Putin 'risks running out of troops in weeks' as Ukraine war drags on : ISW

I am legit curious how this conflict will look like in 4-6 years

The bill — presented to parliament over Christmas — generated enormous controversy with its aims of cutting the draft age from 27 to 25, of limiting deferrals for men with slight disabilities, and of increasing penalties for draft-dodgers. But some parliamentarians claimed it wasn't clearly formulated and included human rights violations.

The purpose of the bill is to send more soldiers to battle; the military has said it needs an additional half-million men this year. The extra troops would allow exhausted frontline soldiers who have been fighting for almost two years to rotate home, while also holding the line against the 617,000 Russians fighting in Ukraine. The latter figure was given by Russian President Vladimir Putin, who is increasing the ranks of the Russian military by nearly 170,000 to a whopping 1.3 million.

Ukraine's army now has some 850,000 troops, according to the country's State Military Media Center and the Global Firepower Index.

So khohols are fighting in majority and losing ground ?

But what's interesting if they lose the age from 27 to 25 that would mean they would mobilise those that were 22-23 in 2021 and looking at this graph

From 2021 we can say that at absolute unrealistic best case there are around 170k guys that age but that if we assuming that nobody of them died out of accidents, nobody left the country and all are fit. So in reality they won't even be able to mobilise 100k from that age group and if they push till 18 they also won't be able to get it because from

age 20 those were less than 18 so those are now folks that could had refugee max.

Yet ISW gets millions to post nice shit that people want to hear “Yey Russian are running out of men” even with just bombing Kiev once a week and doing nothing else Russia will be able to reduce Ukraine population by 300k

In the early weeks of the war in February 2022, Ukrainians lined up at draft centers to join the army, while across Europe Ukrainian truck drivers, builders and waiters left their jobs to return home and fight.

But after months of bloody stalemate that continued to cost thousands of lives, that early enthusiasm has evaporated. Meanwhile, military corruption scandals and a sense of exhaustion both at home and among Ukraine's allies have made joining up far less appealing.

Of course you don't find this article posting on Reddit because that's not what they want to hear, to them Ukrainian are still the legendary elf Harry Myroslavsko fighting the army of orks and having a 100+KDA who fight in minority and is non stop winning. The fricking biggest city khohols captured without Russian retreat was 2 or 3 times smaller than bakhmut and it was 18 months ago.

For frick sake ISW is headed by foid, if they wanted objective look they had to put an Indian man to be head of it who wouldn't look for excuses