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Is Nasrallah Dead Yet? Live-ish updates until I get bored [Updated 04:20 EST] IDF ANNOUNCES "WE GOT HIM"

Current Nasrallah news below. I'll be avoiding fluff news like retaliatory missile attacks and other happenings and just focus on the dead or alive status and related rumours or statements.

What Happened? Israel blows up some building in Beirut in an attack supposedly targeting Hassan Nasrallah, Hezbollah's very elusive big bad leader.

(this is somehow the best available footage lmao)

Latest:

IDF officially announced Hassan Nasrallah is kill Times of Israel

No body yet. No Hezbollah statement yet. I still consider this unconfirmed but it's extremely unlikely for the IDF to announce this without knowing for sure especially considering how long it's taken to do so.

More:

(in reverse chronology)

New York Times reports that Iranian officials expressed concern that the absence of a statement from Hezbollah on Mr. Nasrallah's status portended bad news and that "The cellphones of Iranian officials across the country beeped with text messages and phone calls asking variations of the same question: Any news from Sayyed? It was a reference to Mr. Nasrallah by his nickname and religious title." NYT

Iranian foreign minister says at UN meeting "the Israeli regime used several 5,000-pound bunker busters that had been gifted to them by the United States to hit residential areas in Beirut" Timers of Israel

(Curious that they are specifically saying bunker busters when this information would be impossible for them to confirm. It's as if the target was in a particularly protected area and that area was penetrated successfully?)

IDF says they are still investigating the results of the "very accurate" strike. Guardian

Hezbollah Health ministry says at least 6 are confirmed dead. No names given. Guardian

It's been hours since the strike and Hezbollah has made no official statement. Only info we have is from unnamed sources at low levels or outside but close to Hezbollah. Top leadership appears to be radio silent and unreachable according to sources close to Hezbollah. Times of Israel

Guardian reports sources close to Hezbollah say Nasrallah is "alive and well" Guardian

Iranian leaders are seething with Pezeshkian saying the attack is an "open and fragrant war crime that once again revealed the nature of state terrorism of this regime." Times of Israel

Ali Larijani, an adviser to Iranian supreme leader Ali Khamenei, tells Iranian state television that "any leader of the resistance will be replaced". - When asked what leaders he was speaking about Larijani looked panicked and changed the subject Times of Israel

Random unnamed Israeli official says "It's very hard to imagine him coming out alive from a strike like that" Times of Israel

Amos Yadlin former head of IDF intelligence says that his sources, which he does not name, are adamant that Nasrallah "is no longer with us." Times of Israel

Sources in Hezbollah claim Nasrallah is "fine".

Israel blows up some building in Beirut in an attack supposedly targeting Hassan Nasrallah, Hezbollah's leader.

!jidf

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Is Nasrallah dead?

- WINNER!

Will close when I feel like it and that time is now bets are closed, will pay when they find his body or he shows up in public

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https://i.rdrama.net/images/17274760656634183.webp

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:#taycelebrate:

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>Allah kept him safe

:#marseyxdoubt:

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Jews don't make the best music

Only this song is good

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The Yom Kippur song is a bop tho :tayjamm#in:

Chinese < hebrew < slavic are the worst languages for music imo. The yom kippur one is singlehandedly saving hebrew from being tied with chinese.

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I trust Israel to do things right, so yeah he DED

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Wtf why can't I click the button. Let me goomble. Anyway that neighbor is dead. They would have denied it by now if he wasn't.

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neighbor closed only after 1hr

The hezzies will deny this for at least 24hrs

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that b-word is dead

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Do you have a source? @BrasilIguana agree he's most likely dead, but @BrasilIguana want too be sure

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No surprise here

Thanks for playing

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IDF officially announced Hassan Nasrallah is fricking kill Times of Israel

No body yet. No Hezbollah statement yet. I still consider this unconfirmed but it's extremely unlikely for the fricking IDF to announce this without knowing for sure especially considering how long it's taken to do so.

!jidf

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:#marseyravegigaspeed:

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@BrasilIguana will wait for either a body or hez confirmation

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Paying it out now

Thx king

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!commenters

:marseyxd: this r-slur :marseypoonerrotdogbroke: is posting :marseycomplain: NOW about how hes excited :marseygravedance: to move to lebanon

https://old.reddit.com/r/lebanon/comments/1fr2tlz/my_flights_are_booked_for_lebanon/

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:marseykneel#:

based r-slur

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Watching :marseyoperasmug: Hasan Piker's stream and he is seething :marseyrobloxcry: SO hard

he got upset :marseylaptopsad: at a chat message that pointed out how many people in syria/lebanon hate hezbollah :marseypager: and are celebrating, and he dismissed lebanese people who are happy :marseydiamond: that hezbollah :marseypager: was demolished by saying something :marseysmugface: along the lines :marseystocksupdown: of "the lebanese christians think :marseyoscargamble: it's the filthy barbarian :marseyklennylegion: shias who force :marseyjetbombing: israel :marseyshutitdown: into doing this so it's ok" then said something :marseysmugface: along the lines :marseystocksupdown: of how lebanese christians still think :marseynoooticer: that theyre a "french country" and not a muslim :marseyisisfemboy: one, implying that the reason they hate hezbollah :marseypager: is because theyre cucks for colonialism or something :marseysmugface: lol

@Redactor0

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lebanese christians still think :marseynoooticer: that theyre a "french country" and not a muslim :marseyisisfemboy: one

That was true to some extent for some of them back in like the 1960s. But I don't think a lot of Greek Orthodox ever felt that way. And even the very culturally French ones didn't want to actually be a colony. I mean ffs the original purpose of the Phalangists was to join together with the Muslims and drive the French out.

A much better argument he could make is that a lot of Christians actually support Hezbollah for various reasons. How many and how much they support them I don't know, it's certainly a lot less than 20 years ago, but these people definitely do exist. Of course that would never occur to a leftoid who wants to see every interaction with people being about "settler colonialism". And somehow even though the Christians were actually there first and literally got colonized, they're still the bad guys.

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!commenters

a very good point :marseynoyouoccupy: has been raised :marseywut2:

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Michael Young

:marseysmughipskorean:

I dunno who his current employer is but this guy was a shill for the Saudis for many years. I considered him unreliable back then. I mean I would still read his stuff, it had value, but he's not someone you trust about controversial issues.

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So far everything I've seen is consistent with both him being killed and him still being alive.

A bunker underneath Haret Hreik is the kind of place where you would expect to find him and the IAF is really good at blowing people up. But I'm not convinced yet that he was actually there. They've obviously had really good intelligence on their military leaders since they've had so much success killing them off, but those guys actually have to do stuff like making phone calls that puts them in danger. Nasrallah isn't micromanaging the war on a day-to-day basis so it's a lot easier for him to just never use phones and never tell anyone he doesn't trust where he's going to be. But I don't believe the Israelis would do this unless they had some good reason to believe he would be there.

The argument that he must be dead because he would have said something by now doesn't make any sense. The guy doesn't sit around all day on his iPhone posting every little thing he does on Instagram all day like a 20-year old thot. When he makes a statement it's a video that gets passed around on a thumbdrive or something and eventually gets to the media. Especially when there was just a very serious assassination attempt against him he's not going to be doing any press conferences.

I guess at this point I'd give it maybe a 65% chance he's dead, 30% chance he wasn't there, 5% chance that he was there and somehow survived.

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Good job bobby, here's a star

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Good analysis

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Either way, Hezb really got fricked in just a month. Most people who follow the war before thought that the IDF would need months to even mop up just a handful of high-ranking officials, risking retaliation by mass infiltration and missile swarm strikes. However, the swift mop-up tells otherwise.

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"Mop-up" is a flippant remark that an r-slured child who thinks war is a game would say.

Having said that, it's surprising to me that they got such good intel on Hezbollah to kill all these guys. This is totally the opposite of what was going on in 2000 where the Israelis were powerless and Hezbollah knew everyone in the country who worked for them. I'm surprised there haven't been more missiles fired. But kinda not surprised. These numbers about "OMG Hezbollah has 200,000 missiles!" always came from the Israelis and never really made any goddarn sense.

Hezbollah is still using its same strategy as 2006 of just demonstrating that they can keep shooting rockets at a steady pace everyday no matter how many of them get killed. It's not the strategy I would pick but it's not failing. The Israelis have killed off half their leaders and have done absolutely nothing to reduce the number of rockets fired.

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Yeah, the mop-up term was :marseygigaretard:, TBF. On your second paragraph, you're spot-on. Mossad really tapped into Hezbollah quite well, probably having built a network of moles for years. This was unlike in the past, where the entire IDF and Israeli intelligence was basically rendered impotent against Hezbollah in Southern Lebanon, its own home turf.

I think that Hezbollah prays for the IDF to invade already to have a rally-round-the-flag effect around them by the Lebanese, as a whole, to overextend the IDF, and just cripple Israel's standing even more. Already, everyone in the IDF and the government, who have been somewhat disagreeing lately in Gaza, have agreed in unison for a full-scale invasion. Sharon would be proud for this outcome, but not his fellow citizens. Not even the :marseysaluteusa:.

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I think that Hezbollah prays for the IDF to invade already

This but I think it's because they have confidence they can do better at close range. Israeli air power has always been dominant. Hezbollah has absolutely no counter to it at all. They can't even try to fight back like the Egyptians did back in the day.

But if the Israelis are stupid enough to try another invasion they're in for problems. Remember in the 2006 war the Israelis had complete control of the air and bombed whatever they wanted with impunity. Hezbollah had complete control of the ground. My best guess of what the Hezbollah strategy is right now is to hope the Israelis try another ground invasion, get defeated, they capture some hostages, and they bargain using them to get what they want. That's very consistent with everything they've done in the past.

Killing Nasrallah is pointless. You can see there I can think of exactly what Nasrallah would do and I'm just some random white guy in America.

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Israel is really going to have a massive future sunk cost if it pursues invasion

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They did this before. The "Security Zone". They had to stay there for 20 years. And then they ran away when they lost.

I think it pretty well proves that IQ myth doesn't work.

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Heck, I said it here a while back that Israel's domestic politics is just enough proof that the :marseymerchant: can be stupid

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They say a bunker buster can't penetrate deep into the ground which might make them ineffective

But what if you use 5 of them, the first few to clear the building full of civilians above :marseyhmm:

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They're actually pretty effective. Supposedly they can penetrate 50m of earth. But yeah, the buildings above might be a problem. :marseythinkorino:

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IDF claimed even Hamas managed to build bunkers deep enough usually >150M where they aren't effective enough to clear them. The penetration depth of a 30yr old missile is well known

That's why I joked about killing civilians

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Huh. I don't know much about digging tunnels but I know Gaza is supposed to be really sandy and not a great place for it. Beirut certainly couldn't be worse. :marseyhmm:

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Hamas used lots of clay and concrete to reinforce the top sand, plus they had about a decade and lots of humanitarian money

Massive tunnelling operations in a Beruit suburb might not be as feasible given it's a real city. So they might have relied on civilian cover+moving around. We'll find out soon I'm sure

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So Hamas deadass used the humanitarian donations to build tunnels?

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They had a 45%+ employment rate even before the war and are currently raiding all the UN food trucks to resell the food, so most likely yes

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>Give food to warlord controlled areas

>Used for war

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!commenters

TUNE IN TO STREAM IF YOU WANT TO SEE MAJOR :marseygaygeneral: CONSTANT COOK-OFFS IN BEIRUT, ROCKETS FLYING :marseybat3: OUT AND SHIT OH MAN

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:marseyfoidretard:What are you up to this Friday night anon?

:marseybutt:Just watching some YouTuber excitedly talk over a video of Beruit burning, while he reads superchats from antisemitic conspiracy theorists

:marseybutt:You?

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Nah this dude is legit, he pays to license those live cameras, think :marseynoooticer: hes using Reuter's one right :marseyhesfluffyyouknow: now, it's basically just live feeds of beirut right :marseyveryworriedtrans: now like youd maybe :marseymight: even see on TV but with zero interruptions or commercials, plus this guy basically never :marseyitsover: reads out anything :marseycoleporter: from donations but just answers questions and shit. this dude is legit

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When I opened it I jumped back in time and he was reading some spergs superchat then realized it was some schitzo thing and stopped half way then went quiet

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it's some schizo thing

Open it up and literally nothing is happening. Stop getting my hopes up. :marseysmughipskorean:

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idk i havent seen what youre talking :marseytalk: about, i do see a lot of dumb questions asked :marseythinkorino2: that he answers,cuz i guess :marseyshrug: thats what makes him popular he is always re-explaining things for the lesser informed people

i just care about the footage :marseybigfoot: and the fact that he really :marseythinkorino2: heavily monitors news outlets from all over the place, as well as telegram channels and twitter :marseyx: accounts of journ*lists and shit

plus he always has live feeds cuz he pays for those licences!

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thanks, need some nice sounds to sleep to

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I thought he was dead but they are still bombing Beirut so maybe he isnt, it could also be that they are trying to bait a public appearance of his and thats why they are announcing his death. Many possibilities

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it could also be that they are trying to bait a public appearance of his

He never does this, at least not since the war began. If he's alive he'll release a video to announce it. But he better not make any dated pop culture references or everyone will think he recorded it before his death.

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He will have to confirm he is alive in some capacity, which is a window of opportunity for israel.

1.Get him to somehow respond he is still alive.

2.Track him closer and try again.

3.Announce to the world or strongly imply he is dead.

4.If he isn't dead, repeat until you kill him.

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Israel isn't announcing his death, but they are fricking strongly suggesting it. I did consider this might be a fricking tactic to demoralize and disorient the fricking rest of Hezbollah as they continue to strike many other targets afterwards. I do doubt it would force Nasrallah to actually go public though.

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Regardless, if his death his rumoured people will try to contact him and the people around him, this way israel can also track the communications and find him easier. And we already saw israel has a pretty good hold on Hezbollah's communication systems.

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That's a good point. Nasrallah isn't dumb enough to use phones himself but a lot of his subordinates have gotta be calling each other trying to figure out wtf is going on. And also lots of people in Lebanon who aren't in Hezbollah but have some kind of ties to them, political or business.

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Yeah, not to mention his family and family of Hezbollah members.

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I can't really put my finger on exactly why, but I feel like they really believe they got him. I guess it's just that they're too good at propaganda to make a claim of this magnitude if they're not sure. And they often will refuse to confirm or deny things :marseysmirk:, so when they're saying this pretty openly I tend to believe they mean it.

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HE'S BACK BROS!!!

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Wow humongous cook-offs happening :marseybongoukraine: right :marseymoreyouknow: now in beirut, a building got hit, a fire started, few minutes later :marseywave2: some rockets fly out, the fire turns into a big explosion :marseyboar:

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Thanks for sharing a link with us. :marseysmughipskorean:

CNN reported they were going after anti-ship missiles stored underground in Beirut but I haven't actually seen it. I'm a bit skeptical that they would store a lot of stuff in Beirut because there's only 3 ways out of the city and they're probably relatively easy to block.

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it was on a livestream sorry

here i found :marseymimic: a good shot

https://x.com/NiohBerg/status/1839813924075778164/video/1

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Okay that looks really darning. But consider this: Maybe Hezbollah was just storing a lot of rocket fuel there for their space program, which they had been keeping secret because Nasrallah loves surprises. :marseyshrug:

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Soys in shambles

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!commenters

:marseyhappening: NEW EVACUATION CALLS FOR A THE DAHIYE SUBURB OF BEIRUT AWAY FROM HEZBOLLAH :marseypager: BUILDINGS

the Dahiye suburb is among :marseyzombiewolfamogus: beirut's biggest with well over half a million :marseysamhyde: residents living :marseyzombie2: in it. How quickly will they evacuate at 3am? we'll see

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Jews gonna kick off WW3. :marseyexcitedgif:

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From what we've seen recently, ww3 will take about 15 mins and 4% of the f35s.

Russians can't drive to get you, china has invented nuclear powered dock obstructions, and Iran clearly has frick all but wailing and wank, lol

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Iranian foreign minister says at UN meeting "the Israeli regime used several 5,000-pound bunker busters

Seems likely to me. Those were some fricking huge explosions and if this is an important Hezbollah headquarters it would be buried deep underground. I saw somewhere today the IDF said they used a total of 10 tons of bombs.

Ali Larijani, an adviser to Iranian supreme leader Ali Khamenei, tells Iranian state television that "any leader of the resistance will be replaced".

I'd like to see that bastard "replaced". One of the particularly evil members of the regime.

:#marseyropeyourself2:

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This neighbor dead

:#marseyhmmhips:

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!bets betjannies, you know what to do

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Edit the title too say there's a bet inside and @BrasilIguana will pin it

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Done, king

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He dead

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