Half Ukraine's power is knocked out; winter is coming

⚡️🇺🇦"Arestovich recorded a video in which he announced the complete collapse of the Ukrainian energy system for 2-3 Russian missile strikes. Now Ukraine still has a nuclear power plant and an energy bridge with Europe. But Russia can destroy all this with two or three missile… pic.twitter.com/QtcklKtwoE

— SIMPLICIUS Ѱ (@simpatico771) July 28, 2024

https://www.economist.com/europe/2024/07/15/half-ukraines-power-is-knocked-out-winter-is-coming

Maxim Timchenko, ceo of dtek, which runs most of Ukraine's non-nuclear power plants, including the one The Economist visited, says that 90% of their generating capacity has been destroyed this year.

I am pretty sure Israel helped this event to happen.

Waves of attacks since March have targeted thermal and hydro plants as well as, for the first time, solar-energy installations. As Russia struggles to make any serious gains on the battlefield, power lines have become the new front line.

Because it's pretty clear patriot and etc weren't that much of problem since Ukraine now has (had this year) a lot more of those yet failing to protect Kiev and to send Kharkov to black out Russia can do it with just artillery.

Pretty much all that is left comes from nuclear power stations, which the Russians have refrained from attacking.

So arestovitch wasn't bshiting

Ukraine currently imports 1.7gw from the eu; this could be increased to around 2gw or so, according to more optimistic predictions, but transmission constraints mean imported electricity cannot provide more than an incremental boost.

The problem with this is Ukraine don't want to transit Russia oil to Slovakia and Hungary without getting bigger customs

So kinda giga low iq that Zelenskyy wants to do a revenge on Orban for suggesting to him peace with Russia and by doing it Ukraine also damage it self since 50% of electricity comes from Hungary. Such action will stop Hungarian export and increase EU electricity price making for Ukraine not only harder but also a lot more expensive to buy electricity from EU.

Ukrainian engineers are scouring Europe for second-hand equipment from decommissioned Soviet-type power stations.

Amazing decommunisation

Ukrainian energy analysts are not convinced. "They are spending money on something we don't need," says Volodymyr Omelchenko at the Razumkov Centre, a think-tank. "It's a very bad decision in my opinion. It looks like a way to tie up a lot of money in investing in a project over ten years."

The chances that Russia will blow rest is tho low since they are keeping Ukrainian electricity that it's just enough for civilians but not for factories