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War is in the future of humanity.

Start from the most basic premise. War is the continuation of diplomacy when all other means of resolving issues fails.

War is conducted when there aren't enough resources for everybody.

War is a tool of scarcity.

For a country to not participate in war ever would require it to accept its decline and death without any struggle.

Wars are infinite in empires. A last resort in nation states and international world orders.

As long as the world GDP keeps growing and the largest economies do not fall into decline war can be skipped over, but the moment nation states get stuck in place for decades, unable to move, unable to thrive, forever stagnant, that is when the risk of war goes up, by a whole lot.

This is why it is a miracle that the EU hasn't fallen into a war so far of its own making. Which can only be explained by the fact that it has continued to successfully keep growing geographically and to not collapse into internal instability. Even so, anti-migrant sentiment has continued to grow year on year. In the end the only choice for Europe remains to redirect that ire of the people in a direction that does not harm the state.

We have seen the same pressures cause a war in Ukraine. With Russia stagnant for years on end, and without any other way to grow except by war that is won. War has continued when a nation state had no other way to prosper or to even remain stable.

In China again we see calls for war, to keep attention off of the problems that persist within. As the economy slows and it becomes clearer that there will be no growth in decades ahead, the jingoism rises, to distract from this fact. China puts pressure on India and Russia and all neighbors around.

In the US the GDP growth rate remains barely above 2.5%, to maintain it the US is more than happy to invade or influence other nation states that aren't providing it with enough investments and monetary benefits.

It does not matter how much more advanced we become as a species, as long as the last step remaining to attain another piece of the pie is war, we will conduct war in the end.

This is the same reason why we now find North Korea sending troops to help the Russians, to gain a stronger ally the only way it can right now. Again and again the same theme repeats itself, even with centuries of progress, humanity will not be above war.

It is the same reason why we find Iran consistently funding terrorist organizations across the middle east, because it is the only way it can attack the west without being attacked back in turn.

It is the same reason why Israel will not back down from the wars to come, because it is finally too tired of being attacked again, and wants the guarantee as given to all developed nations, that they will not be assailed by their weaker neighbors, for fear of unprecedented retaliation.

Israel would never stop its war. Ukraine would never stop its war. Russia would never stop its war. They would never stop their wars because the war is the only way remaining to get what they want. A final victory.

From the fact that war is the last tool left to a nation state when it comes to dealing with its neighbors follows the fact that once even the last tool fails the repercussions are unforeseen and terrible. If a nation loses its war it loses decades at the least and breaks apart at worst. Nation states that participate in wars are no longer in a position to lose those wars as they have everything to lose if they face defeat. That is why wars between neighbors are some of the most vicious that can be found.

It is only the proxy wars where we find the larger states willing to back out as they find advantages somewhere else or have a limit on losses suffered without losing everything. The nation within which the proxy war itself is taking place never stops however, until it has pushed out all foreign invaders or been taken over completely by them, as is the case for Afghanistan having fought every major power in history.

Some think that drone swarms or robots would make war obsolete, but they do not understand the fact that wars will always be fought as long as all other ways of making peace have failed, and so they will be fought irrespective of whether they are fought with sticks and stones, guns, tanks, or machines. For the reason to conduct war continues to exists no matter how advanced mans technologies become. This is why it remains paramount for nation states to keep developing their defenses no matter what.

The US for example, makes itself powerful enough that not even an entire continent invading it could defeat it. China makes itself strong enough that the US could not invade it. All nuclear powers make themselves powerful enough that it is not worth invading them. That is the way of things. That is peace for a long period of time.

If the nukes of the world were to ever fail, that is when the world would return to a state of global war, where nations would be warring, taking and losing land, every single decade instead of across a century. Even the long peace that Europe has had since WW2, appears to be coming to an end.

Europe has already reached the peak of what it can produce to keep its population well fed and well taken care of. For now it satisfies itself with expansion via new member states, but the day it has nowhere further to expand, only war will remain to satisfy the needs of the continent. Wars that France is still aware of, wars to control the resources of other nations to ensure the wealth of ones own.

Conclusion:

As we are reaching the economic peak of most nation states of the world, the only way for them to grow any further would be to participate in successful wars. Most countries not in a position to do so due to being surrounded by greater powers on all sides will die out. Larger nation states will dominate over the smaller ones as the influence of the UN weakens when faced with multiple powers participating in might makes right along with the economies of most countries of the world slowing down to below 2% per year.

36 countries of the world are already stagnant. With Germany being the biggest stagnant economy. War in the future is inevitable as many nations fall into the middle income trap and the high income trap, unable to grow any further in any direction.

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