/h/kamala House Femboy Founder
Unbroken they/them Themepark ride designer @ IDF  2mo ago (image post) 1,254 thread views #298987
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Kamala sisters... I don't feel so good

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New Old Top Bottom Controversial Random
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Kamala sisters don't listen to this lying Trumper!

New statistical models from the greatest minds at /r/neoliberal show a strong lead for ol Oakland Kam.

https://i.rdrama.net/images/1725913051839863.webp

Polls even show we might get blue Texas this year!

https://i.rdrama.net/images/17259130516005921.webp

Mods can we ban this bad faith poster spreading misinformation!

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Kamala has a bigger lead in electoral college than popular vote

:marsey#math:

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chud states like FL and TX are "up in the air"

:#marseyveryworried:

!slots400

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https://i.rdrama.net/images/17259267714866066.webp

I'd love to hear all the arguments totally flipped if Kamala only won the electoral.

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>texas uncertain

:surejan:

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:marseyindignant: just check /r/Texas to get a taste of the options of real Texans not Russian propaganda. The only reason Texas isn't blue is because of illegal Rethuglican voter suppression.

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/r/texas redditors thinking they are some kind of freedom fighters for not being Rethuglicans (despite still being REDDITORS) is one of the funniest things ever

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It just so happens trump has literally no chance of winning but we are still on the verge of fascism

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Even if there was a 1% chance of Trump realising his fascist dream I would fight tooth and nail to stop him.

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any fricking questions?

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2016 all over again

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How many years have they been saying blue Texas?

:marseyjerkofffrown:

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I've been hearing about blue Texas for about as long as I've been hearing about conservatives being noncompetitive in general due to demographic changes.

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running a campaign on being brat and coconut pilled doesn't have staying power apparently

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She was widely unpopular before, turns the more people hear her talk the more they remember they hate her

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Nate called the "convention bounce" before it happened. People get temporarily excited and lots of news cycles about DNC, then the novelty of a new thing wears off and people got back to default

she probably had a extra bounce because everyone hated Biden so much and didnt care what replaced the corpse, which might be enough to win if she stays out of interviews

Last update: 4 p.m., Monday, September 9: We continue to see mediocre data for Kamala Harris, like a new Pew national poll with a very large sample size that showed the race tied nationally — which would probably translate to a loss for Harris in the Electoral College. Although the model's convention bounce adjustment will get phased out as we see more post-Labor Day and post-debate data, things are going in the wrong direction for her even without the adjustment. Her lead in our national polling average is down to 2.3 points after having peaked at 4.3 points on Aug. 23.

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

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I feel like people also heard her speak again. Like most normal people have probably heard Kamala maybe twice in the past 4 years, now she was on a telly/on their FB/TikTok feeds a bunch of times and they remembered they don't really like her.

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Is she less likable than Hillary? She's lucky Trump is old and boring new. But he keeps being gifted flawed women

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Kamala is everything bad that rightoids accuse queen hilldawg of being.

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Seems like she's good at BJs though. Hilldawg was terrible, which is why ol' Bill had to go wandering to the interns.

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Her greatest failing

:#marseysigh:

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Is she less likable than Hillary?

She is extremely unlikable even for the low, low standards we hold for politicians. She makes Hilldawg look like Jason Statham.

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It's hard to imagine current Trump won't frick up a debate against anyone as young as her, but I keep wondering.

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My boy Ruy Teixheira has been screaming especially vocally lately that vibes are nice but they don't replace all the voters the Democrats are losing in pretty much every category other than white college-educated. Vibes go away in weeks. Truly alienating a loyal voter to the point where they drop out of the whole political process, that lasts a lifetime.

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I was someone who didn't really vote but would occasionally go vote, and usually for a democrat. But after they forced me to get vaxmaxed or lose my job they lost me for life

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I only listen to Nate

:marseynatesilverpat:

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fake news https://i.rdrama.net/images/17259128831057231.webp

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538 literally changed their model after Biden dropped out because it was showing that Harris was behind.

Their model has the predictive power of a rock with "democrats will win" written on it.

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even before biden dropped out, weren't they doing some shit where they were just giving biden a boost because "incumbent" even though it wasn't actually reflected in polls?

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@PatriceOneal this is what i mean about how moids can only cope, not evaluate

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He's talking about 538 run by this guy https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/G._Elliott_Morris

Nate's Silver Bulletin is still fulled by pure autism :marseyautism:

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i meant @tempest is coping, but yes, all those other scrotes are coping too

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Yea, and then they had to scramble to change it

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You can look at the actual polls on 538, it's not like this graph is unbelievable

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It's not just a sum of the polls. Nerds dug into the 2024 538 statistics and found it's non-reproducible woo woo, which means they are manually stepping on numbers and not really using a full statistical model.

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I'll trust 538 any day before I trust Nate silver

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Homophobe

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:#marseybaited:

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:#marseygiggle:

black lives matter less

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Big fan of ur work btw bb, simply shocking how effective you are

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Thx fam :marseyblowkiss:

Black lives matter less

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538 has nothing to do with Nate and Nate thinks its run by a hack now

I still trust his nerdy balding face :#marseynatesilver:

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bad take. men are literally incapable of rational thought. the smartest moid can only cope with more advanced sophistry

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!misandrists absolutely beautiful :#marseylaying:

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my people :marseystars:

!misandrists what will your job be during the manocide?

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what will your job be during the fricking manocide, b-word?

Sandwich recipient. Now you do your job so I can do mine

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don't worry. you will be fed juuuuust enough to keep you alive. think i have no mouth and i must scream

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!fellas she said she's gonna :marseyvenn6: hand feed me, motherlover!

I think :marseygigathonk: that means she wants to marry :marseycupid: me

:#marseyblush:

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total scrote death cannot come fast enough

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In Brazil we don't like Nate Silver because he is very disrespectful towards our country

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Speak for yourself, anyone who puts macacos in their place gets a thumbs up from me

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Didn't he predict :marseyfortuneteller: yall winning soccer :marseyyellowcard: games :marseylegioncommander: that you lost or something, b-word?

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that was to cover up how disrespectful he was

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What's he say, b-word?

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He insulted our president

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Don't most Brazilians do that as well?

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no they would never that's illegal!

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https://www.newsweek.com/nate-silver-poll-kamala-harris-shrinking-lead-donald-trump-1950526

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https://i.rdrama.net/images/1725921822966298.webp

even predictit shitlibs are losing faith lol

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Bad faith anyways

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Fake news, fake graph. Source? Fake source :marseyskibiditoilet2: too. :marseykamala: sweep :marseyjannyitsoverwereback: incoming

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Took a second to notice the Kennedy flatline :marseydarkxd:

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Have you counted the dead ones yet?

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Voting Biden as a write in.

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Nate Silver is an insufferable cute twink and the last 2 weeks have just been a melt-down because his butt buddy Shapiro wasn't the VP pick and everyone's making fun of him. Anyone who still believes that 'silent majority' bullshit that pollsters like Trafalgar peddle is actually r-slurred.

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I disagree

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For now. I doubt you will once that r-slur settles his beef with morris and goes back to sperging on rethuglicans rather than other pollster r-slurs.

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Trump needs to win the popular vote for the country to heal.

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Not surprised that patriarchy prefers an r-slured, unqualified man to a competent woman

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It is time for us to do what we have been doing. And that time is every day.

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I think even ABC polls were saying its. Acoin flip. People wre locked into their choices

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