a point within the next decade or two where the US will have a higher fertility rate than Mexico over time. We can similarly expect a point in time where the Israeli and Saudi Arabian fertility rate will one day be lower than that of the US.

Conclusion:

The global population growth rate is doomed. All developed nation states over time end up with fertility rates below those of the US. Only the US immigration policy is successful enough to survive the 1.7 fertility rate it is stuck at. The US is the most stable demographic nation in the world. As all developed economies have fertility rates that fall below the US, the US is going to remain the last man standing in a world where the population growth rate never recovers. The easiest way for the US to win is to make the rest of the world developed, which ensures all other nation states will be declining faster than the US over time.

The rest of the world is not designed to be able to handle and survive modernization as it is not possible to do so without opening yourself up to immigration from across the world, which 70-80% of the non-western world is culturally incapable of. Even Singapore knows this.

Xenophobic nation states will fail. Negative immigration rate nation states will fail. Nation states stuck with fertility rates below that of the US will fail. Nation states with declining populations will fail.

That is the case because the US has figured out how to not fall into any of these categories.

By these standards the nation states that are going to survive are:

1. USA

2. Brazil

3. France

4. UK

5. South Africa

6. Argentina

7. Iraq

8. Angola

9. Malaysia

10. Saudi Arabia

Germany almost makes it so it is possible Germany will be holding by a thread.

Nation states with populations below 30 million not counted.

Globally these 10 nation states will accrue power and influence over the next 30 years. South America is going to once again become relevant to global affairs and global trade within the next 30 years.

We can expect USA to hold first place.

Brazil will end up being the central power in South America where South America is emptying into along with the US and Europe.

Argentina has a 50-50 chance of holding relevance of falling into decline as Brazil out competes it.

France is steady and healthy a developed economy even with their strange ways.

UK remains a healthy nation state that is going to survive the future even as it loses overall influence. It's population is going to keep going up year on year and it will retain power at levels similar to France.

South Africa survives as being far more advanced than any other nation states around it which means loads of immigration to South Africa from the rest of Africa.

Iraq has been colonized and is ruled by people meant to favor the west. They will grow in time into a western ally if they aren't already.

No idea what's up with Angola, the numbers state its a healthy economy.

Malaysia is a healthy economy that is growing well. It will remain a relevant country in the future.

Saudi Arabia is a major middle east power. For all intents and purposes it is a developed monarchy and arabs keep immigrating to the region. Saudi Arabia is going to become western aligned over time and will westernize over time as that is what the monarch wants for all intents and appearances.

These will be the powerhouses of the world by the end of the century:

USA ( North America )

Brazil ( South America )

South Africa ( Sub Saharan Africa )

Saudi Arabia ( Middle East )

France/ UK ( West Europe/ European Union )

Malaysia ( South East Asia )

Expect the regional territories around these countries to depopulate over time while these countries continue to grow in population.

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EDIT: This is for people entering or in the early stages of depression, and for those who are closing out their fight with it. If you are truly feeling suicidal, please call a suicide hotline and seek help from a therapist or a friend/family. Anyone you can talk to.

1. Meeting your soulmate

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2. Going to your friend's weddings

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3. Stargazing

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4. Food

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5. Going to every country

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6. Nice smelling candles

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7. Music

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8. Concerts

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9. The people that love you.

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10. Snowball fights

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11. Going to the beach

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12. Sunsets

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13. Sunrises

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14. Hiking in Forests

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15. Dogs and Cats and Pets

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16. New movies

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17. Old movies

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18. Going to the drive in theatre

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19. Walking through local markets

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20. Your favorite artists next song

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21. Drawing

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22. Sculpting your own pots

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23. Birthdays

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24. Inside jokes with your friends

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25. That special persons laugh

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26. Warm houses on cold days

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27. Bonfires with smores

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28. Reconnecting with old friends

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29. Smelling flowers

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30. Soft plushies

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31. The smell of fresh baked cookies

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32. Kareoke

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33. Sleepovers

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34. Your favorite videogame

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35. Learning a new language

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36. Long walks on the beach

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37. Seeing every ocean

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38. Squishy bunnies

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39. Going to the store to smell perfumes

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40. Long hot showers

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41. Tea/ coffee

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42. Seeing rainbows

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43. Helping wounded animals

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44. Bath bombs

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45. Cleaning the Earth

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46. Getting married

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47. Going to see brodway shows

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48. The sound of rain

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49. Long car rides

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50. Going on a train

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51. Memes

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52. Going to the zoo

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53. Looking at funny art

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54. The smell of old books

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55. Butterflies

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56. Collecting shells

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57. Color

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58. Sending letters

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59. Surprise parties

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60. Warm sheets

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61. Reading

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62. Swimming in the pool at night

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63. Going to diners with friends

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64. Early morning runs

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65. Looking at old photos

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66. Going to a museum

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67. Soft sweaters

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68. Glitter

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69. Going to the aquarium

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70. Hugs

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71. Making snow angels

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72. Holidays

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73. Home cooked meals

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74. Roller coasters

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75. Decorating for parties

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76. Playing pranks on friends

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77. Dancing

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78. Singing in the shower

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79. Seeing your favorite animal in person

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80. Meeting your hero

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81. Bubble wrap

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82. Ice water on hot days

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83. Poetry

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84. Trying on funny clothes

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85. Hanging out with friends

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86. City skylines

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87. Wearing your favorite color

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88. Beautiful wildlife

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89. Collecting stickers

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90. Making some ones day

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91. Laughing so hard you can't breath

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92. Warm blankets fresh from the dryer

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93. Sewing

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94. Seeing the future

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95. Late night convos

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96. Rewatching your favorite show

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97. Blowing Bubblegum

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98. Boardgames

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99. Sitting out in the rain

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100. Bubbles

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101. Cooking new thing

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102. Bob Ross tutorials

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103. Picnics

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104. Tire swings

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105. Old architecture

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106. Reading books

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107. Growing your own food

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108. Clear skies

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109. Baking things you love

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110. Finding new hobbies

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I promise no matter what, thing will get better then where they are now, there's so much more to life then feeling down. There's so much you haven't done yet and I hope that now matter what you know how much you are loved, and wanted, and appreciated. It gets better I promise. 💗

A country who is the aggressor and still ends up with their land getting occupied is very unlikely to end up being the winner of the conflict. We can say with 80-90% certainty that Russia is not going to win this war that began with the invasion of Ukraine.

We can expect this conflict to carry on for 3-5 more years before Russia has to give up due to a combination of lack of funds, inflation, and population loss.

After that, Russia has already done a big enough number of Ukraine that Ukraine isn't going to recover as a functional nation state. The only choice Ukraine now has is to join the EU and fall comfortably into national decline where the GDP go up but the population disappears over time.

This is a big win for the western powers as now the western powers have defeated Russia ( again ) by using their weakest member ( Ukraine ), and Ukraine now fully sides with the west as a long term ally and member. This also opens up further pressure on Belarus to either fully join into Russia or give up all ambitions and turn back towards the west for support and economic partnership.

Russia itself is likely to maintain its geographical integrity, having to give back all Ukrainian lands in exchange for Ukraine giving back the Russian lands that it occupies. Russia would however be left worse off than before it started the war, as its population will be demographically far worse off due to all the deaths and injuries in the war, its labor force will be worse off due to all the deaths and injuries from the war, its intellectual supply will be worse off due to anybody with any competency in their work running away, and its economy will be worse off for having to recover from a war time economic status, higher than GDP growth inflation, and the continued primary and secondary sanctions from the west. This puts Russia in a position where their economy is going to decline year or year, or at the very least stagnate to the point of falling behind year on year, similar to Japan in the past and current generation.

As the Russia economy falls to levels where it cannot sustain itself, it becomes codependent on other larger economies for its growth. With the west shut off to Russia, it is left depending on China for its continued survival. China takes full advantage of this opportunity and loses a potential rival in the form of Russia, and gains a permanent raw resource and cheap labor provider in Russia, as China's continually growing economy can prosper with a Russian labor class beneath the Chinese middle class, similar to poor nation immigrants moving to the US as maids and McDonalds workers in the first generation.

This loss of power in Russia would result in Russia being unable to extend its influence beyond its borders, and any nation state around the globe which was reliant on Russian support to keep itself afloat would be worse off in the near future. Such as Assad's Syria, Armenia, Iran, and Palestine. We can see these current anti-western conflicts as all being connected by a network of non-western aligned nation states cooperating with one another, and the loss of Russia results in the weakening of all parts of the structure.

Russia's loss on global power or even regional power would also open up space of Kazakhstan to keep growing in the region, which would mean that a more western aligned Kazakhstan would replace Russia as the regional power in Central/ Northern Asia. Kazakhstan has been following slowly in the footsteps of the liberal world order and generally thinks favorably of Europe. With Kazakhstan as the primary power in the region, western influence over the world would have increased in comparison to western influence with an aggressive Russia leading the region.

Russia's defeat while acting as advantageous for China in the form of a completely codependent neighbor to fully exploit in the near future for resources and cheap labor, nevertheless places China at a disadvantage of having no strong allies, and being surrounded by neutral partners who are willing to trade with China but completely unwilling to be influence by Chinese ideals or culture. On the global stage the defeat of Russia worsens the position of China as no anti-west aligned nation state is now going to believe that they can defeat the west with Chinese backing. Any country that was unwilling to take a side, or worried about China being the future dominant power would be more likely to side with the west and its ideals in the future. Which once again pushes the world towards further westernization, with ever more countries being counted as part of the western led world order.

China is also unlikely to carry on the invasion of Taiwan, as they see the outcome of modern warfare for one of the most powerful non western military in the world. As China fails to form successful long term partnerships with strong nation states, the space for them to keep expanding decreases over time. This means a further decline of China in the future as their GDP growth rate falls below that of the US as their economic network reaches its limits.

The only possible winning move left for China is if India were to align with it but that is no longer possible due to China occupying thousands of kilometers of Indian land. In the work space or the study of human psychology space this personality is referred to the kind of person who snatches up whatever they can take, but most often these people fail in life as they burn up too many bridges over time. China similarly, is a smart man who has burned too many bridges and continues to burn too many bridges to ever reach the top of the world.

The decline of China also pretty much guarantees a west aligned India that continues to further westernize over time and has the majority of Indians immigrating to the western world.

Conclusion:

Russia is almost guaranteed to lose the war. Russia's loss means the anti-west aligned alliance/ network is going to collapse in on itself. Further westernization will continue. China is going to fall further into decline. India will end up aligning with the west and westernizing over time.

Playstation currently is already doing bad enough that they have to release their exclusives on pc after 2 years on the playstation. Which is to say, the only advantage playstation has for games is that the games arrive two years earlier on the playstation.

Playstation in the current generation has also had the biggest game release failure of all time, with concord pretty much making 0$ worth of revenue on the game Concord with a budget of 200 million USD.

Playstation on the ps5 definitely has some games that use the hardware well enough that they wouldn't be able to run on the ps4. The gap while not as huge as the gap felt between the ps2 and the ps3, or perhaps even the ps3 and late gen ps4, is still large enough as to be noticeable. The issue the ps5 faces now is that the core ps5 hardware has likely already reached its limits for a good quality gaming experience if games are to be visually improved any further, which is why they had to release the ps5 pro for a mid-gen refresh.

In terms of performance improvements the ps5 pro is a decent machine. If offers a 45% improvement in performance when compared to the base ps5, which is a decent enough increase in capabilities as to allow game developers to really take advantage of so as to create far better games for the platform. The primary issue lies in the pricing of the new ps5 pro model. With costs 699 USD/ 799 Euros. The base playstation 5 in comparison costs 499 USD. For most people, a mid tier pc purchased at 699 USD would make for a better deal than a 699 ps5 pro. Especially taking into account that the stand for the ps5 pro and attaching a disk drive to it both have additional costs and are not available with the 699 USD purchase.

That is to say, the ps5 pro has priced itself out of the market. It has become a product that only Americans can afford and for the most part even Americans do not want to pay that much for a playstation based on all the comments posted online about the product.

Comparing the competition: Microsoft games.

Microsoft and Xbox have the primary advantage that Microsoft unlike the playstation is not exclusively a platform first in the gaming industry. When the xbox releases its games for the pc, those games are still running on a microsoft product ( windows ). This allows Microsoft to benefit far more from the current generation open platform gaming environment than the playstation ever could. While the Xbox has not had any out of the world exclusives on the platform this generation, it has certainly had the benefit of having no great losses either.

The primary disadvantage for the Xbox Series X is that it has sold around one third of the consoles that the ps5 has sold so far. This gap is likely to be covered in the future not by increasing Xbox sales but by declining playstation sales instead. While the playstation appears to be chasing after an ever richer customer base, microsoft appears to be sticking to the tried and tested affordable to the average middle class Joe sales tactic for their consoles.

All Microsoft has to do to win or get closer to winning is to maintain the current trajectory when it comes to pricing.

Next generation consoles : What does the future hold for Playstation and Xbox

It is safe to assume that the PS6 when it releases is going to have the same price point as the playstation pro today or an even higher price tag. It is highly likely that nobody would be willing to pay that price tag for the playstation 6 unless the playstation 6 is 10 times more powerful than a playstation 5 to say the least. The Playstation 2 ended up being the best selling console of all time. The playstation 4 the second best selling playstation console of all time. The Playstation 3 the third best selling and the ps5 lags far behind at the fourth best selling. Following this trend line, it is highly likely that the ps6 will sell even lower numbers than the ps5. Similarly, the Xbox Series X has had far lower sales numbers than even the original Xbox or Xbox one, signifying that in the next generation the Xbox can also be expected to keep declining in sales. It appears that console generations might end simply due to everybody losing interest in buying consoles to play games anymore.

What went wrong?

It is hard to say but the most likely answer is a combination of:

1. Lack of exclusives that are as exciting as the last generation - All playstation games will at some point be available on PC as well ( Except for astrobot perhaps ). Similarly Xbox games are available of the microsoft game store on pc. Nobody really wants to buy a console just for 1 or 2 exclusive games that they would otherwise not be able to play.

2. Lack of a jump in the quality of gaming - The leap between the ps1 and the ps2 was the largest. The leap between the ps3 and the ps4 was smaller, and the leap between the ps4 and the ps5 was so small that they were releasing ps5 games for the ps4 for half of the ps5 lifecycle. There is no space left for consoles to improve 5-10x in quality anymore, and it is impossible to woo a customer to buy a product across 7-8 years by telling them the newer model runs smoother at 30 more framerates. That point alone is not a good enough selling point for most customers out of buy gaming consoles.

3. Nintendo ate their lunch - Nintendo has successfully managed to continue keeping a closed ecosystem for their games. Nintendo Switch is the cheapest high end gaming console around at the original price of 299 USD in 2017, and provides the most fun games for the core audience of children that video games were originally meant for. As of now Nintendo switch is one of the best selling games in the world and rising in sales still, only surpassed by the Nintendo DS and the playstation 2.

4. The PC has clear noticeable advantages over consoles now - Steam on PC makes it very easy to buy and keep track of games. PC gaming is the largest market for online gaming. The FPS market is the biggest market for gaming and shooting with a mouse and keyboard is far more accurate than shooting with a gaming console controller. The PC allows for far greater options in modding games than the playstation or Xbox. Playstation had the advantage with storytelling games but they threw it away with DEI games which ruins the experience ( looking at you Last of US 2 ).

Conclusion:

Console gaming is dying. It will probably be dead in another 2-3 generations at most. You are better off buying a pc which everybody buys anyways rather than buying a pc and then buying a gaming console separately.

Writing IQ 115

Voice level :

145 Hz voicecel