Think about it:
You're in Islamic Jihad. You shoot off a rocket. Where did it go? How the frick do you know? You're not a djinn with magical powers. You just know it was going the right way when you fired it.
You're an Israeli pilot. You return from your mission and see the news. They ask if there's any possibility you could have made a mistake and bombed the wrong building. Of course not.
It's entirely possible that both sides honestly believe the other side did it but they have no proof so they're lying about each other.
Another possibility is that Israeli extremists did it intentionally because they wanted to frick up any possibility of Biden actually making progress in de-escalating the violence. I consider this fairly remote because there's a lot of people in Israel who would do this, but I doubt there's enough of them in the air force at the same base to pull it off.
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or how's this: both nation states have a few people benefiting greatly from this conflict, who don't give a single shit about the people in them, and are using the emotions of the older folk to send their younger folk to die, so as to reduce the capability of their entire race for more generations to come. It's a really good plan because the people agree to it themselves -- the smart people who didn't want to wage war ended up dying (wonder why) before and most of who's left is a generation whos parents survived, and they go and convince their kids to go die and so the ones who survive this round will do the same to Their kids (i.e. guilt 16yo's off to die with the promise of clout if they return)
It's classic genocide: kill young potentials. Whoever's left is unlikely to be an issue
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