https://x.com/julianroepcke/status/1822727631688901030
@Cobra_Commander you are left
Jihad Julian also reposted this Ukrainian anallist
https://x.com/emilkastehelmi/status/1822674819587944804
The operation has been ongoing for an almost a week. During the last days, Ukraine has not made very significant progress, but they have started solidifying their positions in the newly captured areas.
Still giving bit of copes since Ukraine made no progress or negative progress the last 4 days
Since his example:
Russians are likely still holding some central and eastern parts of Sudzha, while the Ukrainians are continuing operations in the area. In Martynovka, Russians counterattacked and likely pushed Ukrainians out of the village. Reportedly Ukrainians are trying to get it back. 3/
The general situation of the Kursk offensive doesn't look particularly good. After a week of fighting, neither Korenevo or Sudzha are fully in Ukrainian control, and the Russians have also likely blocked the northern direction. This isn't a very desirable situation. 6/
SUUUUUUUDZHAAAA
also surprise he mentioned Korenevo after he wrote this:
In the direction of Korenevo, Ukrainains have not been able to enter the city
They didn't even entered that city to capture + without SIIIUIDZHAAA capturing Korenevo makes no sense
After more Russian reinforcements arrive, operational success is increasingly difficult to achieve, and there's less room for the element of surprise. Committing more troops also increases risks, especially as the situation in eastern Ukraine is still difficult.
Oh front keeps moving in east ? What a surprise
What can Ukraine achieve, if it spends more manpower and equipment to take more border villages in the Kursk direction? There's a limited amount of benefit to be gained from simply controlling more land. 10/
You questioning the great leader ?
A larger land area would, of course, have more weight in possible peace negotiations in the future. Even if Ukraine were to reach the Rylsk-Korenevo-Sudzha line, it would likely still be less valuable than many of the territories currently occupied by Russia in Ukraine.
Omagat
@Cobra_Commander can you imagine Ukrainian last coke plant is more valuable than some lowland villages with couple of people
It's possible that the Russians would try to freeze the front and let Ukraine stay in the occupied area, assuming that the issue of a few dozen towns and villages can be solved in future negotiations, as the priority is to achieve the set political goals inside Ukraine. 13/
In this situation, some additional Ukrainian forces would be tied to guard and hold an expanded secondary direction, while the fight in Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, Luhansk and Kharkiv would continue just as intensively. 14/
He of course doesn't want to mention the moment khohols became stationary Russian can bomb the shit out of them and since they are inside low land it will be even easier
The best case scenario for Ukraine would probably be the following:
Russia decides it's not acceptable to leave any areas to Ukrainian hands, and will divert significant resources even from the most critical places and to get every square kilometre back, despite the losses.
Now for khohols best scenario that Russian rush and capturing everything back but with loses but as we know @Wronghole_McDonghole everything is under control and Russian preparing to bomb the shit out of those elite Ukrainian sitting ducks
Regardless of whether the Ukrainians continue their advance, they have proved that occupation of relatively large areas is no longer a privilege of Russia. The war is now even more concretely a war on Russian soil as well, and Russia must take this into account in many ways. 18/
Somehow homosexual didn't understood that territory was never Russian priority. They could hold territory around Kiev, Kharkiv, Sumy, Kherson a lot longer but they decided it was better to retreat. Russian never hold position until they started getting owned hard for example bakhmut, avdiivka, krasnohorivka, Nui York now chasiv yar
So on 6th day all the analysts or anallist are like this:
But khohols are like this:
This is zelya iq !
Somehow in less than a week khohols managed to fail their operation. That's even faster than spring counteroffensive. I don't even remember Ukrainian being this critical to spring counteroffensive
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