In 1974, economist Julius Shiskin came up with a few rules of thumb to define a recession: The most popular was two consecutive quarters of declining GDP
The US and UK both used this definition until the white house decided it should be different because then they would have had to say a year ago that the US was in a recession
Things havent gotten better really since, I wonder what doublethink word redefining theyll do to push the admission of an economic downturn till after Nov 24.
>“But if thought corrupts language, language can also corrupt thought. A bad usage can spread by tradition and imitation even among people who should and do know better."~George Orwell
Lmao idk why you guys keep telling this lie. The WH never changed or did anything.
As was poonted out last time you tried this lie a recession is declared on multiple metrics and there have been times whete recessions were not declared before this.
A recession basically isnt going to be declared with a strong employment number.
No, NBER uses several metrics to determine recession. You can have a few quarters of negetive gdp growth without a recession if the other metrics are good.
The EU has had recessions without 2 quarters of negative gdp growth, that alone should tell you the defining metric is not negative gdp growth, and why NBER uses several metrics.
This isnt even getting into the fact is typically takes nber over a year to even call a recession.
Oh okay so they're not using the common definition of "two consecutive quarters of negative growth". The definition we've used for decades. They're using their own definition which conveniently paints a rosier picture.
I kinda figured as much but thought maybe this time you had a point.
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https://www.forbes.com/advisor/investing/what-is-a-recession
The US and UK both used this definition until the white house decided it should be different because then they would have had to say a year ago that the US was in a recession
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Recession
Things havent gotten better really since, I wonder what doublethink word redefining theyll do to push the admission of an economic downturn till after Nov 24.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/may/31/uk-and-us-poised-to-fall-into-recession-as-interest-rates-dampen-growth
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The group that dates recessions in the US isn't even part of the US government. This is one of the dumbest rightoid conspiracy theories out there.
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Didn't they try to edit that page last time it was in the media?
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https://www.newsweek.com/wikipedia-editing-recession-joe-biden-rejects-claims-economy-1729065
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Lmao idk why you guys keep telling this lie. The WH never changed or did anything.
As was poonted out last time you tried this lie a recession is declared on multiple metrics and there have been times whete recessions were not declared before this.
A recession basically isnt going to be declared with a strong employment number.
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You mean, two consecutive quarters of declining GDP in the US where we didn't declare a recession? When?
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No, NBER uses several metrics to determine recession. You can have a few quarters of negetive gdp growth without a recession if the other metrics are good.
The EU has had recessions without 2 quarters of negative gdp growth, that alone should tell you the defining metric is not negative gdp growth, and why NBER uses several metrics.
This isnt even getting into the fact is typically takes nber over a year to even call a recession.
https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2022/0802
Nothing done here was wrong lol, rightoids are just genuinely stupid people.
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Oh okay so they're not using the common definition of "two consecutive quarters of negative growth". The definition we've used for decades. They're using their own definition which conveniently paints a rosier picture.
I kinda figured as much but thought maybe this time you had a point.
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Its not a definiton lmao. You can find papers on this from years ago.
You cant declars a recession when every metric but one is good.
Feel free to show me when NBER ever changed their own definition.
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