Right now US support for Ukraine's fight is at an all time high. US has had problems with Iran for decades and know that they will no take for a strategic ally for decades to come. At the same time Iran also has the GDP and the educated masses to be one of the most powerful non west aligned countries in the world if it was permitted to grow to it's full potential.
The only way to compete against Iran in Europe would be if the Ukraine war results in all the western cultural states on the continent joining the EU and a new golden age of development. The possibility of this is still low.
If the US were to invade Iran right now they could have it phrased in their propaganda as an invasion based on fighting Russia or taking down Russian allies which at this point is a line of thinking that the country would likely support for the next decade to come.
With the Russian troop casualties so high it also recontextualizes the losses taken in whatever war occurs next for the US where even hundreds of dead US troops can be marked as low and highly efficient.
Invading Iran right now would also force Israel to support west aligned troops and center them even further in a west aligned world further limiting their support for Russia.
There is a real possibility of a WW3 where the simple rules are we will supply all the guns in the world to anyone who is not in the country and we are allowed to invade every other country except each others.
This is ofcourse worst case scenario.
A more moderate outlook would be when Russian invasion stops, any country that was in support of the Russian invasion would find itself blacklisted completely, so there will be increasing aggressive economic activity against regions like Syria and North Korea and whichever country showed support to Russia.
Once an army is fully formed and has billions invested in it, it dies end up getting used from time to time, especially when the world sees how weak Russia looked because of the decay in it's armed services that nobody noticed. So expect a vast increase in military activity in north Africa and the middle east by EU nations.
The most pleasant outlook would be that to keep ahead the EU and US put hundreds of billions of dollars into R&D to make sure they have a considerable edge over the rest of the world.
The Utopian outlook would have both Ukraine and Russia joining the EU after the war is over.
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i truly doubt we're ever going to invade another sovereign nation without NATO/UN backing. we would never get enough popular support to authorize force so its a moot point anyway
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What makes you think you wouldn't get NATO support again? Both Saudi Arabia and Israel dislike Iran. Europe has to deal with Turkey at its broder which keeps on pushing to be into the EU while phrasing it as a discrimination issue. Attacking Iran helps lower the amount of powerful rivals in the region along with the fact that EU border policy may have matured enough to be able to handle the refugee crisis even if it's by not allowing anybody in.
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Maybe im wrong but i think we need the NAC to vote in unison to invoke article 5, and that would require the ambassador of turkey, hungary, and france to all agree on it, and i doubt they would (especially turkey)
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Then Turkey is the only thing stopping my idea.
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