The depopulation apocalypse begins at Eastern Europe, Southern Europe, and East Asia.

These are the three regions of the world that are losing 0.2-0.3% of their population each year at this point and their population decline is only going to continue on for the foreseeable future.

East Europe and South Europe are the worst hit as they are losing populations even after being open to immigrants. When the world collapse occurs from the global population decline, these three regions of the world will be hit first.

Not a single one of these regions is in a position to see their numbers rise again, if any of them did, the other two would be able to recover as well.

Even sending mass immigration waves of Indians to these regions of the world will not fix the problem as there aren't enough Indians on the planet to replace the entire populations of these territories taken together.

Similarly the entire population of Africa would not be able to fill these areas either.

That is to say, 2.12 billion of the world's population is set on a continual decline that is irreversible as long as the rest of the developed world exists.

The only possible way that the global populations are kept balanced across the world at the ratios similar to what exists today would be if either India never goes below the replacement rate or the whole world becomes without borders and opens up fully to African immigration letting in as many as are willing with zero restrictions in the future.

The Russian-Ukraine war does not hold any true relevance for the world as when the war is over both the nation states will be in a state of enough damage that none of them will ever fully recover to current day levels in terms of influence, population, and strength. Already, Ukraine is winning against Russia by selling its future in body bags. Russia is holding onto its war by having emptied its prisons and rural landscapes, with a Moscow now under fire from Ukrainian attacks. Before this for multiple generations East Europe was already in decline when it came to population, the end result is that the population collapse of Eastern Europe has been sped up to rates where nation states can disappear.

When we look at Southern Europe, the worst hit is Italy, which appears to be a sinking boat that all its youth are actively working day and night to escape. Spain was the one large nation in the region that was still able to keep a positive population growth rate but it too has gone down to zero and is well set to fall into rapid decline. The only thing that could save the population of Southern Europe would be mass immigration waves of the variety that its people are not ready for. Especially Italy whose people were more than happy to vote in their current party on an anti immigrant stance.

The case for the decline of East Asia is well known, as East Asia has been in the news media of the west for generations being talked of how they were set to fail and have their populations die out under the current trajectory, while ignoring how the Europeans were themselves aging in a similar direction. Japan was the first old man of East Asia. Followed by South Korea and China. If China had never implemented the one child policy it might have made it unscathed through the century, but alas, it set up a trap for the next generation a generation ago. South Korea is too divided among gender disputes to be ever capable of reconciling, and its population will likely have to worst collapse due to how extreme the difference is going to be between population sizes in the next generation compared to the current one.

Central Asia is growing at a very healthy rate, but sadly its population is also too small to be able to supply even just East Asia by itself.

Europe country survives on the back of the European Union, an entity within Europe that is capable of attracting enough immigrants from across the world ( including non-eu Europe ) as to be able to keep growing its population over time year on year, or at least every 2 years. This gives Southern and Eastern Europe a survival chance as part of the greater entity that is the EU, where these two regions can still have small populations remain on their lands as the EU continues to build these territories as part of their infrastructure projects.

East Asia on the other hand has no such luck. There is no common union among the nation states of East Asia allowing them to cooperate together and build a stronger entity together out of the now collapsing systems of their individual nation states. Each nation state in East Asia is too proud and nationalistic to give up parts of its identity even for the continuance of its people. It is in this manner that Japan, South Korea, and China perish as independent entities.

From the example of these three nation states and the continuing trend of all other nation states following in their example, we can see that the nation state is set to die out as an entity as it reaches its limits as a functional system to govern the people, with only empire equivalents ( in size or complexity ) capable of overcoming the limitations of the nation state that set it to die off over time.

As of now, only the US, European Union, and India sustain the complexity and size of empires allowing them to overcome the limitations of nation states in the future. All other parts of the world are set to collapse unless they are to come together into forming even larger unions and systems of governance.

Conclusion:

2.1 billion humans of the Earth are already in declining population regions of the world with no reversal in trends. 25% of the world's population is already going through population decline on a regional scale and the three regions are Eastern Europe ( including Russia ), Southern Europe, and East Asia. Only joining in a larger union state can save a declining nation state.

Text IQ : 114 ( Above average )

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