Key points:
1. Research productivity levels are down compared to the 70's
2. Number of disruptive discoveries is decreasing over time
3. Most new research seems to be more about studying already discovered knowledge rather than making new discoveries
Conclusion:
Global innovation peak is behind us, the world and new inventions are only going to keep slowing down over time. We are moving ever further from the golden era. We are going to keep moving from one revolutionary innovation in a decade to one in 1.5 decades to one in 2 decades and so on and so forth.
Second part of the conclusion:
This slowdown in innovation should apply to the US as well. Which means that over time the US GDP growth rate will also slow down decade by decade irrespective of what it does in the future. Which means we are reaching the limits of American innovation and the future is either going to be a near stagnant system with the US on top, or a new emergent system that replaces the US ( Most likely candidate is East Asia with its 10 points higher IQ )
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
!ifrickinglovescience !physics Sabine spergpost just dropped
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
Sabine spergout?
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
I know Sabine Hossenfelder. She is based, she loves the science, and she doesn't have s*x with white men. She is a very cool woman.
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
is she right in the video?
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
What kind of dumb question is this? Of course she is right. Sabine never lies. She only talks about the truth.
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
More options
Context
More options
Context
based
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
If you don't know about Sabine Hossenfelder, she writes books, does youtube videos, and is generally really cool. Sabine Hossenfelder doesn't need to have s*x with white men. She is a cool woman.
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
uhhhh okay
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
Sabine Hossenfelder is basically super cool. She is also a woman. So, she doesn't need to have s*x with white men.
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
okay I get it.
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
Sabine Hossenfelder is a super based woman, does not have s*x with white people, and is very cool to know.
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
More options
Context
More options
Context
More options
Context
More options
Context
More options
Context
More options
Context
More options
Context
More options
Context
More options
Context
I worry about maintaining what we have because complex systems require maintenance and the ratio of not-r-slurred people keeps going down everyday and at some point there won't be enough nonr-slurs to keep the machine going. I'm really counting on future doctors and engineers coming to fruition.
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
I think the real hope is that AI is smart enough to take over maintenance
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
More options
Context
More options
Context
The fact that I don't have a kettle that boils instantly is all the evidence I needed that this is true.
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
That's already a thing, it's called dynamite
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
More options
Context
More options
Context
Yeah, ding dong. Tyler Cowen already wrote a book about this called The Great Stagnation.
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
tell me more
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
I'm pooping on a potty, gonna be back to hanging out with friends. What do you want?
It's a great summary of what you're talking about, and it's a very short read from a very intelligent man.
Just check it out, sweaty!
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
He says in the end that things will get better. I disagree.
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
READ THE BOOK, NEGRO!
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
Give me a link to the book and I will read it.
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
More options
Context
More options
Context
More options
Context
More options
Context
More options
Context
More options
Context
I already knew this when they didn't come up with a practical application for quantum computers in the ten years since I first heard about it
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
but in another two years we will have double the number of qbits on a chip we don't know what to do with.
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
More options
Context
More options
Context
That's an interesting thing to think about.
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
Without innovation economic growth slows down. The only way around is immigration, more trade, and megacorporations.
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
More options
Context
More options
Context
Snapshots:
:ghostarchive.org
archive.org
archive.ph (click to archive)
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
More options
Context