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Day 450 of the Russian invasion of Ukraine: comprehensive analysis of the war to date
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But he has got used to handling firearms. "Anyone can shoot," he says. "It's hitting the target I'm not so good at."The situation on the front lines is widely accepted to be as difficult as at any time since the early days of the war, with many fearing a significant Ukrainian retreat may soon be inevitable.

That guy has some top tier humour

I always find it wild that there are people who claim to be "pro-Ukrainian" but completely ignore the reality of the situation ( just go to worldnews). I was shocked reading a story ( in the Kyiv Post!) about how at least ~100,000 Ukrainian civilians have returned to occupied territory. They fly to Russia then go via land back home.

https://www.kyivpost.com/post/42704

In the literal article it explained the reasons why people were returning because it interviewed the people returning. And mostly it was due to them just not being able to live in Ukraine. Nowhere to live, no support from the government and skyrocketing food prices

So they moved to Russia because it's simply easier to live there for them.

It's interesting seen Redditors realising things ain't looking good for Ukraine

And as always when bodies are traded

Ukraine gets way more bodies like every single exchange.

Here previous exchange

Meduza is pro western

https://i.rdrama.net/images/17329025789640136.webp

This is from October

But best part Biden administration now telling Ukrainian to lower the mobilisation age to 18

https://i.rdrama.net/images/17329025798538008.webp

I wrote before that at one point khohols will hate west more than Russian and it's slowly happening.

Ukraine was promised by Boris Johnson that they will win. But now Ukraine is in worse situation than in 2022 and it desperately trying to regain 2022 March situation to sign a peace deal. Than west telling them to kill them self by mobilising their future that they already almost lost. Just look objectively, boy that is today 18 was 15 when it started, his parents probably brought him to EU where he is finishing school/starting college. So age group 18-21 has huge hole and after the first time to mobilisation age was lowered, desertion went up and now there are daily attacks on mobilisation organisation.

https://i.rdrama.net/images/17329025803995755.webp

Also they tried to get help from Korea even by creating that story of North Koreans are about to attack Ukraine at any moment for 2 months now.

https://i.rdrama.net/images/1732902580883374.webp

https://i.rdrama.net/images/17329025811598275.webp

Majority of Ukrainian now are ready to sign a deal with Putin and don't want to fight anymore.

https://i.rdrama.net/images/17329025819250393.webp

Kurakhove is good as gg. Ukraine did put some of its elite soldiers to hold it but it made Velyka Novosilka weaker

https://i.rdrama.net/images/1732902582652483.webp

Russian will turn this city in to a FOB

https://i.rdrama.net/images/17329025834607425.webp

Russian will get this territory with ease under its control and go after Pokrovske (don't confuse with Pokrovsk) capturing of Pokrovske will cuck Zaphorochie city and help Russia isolating it.

In north Russian crossed oskol river in multiple points

https://i.rdrama.net/images/17329025841019907.webp

Basically annulation of the great Kharkiv counteroffensive greatest achievements

https://i.rdrama.net/images/17329025846332653.webp

Chasiv yar is also in shit

https://i.rdrama.net/images/17329025852653303.webp

Toretsk is last true OG fortress under Ukraine and things don't look good

Zelenskyy even fired his ground force general today and replaced him

Ukraine now is in giga shit situation. Ukraine in their best case scenario with lowering mobilisation age can get 250k men. When they lowered from 27 to 25 they expected 500k men. There was some logic behind why in 25-27 are more people than in 18-25

https://i.rdrama.net/images/17329025858406594.webp

Their demographic is frick up.

But let's assume they decide to do it and it's absolutely best case scenario. For Russian that means 250k Ukrainian man till total attrition war victory. Russia will get whole Ukraine.

They fricking dreaming about 2022 March deal now. But western media tries telling them it was bad deal :marseyxd:

So Trump peace deal won't work. Zelensky can't sign a document that will officially give Russian Crimea. Putin won't agree on anything other than official recognition. Giving Ukraine more weapons won't do shit, they got over 1000 tanks from west, ammunition they are getting are straight out factories, they got like 80% of western air defence ammunition, we now don't even get reports what Ukraine is getting because probably over half of m777 are in Ukraine and over 800 Bradley's no other nato country except US is as well equipped as Ukraine yet they failed to liberate a single town with all that gear.

Also west now don't tell what Ukraine is receiving so guys like this one can cope

https://i.rdrama.net/images/1732902586236872.webp

When simple Wikipedia that shows the absolute minimum. States clearly more than 167 leopards 2

https://i.rdrama.net/images/17329025864383013.webp

It won't be a surprise if Ukraine operates the most leopards per country. But for people like that guy it's easier to cope that if Ukraine receives its 38rd leopard it's going to win. With abrams the situation was more r-slurred, Russian captured like 10 abrams and visually fully destroyed 30 so -40 abrams and Ukraine officially only got 31 so they decided to bump it to 80 but it's clearly over 100.

So giving more weapons won't change anything Russian are now stronger they drone mog Ukrainian by x20. Ukraine won't liberate anything. Their main problem is they are out of men. For a lot of Ukrainians now it's even better to live infer Putin than die under Zelenskyy.

They kinda have no way out. If they decide to sign a July 2024 Putin deal, Putin will offer a new deal that they can't sign so it's grinding time for them.

The moral of story, it's important to know when to stop gambling. Defeating Russian in Kiev was already a miracle for them. But they thought it was their skills and they will defeat Russian :marseyjanny2:

There is a saying

https://i.rdrama.net/images/1732903046394789.webp

/ Otto von Bismarck

Beautiful that it was posted on September 2023

When @pizzashill coped with counteroffensive

https://i.rdrama.net/images/17329030470383296.webp

Community Note by @Energizer

Our fact-checkers have determined that this user is a known schizo:

https://rdrama.net/post/172865/the-most-informed-user-of-rdramanet

(@_____ is his old username)

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Fap 3000
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Future of Russia poll. Please everybody participate.

Based upon watching Russia for the past three years, where do you believe Russia is headed:

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ruble falling by 10 % past week. Is anything happening? probably not

thoughts?

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Why did he do it?

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Russia v Ukraine

My bet is on Ukraine

He probably also bet on spring counteroffensive like just like pizashill

https://i.rdrama.net/images/17326670898244984.webp

@Waverly just think it's funny that Atomic heart atm has 2 more points that Stalker 2

I just think it's funny that :marseyxd:

@Waverly feel like @Waverly love sucking peepee

S.T.A.L.K.E.R 2 is gonna be the best game released this year, so that one.

Wasnt released in 2023 but go off

my heart is telling me @Communist_spez

We won in the end

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Reported by:
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During ww2 snipers were killed even if they surrender

In this conflict drone pilots are killed instead

um Nether side take drone pilots as pows, and Russian also dont take kraken and sometimes azovcels

i feel like I love sucking peepee

um Drone pilots have bad reputation as example in one of comments;

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Seems like Ukraine will get nuked in the end. NATO made new resolution

They want to give Ukraine missiles with range of 1000-5500km range missiles.

Ukraine has no way of winning now but giving them such missiles is forcing Russian to actually nuke Ukraine since they can permit such type missiles of being used against them.

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The European Union won.

They got an excuse to build their own EU army.

The non-EU European states got closer to the EU.

The EU got millions of white immigrants from Ukraine.

Belarus became more neutral instead of pro-Russia.

Serbia and Hungarian populace became more pro-EU. Same for Georgia.

Russia became weaker without direct EU intervention.

The EU secured more Russian immigration to the EU the moment the war is over.

At this rate, Russia is going to end up a member of the European Union by the end of the century, With China as the new boogeyman that replaces Russia.

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There appears to be a 30 years gap between the competence of the average Ukrainian soldier and the average zerg rush Russian soldier. You shouldn't be having a stalemate against another army with tactics that are older than your grandfather.

The real embarrassment of the Russian-Ukraine war isn't that the Russians have a 2 day special operation going on for 3 years. The real embarrassment of the Russia-Ukraine war is that the Ukrainians are getting bogged down by the guys who would hit and explode their own troops in a warzone.

With the capabilities that the Russian troops are displaying, the death to kill ration of Ukrainians should be 1:10 yet they appear to be far below target.

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/putin-orders-russian-army-expand-war-ukraine-rcna171429

Just look at them. Russia is still trying to win with a numbers game. Becoming the second largest military in the world won't win them the war but they are unable to accept this fact.

Ukraine is going to have no future at the end of this war, but nor is Russia.

Russia is keeping 1.5 million active military personnel at all times.

The Kremlin reportedly sought to recruit 400,000 soldiers from across Russia in 2023, and according to some reports, citing anonymous sources, Russian officials expect to recruit a similar number of contract soldiers this year.

Based on the Russian hiring numbers. The Russians appear to be losing 400,000 troops per year who need to be replaced to maintain military strength.

In 2023 1.3 million children were born in Russia. If the above estimates are correct, Russians are losing 1/3rd worth of people compared to the number of Russian children born per year.

If you look at their population numbers by age, after the age of 30 the Russian female outnumbers the Russian male, in the age brackets before the age of 30, the Russian male outnumbers the Russian female.

The smartest thing that a Russian man can do after the war is over is to leave the country. He very obviously has no rights within his own country worth having him stay there for.

Conclusion:

Russia is either going to lose the war or be defeated by the aftermath of the war.

USD to ruble value has already crossed 105 ruble for 1 dollar.

Right now one Indian rupee is worth 1.25 rubles.

If the rubles value falls below that of the yen, they are done for. There is no recovering from that. Even the Japanese are not able to survive at those numbers.

It's Joeover for the Russian empire and the reason for it is that they actually didn't have enough human rights and human dignity for their people to want to stay. Nor the wealth distribution among the common populace to make them want to stay.

In a globalized world you have to either be very rich with equitable wealth distribution or you have to have very high standards of human rights and dignity. Otherwise your people just leave for better pastures.

All the smart Russians are going to leave for Brazil if they aren't allowed into the US or Europe.

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https://i.rdrama.net/images/17325848291672997.webp

!soyteens @BWC

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Zaluzhnyy expect Ukraine to lose in 2027

https://i.rdrama.net/images/1732581292302873.webp

If

https://i.rdrama.net/images/17325812927803905.webp

He becomes the next president this won't happen :marseyxd:

Imagine being the guy Zaluzhnyy told a week ago not to fear death and chances to survive are zero and then reading this :marseyxd:

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Meanwhile Ukrainian in Canada:

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That's so democratic when majority of frogs told no but macron still wants to send them

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New Kiev next to New New Delhi in Canada

https://i.rdrama.net/images/1732537793711256.webp

I just love majority of refugees are from west Ukraine :marseyxd:

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Refugees are denied housing, jobs and benefits

In Ukraine.

"This wave last year began after Ukraine's government canceled the social wage of Hr.2,000 ($48) for internally displaced Ukrainians. But the main reason is that they don't have a place to live," Andriushchenko said.

"[The program] fits refugees from Kyiv, Bucha, Hostomel but people from Mariupol, Berdyansk, Volnovakha, Tokmak, and Melitopol cannot afford it."

In some regions, there are few refugees because the regions are "unfriendly for internally displaced persons" – meaning they could not find a job, the local prices were too high to get by, or the local society appeared "closed."

The people who ran away from artillery got bullied into going back, like wtf.

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https://i.rdrama.net/images/17324883541423318.webp

We haven't seen a single North Korean soldier now for second month after they were announced to start fighting Ukrainian "tomorrow" now we have Yemeni

:marseyxd:

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We have the new game changer :marseyhappening:

Russia seems more keen on deploying short and medium range tactical missile launchers near Ukraine to send a message, but they can never use them for tactical nukes without a crushing Western retaliation.

I love this Redditor logic

Russia uses nukes -> NATO attacks a country that uses nukes and have enough nukes to destroy the world as goal to defeat that country -> Russian won't use nuke against nato because nato will defeat Russia.

The reality is this

And now the west cope by saying if Russia nukes Ukraine it will become isolated.

You can your self but Russia is isolated

https://i.rdrama.net/images/17324776340132394.webp

https://media.tenor.com/YZufu40GeswAAAAx/jill-larson-shutter-island.webp

So absolutely nothing will happen if Ukraine gets nuked.

But THAAD is just new excuse why Ukraine is not winning. US doesn't have that many THAAD's just like US doesn't have enough patriots and giving to Ukraine straight from factory. So THAAD missiles will burn a lot faster that patriots one without replacement so there is no way US will give those to Ukraine. That Russia orechnik has 36 missiles so THAAD will need to use 36+ missile and each cost 12+ million so 432+ millions to shot an 8 million missile (probably cheaper without nuke charges)

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How can you hate this guy ?
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Commander of wolfs of da Vinci told he is homosexual if Russian reach pokrovsk

Now he is saying Russian will capture Donbas :marseythumbsup:

They were a good brigade

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Da_Vinci_Wolves_Battalion

But after bakhmut they didn't had any real fights and the top commanders are farming donations since then

https://i.rdrama.net/images/17324084563846073.webp

Flexing their expensive watches and etc.

But you can understand him he made a lot of money and has no reasons to fight

Zaluzhnyy is preparing to be president and end it all by saying it's western fault, they can't give us enough stuff so we stop dying

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Jihad Julian now lives in another dimension

His AI told that Russian fired an RS26 instead of orechnik :marseybrainlet:

Failed attack that Russian managed to complete an cross river attack

Than he spends hours analysing Putins hands move during a video and confirm Putin is dead

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