I don't think GTA VI will be the biggest hit game out there

GTA V released in 2013. It's been 11 years since and GTA VI is still not out.

Most franchise games since 2013 have been reiterating on their formula every one to three years. Constantly improving on the idea of what a good game looks like and plays like.

GTA VI will on the other hand have to do a single leap over a decade on its formula.

The open world games setting has also gotten more competitive over the past decade.

Elden Ring, Monster Hunter Wilds, Horizon forbidden west, Death Stranding, Cyberpunk 2077, No man's sky, Stellar blade, for example.

GTA VI to succeed would require a graphical and story telling leap over RDR2 similar to the leap RDR2 made over GTA V.

The likelihood of that happening is very low.

In the trailer we can already see the first mistake that they have made, they made their female protagonist ugly.

The second mistake is that the vibe the trailer gives off is too disconnected from the style of GTA V, GTA IV, and GTA San Andreas. They have diverged too far away from the original formula that worked. The Characters feel too generic compared to the previous main leads such as CJ, Niko, and Trevor. The GTA VI characters appear too vanilla in comparison.

GTA V also sold 155 million copies. GTA VI will have to be completely revolutionary as an experience to keep up with those numbers. It is just not possible with how unrealistically high the expectations would be set. It's the half life 3 curse. The game will never be as good as what people are hoping for.

Cyberpunk 2077 looks better than current GTA VI.

No man's sky has more open world experiences than GTA.

RDR2 was famous for its storytelling and simulating the experience of being in the wild west.

Multiple games out today have already done the same.

The primary unique feature GTA VI has going for it is that it is the one open world game set in modern day America.

GTA VI also has to compete with live service games like fortnite and battle royale games like pubg and Call of Duty for customers.

The competition today is just far higher than it was before.

We can at best expect GTA VI to sell 50 million copies. Taking into account that RDR2 even with all of its upgrades only sold 63 million copies so far.

I honestly can't think of a single thing that GTA VI could do that would make it sell more than a 100 million copies.

The people who truly cared about GTA games have already grown up and been without a GTA game far too long.

The zoomer generation has completely different tastes.

The available market for GTA VI is just too small.

They would have to successfully do everything that cyberpunk 2077 promised to do before release.

In conclusion, GTA VI will at most sell as many copies as RDR2 but it's not going to be able to get anywhere close to GTA V.