https://x.com/RONPollingInc/status/1853474512232140997
New York Presidential Race 2024:
— RON Polling Inc. (@RONPollingInc) November 4, 2024
1.Donald Trump (R) - 49%
2.Kamala Harris (D) - 48%
3.Jill Stein (G) - 2%
4.Undecided - 1%
Sample Size: 1,500 Registered Voters
Margin of Error: ±2.5%
Polling Dates: October 23–29, 2024
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Is there something important about Iowa?
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There was recent poll which had Harris ahead in Iowa
https://rdrama.net/post/313340/chuds-i-dont-feel-so-good
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And? Its just some middle of nowhere state
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The assumption is that
A) If he's doing that badly in Iowa he's gonna get wrecked across the board elsewhere.
B) Iowa is also a decent model for whites in the rust belt besides all that so if he's down with them there he'll be down all over the rust belt either way.
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Dems get excited by that one Iowa poll because if it's correct (unlikely) it implies a huge shift away from Trump in a solid red state. The implication is such a shift like that would not be limited to just Iowa but indicate that Trump is weak across other states as well.
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That makes sense
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