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Cops less likely to arrest if their shift is about to end

https://www.nber.org/papers/w31985#fromrss

Arrests made near the end of an officer's shift typically require overtime work, and officers respond by reducing arrest frequency but increasing arrest quality. Days in which an officer works a second job after their police shift have higher opportunity cost, also reducing late-shift arrests.

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I don't do shit during the last hour of my work day so yea I get it :marseyagree:

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People are always angry about studies that reveal police to be human beings

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Btw the similar finding about judges and before/after lunch judgements was fake apparently. As in, they purposefully order cases based on how complicated they are and this explained it.

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Yeah, but judges know what cases they'll have to hear on a particular day, and can sort their calendars how they like (and put tricky things when they have time for it to take a while, and quick BS right before finishing up for the morning).

For a similar effect to happen here, the people dispatching officers for 911 calls would have to know which calls are likely to have a solid arrest and which aren't, and prefer to route quick bullshit calls to cops near the end of their workday while sending "yeah, someone's going to jail" calls to officers who have time for that.

From pg. 19-20:

Another potential concern is that a decline in late-shift arrests could be an artifact of either a formal or informal departmental policy that routes officers to fewer calls for service towards the end of their shift. In order to address this possibility, we ask whether an officer's arrest propensity declines conditional on taking a call for service.

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So they put complicated cases before lunch and easier ones afterward? How did they determine which case was believed by each judge to be easier or complicated?

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How do you think

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Reported by:

Neurologically.

:marseybigbrain:

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Reported by:

:#marseysmoothbrain:

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Source?

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reducing arrest frequency but increasing arrest quality.

I know spergs are gonna try to make this into some stupid general point, but thats both obvious and meaningless.

The arrests that might stick or might not, are of course going to be the ones cops wont do if it means overtime, because the chance that they do overtime for nothing is not worth it.

Instead what remains are the arrests for serious crimes where even 1 minute before their end of the shift, the cops have no alternative to arrest the suspect.

Arrest frequency and quality arent independent variables, changing one always has an impact on the other.

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>Arrest frequency and quality arent independent variables, changing one always has an impact on the other.

The paper does in fact know that, and is not trying to imply otherwise:

Taken together, the results suggest that officers have an aversion to overtime work, expressed through an in-crease in the threshold used to make an arrest. This finding is consistent with work by Chan (2018) showing a “slacking off” effect for emergency-room doctors. The increase in court convictions from late-shift arrests suggests that officers value arrest quality at the margin, disproportionately abating lower rather than higher-quality arrests

 

Some observers have also raised the particular concern that overtime pay might incentivize officers to make low-quality late-shift arrests in order to secure access to overtime pay, a practice known as as “collars for dollars” (Moskos, 2011). Our study is the first empirical assessment of the collars for dollars hypothesis, which we examine within a larger evaluation of officers' on-the-job preferences.

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Open secret for druggies is be brazen near shift change

Do you know your local municipalities shift change? :#marseycop:

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Another felonious protip - If you're gonna do some dirt, do it during less than optimal weather. Piggies don't like being cold or hot or wet.

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Cops get so much extra bonus OT they can just refuse :marseyno: to sign paperwork for a hour.

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I read the exact opposite not long ago - cops arresting people for anything they can think of at the end of their shift to score overtime hours. I guess it depends on the precincts willingness to pay overtime.


https://files.catbox.moe/y2zrro.png https://i.rdrama.net/images/172082001273549.webp

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It's published in the NBER which means it's still a working paper.

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I just want some background goddarn

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  • EvilUbie : Because that's how NBER works, Groo. You sound like sphereboy.

Why do you say that?

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:#marseychristmaself:

Snapshots:

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Either that or they already gotten their stolen drugs for the night

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