Holly Willoughby This will be a quick post about the absolute lolcow that is Allan Lichtman and how he horribly misjudged the 2024 US elections. I'm too tired to bother with headings and sheeit.
Allan Lichtman is an American historian and political analyst, best known for his development of the "Keys to the White House" model which he uses to predict the next US president. He has been correct 9 out of 11 times prior to 2024, and his model is regarded as very accurate. His method is based on a set of 13 true/false statements, or "keys," which take into account factors like the economy, the incumbent party's record, social unrest, and foreign policy issues. According to Lichtman, if six or more of these keys are false, the incumbent party is likely to lose the election; if fewer than six are false, the incumbent party is likely to win.
Prior to the 2024 elections he went on several talk shows bragging about his model and how confident he was that Kamala Harris was going to win. He gave Kamala Harris 9 out of the 13 keys to the White House.
Many people made fun of Allan Lichtman for being so confident, including Nate Silver. However, this did not dissuade Lichtman from sticking to his model.
Rightfully, folks are making fun of him for getting the prediction so wrong.
Here he is admitting he was wrong. What a cuck! He says he's going to take some time off to figure out why he was wrong
The Keys Missed pic.twitter.com/FzsVbKcXFf
— Allan Lichtman (@AllanLichtman) November 6, 2024
No more Allan Lichtman! Hand over the keys!
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The keys funnily enough predicted a trump victory like they did in 2016. Libs went full
the last 8 years and he just fricked up his own model.
Trump for prison
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Up to the 2016 election the keys were supposed to predict the popular vote winner which he missed that year. It wasn't till after the election that he claimed that it was the EV winner, not the vote winner, that his model predicted. This year just sealed how subjective his model always was.
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They were for the electoral until Gore lost and he switched it
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