:marseyhappening: :marseyfsjal: Economist.com's latest election forecast is 269-269

https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-2024-election/prediction-model/president

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Note that if a majority is not reached in the House vote (e.g., 25-25), that chamber needs to keep at it until the tie is broken. If the deadlock is still in place when the new term starts (noon, ET on Jan. 20), the vice president becomes acting president until such time as the House elects a president

:#marseyemojilaugh:

!khive

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For a brief moment last election it looked as if it was going to be split tie with the democrat house choosing the president and the republican senate choosing the vp. Imagine all the drama with a Biden Presidency with a DJ VP that would've occurred. We can only hope it'd go to it this time.

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Trump/Harris was always the dark horse presidential ticket. We need to manifest an electoral tie.

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Trump Harris would blackpill Dems because she's be useless

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*the VPOTUS is useless

DO ABSOLUTELY NOTHING FARCE POSITION TITLE

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One candidate is r-slurred and the other one is r-slurred and lazy but funny.

Ideally we get 2 years of each.

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https://i.rdrama.net/images/17303216906680658.webp

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commmooooon civil war 2.0....

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https://i.rdrama.net/images/17303198757863238.webp

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The number of electors is even? Who designed this shite? :marseyfacepalm: !burgers explain yourselves

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Founding fathers thought it would be really, really funny if there was a tie.

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Literally unironically, people of the past loved immaculate irony

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the corrupt bargain was hilarious tbf

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Factcheck: WARNING! THIS CLAIM HAS BEEN CLASSIFIED AS DANGEROUS. PLEASE REMAIN STILL, AN AGENT WILL COME TO MEET YOU SHORTLY.

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Electors are calculated based on each individual state -- one for each Senator (two) plus an amount scaled for the amount of Representatives.

You don't just "add more electors" because that's not how they are summed.

The Constitution has a function built in in the event of a tie in the 12th Amendment:

  • The House of Representatives chooses the next President. However each separate state casts a single vote, regardless of population, meaning that California and Kansas are considered equal in this scenario, just like how British parliamentary bullshit goes.

  • The Senate chooses the next Vice President.

inb4 "that's r-slurred"

There is absolutely no written law or mandate in the UK that there has to be a Prime Minister, and there is absolutely no governing procedure to determine how he is chosen. The King just randomly points at someone and says "you." Parliament does a vote and makes a suggestion and quite often it is who the King wants for the job that doesn't exist. !burgers they actually do this in England:

The office of prime minister is not established by any statute or constitutional document, but exists only by long-established convention, whereby the monarch appoints as prime minister the person most likely to command the confidence of the House of Commons.

!historychads

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:#marseynerd3talking:

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It's so !grillers get represented, genius

:brainletchesttalking:

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The tie break can also tie btw :marseyxd:

But I think it's unlikely this time around

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Yep. Each state casts a single vote (through Representatives). This is hilarious because Democrats hold a national popular majority, but Republicans control the majority of states because they are borderline unpopulated.

In the tie-breaker scenario, California, New York, Virginia, and Washington each matter as much as North Dakota, South Dakota, Kansas, and Wyoming.

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I'm pretty sure this is Nate Silver's fault somehow.

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more like Nate BRONZE :#marseyemojilaugh:

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:#marseynatesilverfox:

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>marsey

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If we get a tie, he deserves a Nate Gold :#marseysting:

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The electors are apportioned according to the number of each state's Senators and Representatives, to mimic the compromise established for the legislative branch. So far, so good.

When the size of the House of Representatives was fixed at 435 instead of increasing with population, there were 48 states with 96 Senators (two per state), making for 531 electors. Adding Hawaii and Alaska to the union added 4 Senators so made 535 electors. But then they messed it up by giving 3 electors to the District of Columbia because they whined about not getting to vote for President since it is not a state, which makes 538.

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Why not take away one of DC's electors? It's not like they can vote against it. :marseysmug2:

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They can make the lives of any politicians who live there more uncomfortable or luxurious.

"No electors? Low flow potty environmental law enacted, and building inspectors are raiding every politician's residence and whore apartment. For 3-6 months of the year, your potty is clogging at every other flush."

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Ok but they should do that already without the elector shenanigans though...

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Yeah the House is :marseyakshually: supposed to have like 1,300 representatives in it by now going by the original rules

We should go back to that; I think it would be fun and dramatic to 4x the size of congress


Current hyperfixation: https://i.rdrama.net/images/17146091388618665.webp

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We already have some really stupid reps lol.

Imagine what happens when we have a dude who can't read representing the ghettos of St. Louis

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Like those things the chinks do lmao

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They aren't evenly split among states....

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Why not make it 541 so it's prime? Guess :marseyfranklin: wasn't very good at math :marseygiggle:

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:#marseyfranklin: :#!marseyyikes:

Terrible marsey. Who made that? Only :marseyaoc: is worse.

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Keep yourself safe btw !followers !downmarseyrs

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>269-269

>69-69

Nice

:#soysnootalking:

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!slots169

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!slots69

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!slots696

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!slots1000

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!slots1000

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Just because you're acknowledging your comment is Reddit doesn't make it any less Reddit

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you can take the dramatard out of reddit but not the reddit out of the dramatard

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Sadly it is a terminal condition!

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I can't believe the election is 6 days away

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I know I can't wait to get all that money!

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nah even if the election is close, whoever wins 1 swing state is probably going to win all of them.

D+100 EV and R+100 EV are both way more likely than 269-269

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What if Dems are only capable of cheating in half the swing states :marseythonk:

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I was told by a Vedec astrology shaman that queen Kamala is destined to win Nevada :marseykamakama:

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A ute buffalo shaman read the entrails to me and foretold total Jeb! Victory

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Were the entrails soaked in guacamole?

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My meme map is about to become reality!

https://i.rdrama.net/images/17303446144834437.webp

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one of the only people on twitter with a functioning brain already told everyone this

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It was correct to tag me but why did you do it?

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Be warned, The Economist has a self-declared radical centrist bias. They have a vested interest in this outcome

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We need more radical centrist representation

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At this point I'm fairly sure that these simulation sites deliberately try to make it 50-50 so they can pretend to be right regardless of who wins

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Please God do not let this happen, it would not be funny at all 🙏


https://i.rdrama.net/images/17121718107069042.webp

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id laugh :marseyshrug:

!slots200

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Heh, like the s*x number

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Imagine.

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It will tie and there will be a Trump-Kamala Doppelspitze governing the united states !germs

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6 points in one day is quite a lot. Did the other forecasters (Silver, 538, or the betting sites) show the same movement?

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That's 6 votes not percentage points so I think they're just changing Nevada prediction

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Thats the EC votes man

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Wait, I'm sorry, how the heck do they move up or down 6 fricking seats in 1 day?

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"In order to become the master, the politician poses as the servant."

Snapshots:

https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-2024-election/prediction-model/president:

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