Current Nasrallah news below. I'll be avoiding fluff news like retaliatory missile attacks and other happenings and just focus on the dead or alive status and related rumours or statements.
What Happened? Israel blows up some building in Beirut in an attack supposedly targeting Hassan Nasrallah, Hezbollah's very elusive big bad leader.
(this is somehow the best available footage lmao)
Latest:
IDF officially announced Hassan Nasrallah is kill Times of Israel
No body yet. No Hezbollah statement yet. I still consider this unconfirmed but it's extremely unlikely for the IDF to announce this without knowing for sure especially considering how long it's taken to do so.
More:
(in reverse chronology)
New York Times reports that Iranian officials expressed concern that the absence of a statement from Hezbollah on Mr. Nasrallah's status portended bad news and that "The cellphones of Iranian officials across the country beeped with text messages and phone calls asking variations of the same question: Any news from Sayyed? It was a reference to Mr. Nasrallah by his nickname and religious title." NYT
Iranian foreign minister says at UN meeting "the Israeli regime used several 5,000-pound bunker busters that had been gifted to them by the United States to hit residential areas in Beirut" Timers of Israel
(Curious that they are specifically saying bunker busters when this information would be impossible for them to confirm. It's as if the target was in a particularly protected area and that area was penetrated successfully?)
IDF says they are still investigating the results of the "very accurate" strike. Guardian
Hezbollah Health ministry says at least 6 are confirmed dead. No names given. Guardian
It's been hours since the strike and Hezbollah has made no official statement. Only info we have is from unnamed sources at low levels or outside but close to Hezbollah. Top leadership appears to be radio silent and unreachable according to sources close to Hezbollah. Times of Israel
Guardian reports sources close to Hezbollah say Nasrallah is "alive and well" Guardian
Iranian leaders are seething with Pezeshkian saying the attack is an "open and fragrant war crime that once again revealed the nature of state terrorism of this regime." Times of Israel
Ali Larijani, an adviser to Iranian supreme leader Ali Khamenei, tells Iranian state television that "any leader of the resistance will be replaced". -
When asked what leaders he was speaking about Larijani looked panicked and changed the subjectTimes of Israel
Random unnamed Israeli official says "It's very hard to imagine him coming out alive from a strike like that" Times of Israel
Amos Yadlin former head of IDF intelligence says that his sources, which he does not name, are adamant that Nasrallah "is no longer with us." Times of Israel
Sources in Hezbollah claim Nasrallah is "fine".
Israel blows up some building in Beirut in an attack supposedly targeting Hassan Nasrallah, Hezbollah's leader.
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They say a bunker buster can't penetrate deep into the ground which might make them ineffective
But what if you use 5 of them, the first few to clear the building full of civilians above
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They're actually pretty effective. Supposedly they can penetrate 50m of earth. But yeah, the buildings above might be a problem.
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IDF claimed even Hamas managed to build bunkers deep enough usually >150M where they aren't effective enough to clear them. The penetration depth of a 30yr old missile is well known
That's why I joked about killing civilians
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Huh. I don't know much about digging tunnels but I know Gaza is supposed to be really sandy and not a great place for it. Beirut certainly couldn't be worse.
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Hamas used lots of clay and concrete to reinforce the top sand, plus they had about a decade and lots of humanitarian money
Massive tunnelling operations in a Beruit suburb might not be as feasible given it's a real city. So they might have relied on civilian cover+moving around. We'll find out soon I'm sure
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So Hamas deadass used the humanitarian donations to build tunnels?
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They had a 45%+ employment rate even before the war and are currently raiding all the UN food trucks to resell the food, so most likely yes
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