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https://old.reddit.com/r/ukpolitics/comments/1cn1a6n/migration_failing_to_drive_economic_growth_and/
Migration has failed to drive economic growth, warns report
Robert Jenrick leads calls for cap on new arrivals amid drop in GDP per person
Record-high levels of immigration have failed to boost the economy while making the housing crisis worse, a leading think tank has warned.
In a report co-authored by former immigration minister Robert Jenrick, the Centre for Policy Studies (CPS) urged the Government to introduce caps on legal immigration to stop a drain on British infrastructure and public services that is not offset by economic growth.
In particular, high levels of immigration are “significantly exacerbating the housing crisis”, it said.
The report, which is jointly authored with former health minister Neil O'Brien, also suggested the Home Office should be broken up to create a new department to control immigration.
It came after data published showed British consumers are suffering the longest drop in living standards in the G7 as the economy fails to keep up.
The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) said GDP per person fell for four quarters in a row across 2023 in the UK and has been at 0pc or less since spring 2022.
[article continued]
Although Britain's economy rose by 0.1pc across 2023, on a per person basis it fell by 0.8pc, the OECD said. This measure accounts for population growth, which in the UK was the second highest in the group of seven advanced economies.
The figures were in stark contrast to the G7 average, where GDP per capita rose by 1.2pc last year.
“If large-scale migration of the sort we've seen is really so great for the economy, we have to ask ourselves why we are not seeing this in the GDP per capita data,” the CPS report warned.
To alleviate pressure on housing, the NHS and schools, the CPS said net migration should be capped at just “tens of thousands” a year down from its peak of 745,000 in 2022.
To deliver this, CPS said the Home Office which had proven itself to be “too unwieldy to function effectively” and undermined by high levels of churn should be split into a department for border security and immigration control and a second charged with policing and national security.
The new department would be headed by a Cabinet-level minister. “We need working institutions that can translate the will of Parliament and the public into action. The Home Office has fallen short on this front,” they said.
Analysis of Home Office data showed the impact of the shift from EU to non-EU migrants. Migrants from the Middle East, North Africa and Turkey aged 25-64 were almost twice as likely to be economically inactive as someone born in the UK.
Spanish migrants typically earned around 40pc more than migrants from Pakistan or Bangladesh, while migrants from countries such as Canada, Singapore and Australia paid between four and nine times as much income tax as migrants from Somalia or Pakistan.
The report said the impact was particularly acute in housing. Net migration now accounted for around 89pc of the 1.34m increase in England's “housing deficit” – the amount of homes we have underbuilt by in the last 10 years.
Unforeseen levels of immigration have also blown house building targets out of the water. The Government's target of building 300,000 homes per year includes an expectation of net migration to England of around 170,000 per year, which alone will generate demand for 72,000 new homes.
“We have been underbuilding for years, even without high levels of net migration. And even if we limit ourselves to just the last 10 years, the picture is bleak,” the CPS report warned.
Pressure had also been added to rental markets, as well as affecting home ownership. For example, 67pc of privately rented households in London are headed by someone born overseas, as were 33pc of new social housing lets in Brent in 2022 to 2023.
Last year, Capital Economics estimated that the levels of immigration in 2022 alone may have driven up rents by nearly 10pc.
Immigration is heavily concentrated in cities and particularly in the rental sector. Previous ONS analysis found around 80pc of people arriving in the UK rent privately for at least the first few years after they migrate.
Mr Jenrick and Mr O'Brien blamed the post-Brexit Tory government for liberalising the immigration system and breaking its promises to take control of Britain's borders after leaving the EU.
“Despite the rhetoric of a highly selective system, the post-2021 system continues to allow large numbers of people to come who are either not working or working in very low-wage jobs. Out of net migration of two million non-EU nationals over the last five years, only 15pc came principally to work,” they said.
Many economists argue that high levels of immigration boost the UK economy by increasing the workforce and tax revenues.
But although levels of immigration have been extremely high, productivity growth and economic growth per person have slumped, just as pressure on public resources has soared.
Despite a 6.6pc increase in the UK's population between 2011 and 2021, the number of GP surgeries increased by just 4pc during the same period. The UK's capacity to generate electricity fell by 14.2pc.
Karl Williams, of the CPS, said: “Traditionally, the Treasury and much of the rest of Government have modelled immigration as an unqualified benefit to the public purse. But this is not the case.”
The report recommended abolishing the graduate route, which allows foreign students to stay for two years after getting their degrees. Instead, they could only remain if they had a graduate-level job within six months.
This would be allied to scrapping the 600,000 a year target for the number of foreign students allowed into the UK, which was set by Boris Johnson.
They recommended raising the salary thresholds for health and care workers above the national living wage, and minimum hourly wage in the care sector by 20p to 40p to help recruit more domestic workers. They also called for an immediate cap on the health and care visas set at 30,000, down from the current 250,000 in 2023.
Mr Jenrick said: “It would be unforgivable if the Government did not use the time before the general election to undo the disastrous post-Brexit liberalisations that betrayed the express wishes of the British public for lower immigration.
“The changes we propose today would finally return numbers to the historical norm and deliver the highly-selective, highly-skilled immigration system voters were promised. These policies could be implemented immediately and would consign low-skilled mass migration to the past.
“Immigration is consistently one of the top concerns of voters and they deserve a department whose sole mission is controlling immigration and securing our borders. For far too long, the Home Office has proven incapable of doing that.”
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UK completely BTFO by the rest of the EU
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I like how the dotted line emerges exactly where the EU bar ends and the next block begins.
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rest of europe, not EU...
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Sorry, I don't keep track of shitholes like White(brown)isthan.
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!strayans we are THE most economically useful.
Suck it literally everyone else.
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Isn't like 90% of Aus -> UK immigration from WHVs ? People with no access to public funds and have to work to survive
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Yes, who's a good wagie? Aww, it's you!
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You're being carried by NZ!
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Ah yes, the notoriously hard-working NZ'rs...
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East Asians don't give a frick , darn
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There's a trend called 躺平 (literally: lying down) in Chinkland, basically is about spending the least, stop working hard at all, stop chasing material desires, and don't have children.
「躺平,是橫向的站立。」(Lying down is standing up horizontally (Note: comparing lying down to kneeling or bowing to someone above you is implied))
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Continentals drew that graph.
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So is North America. Get fricked.
!eurochads
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Don't worry. We have a solution for people of crime
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I'm being quite serious. Why are you so angry. I'm just trying to think of a solution.
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Arabs are below Africans.
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Why is East Asia so high lol
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They should split south Asian by country honestly. Biggest groups in the UK and they're completely different, but under the same category.
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lmao off at blaming brexit. How are redditors so r-slurred?
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Brexit was the original Sal shit. Nothing even happened. Give the Norf FC neighbors some illusion of control and then just keep doing the things they voted against anyway
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Bongs fricked themselves up with or without EU. Stay in EU, get muslim or african refugees, leave EU, get indian and paki refugees. Bongs are just stupid
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I love how Redditors immediately jump into blaming everything on the Tories.
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Yes.
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But in their minds, that wasn't enough....
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And that's the conservative party
Bongs are a certified fricking meme
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it's r*pe all the way down because they're all gobaltards
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This literally is the Tories fault, who else would it be?
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Yup. They didn't import enough brown people to counteract the YT chuds.
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Tatcherism is to blame, unironically.
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The rot started with Disraeli and accelerated with Churchill
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The Magna Carta was unironically a mistake.
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Don't let that little c*nt Tony Blair off the hook...
Christ, I'd like to pop that self-satisfied smirk off his face.
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Tony Blair very much continued the Tatchershit and I agree, I very much wanna have fun with Tony Blair in Minecraft
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“Oi lads, maybe we just need more! After all, someone has to frick my ugly wife.”
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We lose money on every sale, but we make up for it in volume
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!neolibs
But muh trillion dollar bills on the sidewalk!
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Woah, turns out when there's more people, there's more demand for places to put them! If only there was a way to solve that. Maybe we ought to limit the number of children cumskins can have, seeing as they are responsible for most of the UK's population
!chuds would know most about this, seeing as the median conservative is genuinely less intelligent than actual human beings, and therefore bring down the average by infesting the countryside with their farms that siphon more in subsidies than they produce in actual food. Thankfully the beauty of economics means that even BIPOCs, white or otherwise, can contribute through trading with those who actually matter. Low value doesn't mean no value, after all.
!neolibs
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Just build more housing, lol.
!engineering
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Notice how the Chud is provided with a well-argued position and screeches in response.
He makes no attempt to rebut any part of it, because he is unable.
He does not construct a counter-argument, because he cannot.
Simply put, the Rightist behaves in this manner because he is the offspring of centuries of inbreeding between society's bottom decile.
They are physically incapable of acting in any fashion that does not resemble that of a gorilla because they are gorillas.
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They will never admit to how disastrous their policies of the last 50 years have been.
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What does this mean?
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https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257%2Fjep.25.3.83
Neolibs love citing this study whenever the topic of unlimited immigration comes up
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If you remove all borders and let people migrate wherever they want GDP will increase by a trillion dollars.
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Europe: We have an immigration problem!
Everybody with half a brain: What if...you only kept the ones that are actually useful?
Europe: That's wrong in the name of equality we will ban everyone and depopulate.
Everybody:
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Or ban everyone and start psyops and propaganda that convinces women that motherhood is kino
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Good luck with that.
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Do you enjoy being torn from V to A? Then ditch the condoms, head to the pub, and get plowed!
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You know it's AmeriBIPOCs that started this and their NGOs that fund the c*nts that imported that mentality to Europe. Blackrock is just openly declaring war on ypepo in the west now.
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If you keep propagandizing 'Diversity is our Strength', I'm sure it will magically become a reality one day.
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a kebab truck on every corner!
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If you take in thirdies don't let them on the dole lmao
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Shame they can import Mexicans
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So the illegals during 2021 were good, right? I bet that article is dumb, even though I like its conclusion.
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Bongs are so racist that they would rather let the work pile sky high than hire young go-getters from the depths of the Congo.
Proper multiculturalism has never been tried - we must redouble our efforts.
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Strange, I thought all those cultural enrichers were going to improve the economy my becoming Doctors and saving the NHS.
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Nobody show /r/neoliberal
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I bet there are at least bendable, if not real, stats for the U.S. they can use showing that legal immigration as been a lot better to the economy than what's happened in Britain and Europe. But that's probably because latin Americans are better than middle eastern immigrants and the U.S. has fewer gibs.
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america should be thankful that our illegal masses are pretty culturally similar whether either group wants to admit it
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So, uh, Muslims?
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"Under democracy one party always devotes its chief energies to trying to prove that the other party is unfit to rule -- and both commonly succeed, and are right."
Snapshots:
https://old.reddit.com/r/unitedkingdom/comments/1cmxlii/migration_has_failed_to_drive_economic_growth/:
undelete.pullpush.io
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https://old.reddit.com/r/ukpolitics/comments/1cn1a6n/migration_failing_to_drive_economic_growth_and/:
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Migration has failed to drive economic growth, warns report:
ghostarchive.org
archive.org
archive.ph (click to archive)
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Who said this?
It was Hitler, wasn't it?
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Churchill
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Every redditor "change out whatever with rich class"
Trans lives matter
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Hey sexy, why are you posting so quickly? 😊 You almost forgot to include
trans lives matter
in your comment 😈. Slowww down and remember to posttrans lives matter
next time 😉 if that doesn't make sense stop by sometime and we can talk about it for a while 🥵Jump in the discussion.
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