Ann Selzer, noted Iowa pollster, bewildered by what D and R mean in the context of polls.

https://x.com/CollinRugg/status/1853236355834519718

>I don't know why my polls are showing such a huge swing, but old ladies sure do love Harris don't they

:#marseyxd:

Chat, what do you think the D and R stand for?

87
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Yeah, the most lauded pollster in the state where polls are the most important didn't know that D & R stand for Democratic and Republican. That's gotta be the part that's confusing her, not the thing that they're discussing. :marseyfacepalm:

In the last couple weeks I've seen so many cases where politically-motivated tards will imagine a person is saying something that they obviously would never say that I gotta assume this is the "I was just pretending to be r-slurred" style of trolling.

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Yeah, what she's talking about here I think, and what the rightoids are too stupid to comprehend, is about weighting by party ID in polling.

no good pollster weights by party ID.

It goes back to the "over-sampling" myth you see r-slurs repeat constantly.

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Hmm interesting. Why did she need to ask what the D and R represent though?

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buddy, if you think the best pollster in the country doesn't know what D or R means you are genuinely r-slurred, I just told you what she was saying.

like just accept trump had a bad poll, you aren't going to discredit quite literally the best pollster to ever operate in the country, her results speak for themselves, no matter what rightoids say.

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>I just told you what she was saying

>what she's talking about here I think

>I think

You don't actually know what she's trying to say, do you?

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>Buddy, if you think the best pollster in the country doesn't know what D or R means you are genuinely r-slurred, I just told you what she was saying.

Then why didn't she say what you said?

Why did she specifically ask what D and R mean?

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Pizzashill and flunking basic stats. Name a more iconic duo.

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At 0:21 she says "what, what, what does this D represent and the R represent"

>Nooo you don't understand, she didn't mean what she said, she meant what the voices in my head said she meant!!!!

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:#marseyoctopus4:

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"I was just pretending to be r-slurred haha gotcha"

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:#marseyconfused2:

What did he mean by this

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He means he's using the "pretending to be r-slurred" defense that he was accusing others of using.

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I'm guessing he's saying she means "what, what, what does this D represent and the R represent [here]". She knows what they mean in general but he assumes she's asking about in this specific context of the tweet lifted from some data.

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I kinda wish everyone stopped lying all the time about everything. These journ*lists are out of control

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I think she's confused because they've reformulated a bunch of tabular data into text on a tweet and it's not clear if the numbers are responses or population samples.

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You are apparently the first person here who actually has experience with doing anything ever.

:marseyclapping:

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that's not very funny. maybe next time act more r-slurred and blow everything out of proportion

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:#marseyagree:

Women struggle mightily with recognizing the same data presented two ways

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:#marseycope:

Jesus christ dude. You can see the tweet she's looking at. If she wasnt sure what the numbers were being compared to she'd say that. She specifically asked what the D and R mean.

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:marseyeyeroll2:

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Uranium grade copium

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The New Redactor0 Poll is in and the numbers in the cuckcolumns are just hecking wild, they say:

House: R+خً/ R+N0ggersocks

Ohio: R+22+:marseyemojilaugh:/D+3√x-0:marseyxd:

California: D+666/ D+1488

______

:#marseydrylady:

I can't read this shit, what is the notation in reference to?

___________

:#feraljakmaga:

She :marseyemojilaugh: didn't :marseyemojilaugh: know :marseyemojilaugh: what :marseyemojilaugh: R :marseyemojilaugh: and D :marseyemojilaugh: means!!!!!!! I hate her! I hate her poll!

lmao absolute melt down a la shitlibs in 2016

Everything is gay and r-slurred and none of us are exempt

I'm gonna go do something productive like snorting some Adderall and making spreadsheets.

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If you can't understand the tweet they were talking about after 5 seconds you're an actual r-slur

I'm not even joking here, a 10 yr old could understand it at first glance

!commenters

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Can you cross reference the data from the actual crosstabs my nigga?

!nonchuds

I cross-referenced the data from your post!

English + 2

English + 3

English +4 +/-1

Chrischan +12

(If you don't know what I'm referring to :marseyshapiro:, you're clearly fucking retarded. An urban nigger could understand at first glance)

Methodology

!mom !dad !pleaselookatme

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If you explain what's so complicated about the following:

Selzer/2020 exit polls

Suburbs D+23/R+3 :marseyemojirofl:

No college R+12/R+17

College: D+30/D+7

Why do you think something like this is complex?

:marseyxd: you edited this at least twice, your fricking pissed

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1.) Homeboy said he checked her crosstabs

2. Her crosstabs do not have the information in the specific format or labels he used, because he (Girdusky, who is actually a good dude) probably went through and selected and labeled data interesting to him based on this poll and the last exit poll.

3.) She goes wtf is this? I don't know what the D or R refers to in the context of criticism to the data in my poll?

4.) Halperin explains what Giurdusky is getting at.

4.) She later answers it in full, explaining that "I obviously can't crosscheck what he's calculated here to verify if it's correct", but Rugg cut that out because he's a grifting California strag who wants to get some enagement going "THIS FRICKING WHORE IS PERSONALLY STEALING THE ELECTION"

Here's the full 50 something-minute interview where she talks about it. Basically "idk, old ladies like Harris and go almost 3-1 for her despite what the appearances are"

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Ok that's cool and all, but I'm saying that an adult human, especially one as smart as her, should be able to see

Selzer/2020 exit polls

Suburbs D+23/R+3 :marseyemojirofl:

No college R+12/R+17

College: D+30/D+7

And understand what Suburbs D+23 means.

>But it's not in the same format/doesn't have the same labels as her original data.

Ok she should have said that, instead she said

>What does this D represent and the R represnt

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Eh, it's live. I looked at the table and then wondered what it meant and then read the tweet text and it was explained. If I was in the middle of a discussion with someone there's a good chance I might have thought out loud that process just to be conversational.

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I can understand that, but acting like it's some wild esoteric shit is cope

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I figured it out before scrolling down and saw multiple dramacels getting it wrong. The bare minimum of competency is a 95th percentile trait now.

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She's obviously doesn't know anything about polling, unlike me who just learned of her 2 days ago :marseybigbrain:

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:#marseymanysuchcases:

Every day I discover another expert who's significantly dumber than me

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In the last couple weeks I've seen so many cases where politically-motivated tards will imagine a person is saying something that they obviously would never say that I gotta assume this is the "I was just pretending to be r-slurred" style of trolling.

This is election discourse.

Of course anyone with an above room temp IQ knows, after watching the video, that she was asking for clarification on what the tweet was critising, as in "in the context of this data format, what does d+3/r+8 mean?". Obviously she hasn't read the tweet before it being thrown up on the screen live and didn't read the top text. The answer to her question is "D+3 shows the overall demo spread in your recent poll and R+8 shows for the demo spread in the 2020 exits" NOT literally "D means democrat you fricking r-slurred b-word".

That said, her answer isn't very convincing lmfao

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lol almighty cope. I like how people create "troll" lefty accounts here that quickly degrade into sneedery

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Yeah I think it's just the crosstabs format.

Like "Overall: D+3/R+8". Yeah it's obvious "D+3" means "3% in favor of dems" and "R+8" means "8% in favor of repubs" but it's less obvious that it's saying "their polls said D+3 but the actual outcome was R+8".

Now you can complain about how she should have known this crosstab format or whatever but I think that makes far more sense than "she doesn't realize 'D' means 'Democrat'".

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Did you know that trump didn't know that trees suck up water? It's true I saw it on the Rogan podcast.


https://i.rdrama.net/images/17121718107069042.webp

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