FAB-3000 from Su27! pic.twitter.com/UtWAXZHyqC

— Dr. Remington (@smotri_media) July 14, 2024

A week ago I told you guys why su27 was better than f16. F16 won't even lift and fab1500. So su27 got even a bit better.

Also su27 are less vulnerable to new orlan drones that destroyed at least 6 HIMARS in last 30 days

and I don't count HIMARS in Odessa since we didn't got any visual confirmation other than that Ukraine kinda stopped using ATACMS.

So bad week for khohols, it's spring counteroffensive got the final sayonara and President Trump survived (it's technically incorrect to presidents "ex" but you can call them un acting)

Many Ukrainian brigades got mad and wrote if they were the shooter they wouldn't had miss.

And khohol glowie genius leader dropped this yesterday

🇺🇳🇷🇺🇺🇦 LMAO: Ukraine found a great strategy to fight Russia!

Representative of Ukraine to UN Sergiy Kyslytsya says Russia is not a member of the UN actually. pic.twitter.com/euv35LurRO

— Lord Bebo (@MyLordBebo) July 13, 2024

Soviet Union was successor of Russia the same way Russia is successor of Soviet Union. Soviet Union was the one who paid the Soviet debts and continue doing the Soviet treaties and other shit. It was the biggest part of Soviet Union in every field. Ukraine as other republics gladly dumbed all Soviet debts at Russia and rejected all the claims of being Soviet successor, to start as new virgin countries and yet the khohol that has the only dictator in Europe that illegally gave himself that power and shits every day on Ukrainian constitution, decided to talk about laws

And let's look at it theoretically, like for example UN decided to vote to kick Russia out. Who will actually vote to kick Russia out ? US won't because that would just kill off UN. And despite all the flaws UN does good job protecting Israel from criticism.

But I love how he asked the audience to rise the hand if they took part of Greco-Persian Wars 499BCE

Like for real Russian UN change happened 33 years ago of course non of those that sit in that room was in UN back then.

So Ukraine again throw some sand dust to the eyes instead of celebrating

"Sayonara my lovely spring counteroffensive"

So an Aussie redditor mercenary fighting in the International Legion got ploinked.

I would grant though, he tried to inject a healthy dose of reality into the copium to no avail. He even got his comments deleted a couple of times for being too realistic.

Some selections 👇 pic.twitter.com/9TB34PIlL3

— Anomandris Purake (@Malazan_enjoyer) July 13, 2024

In the last 610 days, Ukraine has captured virtually nothing. Their biggest capture was Urozhaine, a village of 1000 pre-war population. It was fully recaptured by Russia today. pic.twitter.com/Ise6Ws0msP

— Trapped Ion (@SyriaObReloaded) July 13, 2024

At least local pro Ukrainian will say Ukraine is winning since its Ukrainian goal to reach 1991 borders and Russian goal is to grind down all Ukrainian that can hold a gun. And we can see how Ukraine is closer and closer to its goal

Also don't worry it was never about helping Ukraine win, it was never about isolating Russia, it was never about forcing world order on Russia and punishing it for breaking it, it was never about punishing Russia for taking other country land and setting a precedent that countries can do war of conquest after ww2, it was never about showing western might with sanctions, it was never about destroying Russian economy, it was never about punishing Russia so China would fear west, it was just a straight lie. It was about killing Russian and reducing their military capability what Russia has now more people and better military capabilities than in 2022 ? Yeah that was also a lie

@Szia_uram catch phrases: Ukraine can't win fast enough

And things will get just better for Ukraine since NATO straight called China its N1 enemy

https://www.businessinsider.com/ukraine-faces-same-problem-with-f16s-as-abrams-tanks-zelenskyy-2024-7?amp

To all those against aid for Ukraine especially in America.
Your country promised to protect Ukraine sovereignty after it gave up nearly 600 nuclear weapons.
You failed on that agreement and now your moaning about aid that actually saves you money in the long run...

— WarMonitor🇺🇦 (@WarMonitor3) July 11, 2024

In case he deleted his post like he deleted his post where he was crying that the world care less about Ukraine than Palestine

Crying that world don't care about supposedly "Russian" 5200lb missile strike on children hospital that killed 0 children. It's already sounds absurd. But I already proven before that 1st it wasn't x101, such missile would had left a huge hole

And as you see only some windows are blown out and looks like shrapnels. X101 doesn't has shrapnel but AD missiles have

2nd there was no direct hit on that hospital.

Being khohol or devil advocate I wrote when this happened that Russian hit a civilian building in Kryvyi rog and killed people:

This is Soviet building and its a lot thicker than the hospital.

So Ukraine had real story but they decided Kiev and capitalcel lives only matters and started to dance around that absurd story about children hospital.

Warmonitor3 probably realised Palestinian lives matters and just absurd crying that outside world wasn't impressed about story of 5200lbs bomb managing to kill 0 children while 1/3 of Gaza casualties are children. That story is just vanilla.

But now he copes about nukes Ukraine never had. By Soviet laws all nukes were property of Russian Soviet republic and were even guarded by soldiers that were from Russia

Expecting more from west is also low iq. West failed to protect Ukrainian electricity that means west for real has no AD to spare

This winter will be very problematic for Ukraine and December 2023 polls showed 48% Ukrainian want to continue fighting and 44% want peace talk. 7 months later is safe to assume more want peace talk.

So what that warmonitor3 wants from US ?

He should go hold some bakhmut

Bottom text

That's how pro Ukrainian expected first trial of Busha to sound but it's clown world

According to prosecutor Martin Bílé, 27-year-old Filip Siman joined the Ukrainian volunteer battalion Carpathian (Nazi) at the end of March 2022, despite the fact that he did not have special permission to do so: the law prohibits Czechs from serving in foreign armed forces without the president's permission.

Link to Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carpathian_Sich

In Ukraine, he received basic training and went with a group of soldiers to the Kyiv region's cities of Bucha and Irpin to perform missions.

According to the indictment, the Czech repeatedly misappropriated the belongings of both dead soldiers and civilians. It is stated that he appropriated a number of jewelry items, cash, branded sunglasses, etc.

Speaking in court, the man denied that he wanted to enrich himself by collecting valuables. According to him, all the units were based in abandoned houses of Ukrainians, so the valuables, money or electronics they found were taken "to the headquarters". The Ukrainians' belongings were taken in case the Russians recaptured the facilities.

I steal it so someone else doesn't steal it even tho Russian didn't steal it the first time.

As "trophies" he brought back from Ukraine Gucci glasses, a breathing mask from an-225 and gold and silver bars, as well as other jewelry.

He said that he removed gold jewelry from the killed because "that's what everyone did." And confirmed that the Ukrainian military not only robbed but also shot civilians near Kiev in Bucha: "We were the police, we were the court, we were the firing squad when it came to this."

Where the frick did they found bars ? Is war legit like battlefield bad company single player campaign ?

Who could had thought the Reddit battalion can be this wholesome

It's 2022 and YouTube banning pro Russian Russian artists… oh wait it's 2024 and YouTube banning those artist by request of Baltics

Russia directly approved new law to ban YouTube by September

Baltics population is 6 million and now YouTube will lose two countries with combined population of 155 millions

Like it would been understandable if it was 2022 today or US has requested this ban, but Baltics ?

Edit: I read this article in another place that didn't mention this:

the Lithuanian Radio and Television Commission (LRTK)

the Baltic country threatened to fine the video platform nearly $ 55,000

Also all the artist they asked to ban are boomer artists whose main audience ain't even on YouTube

The YouTube foid that was leading this case as true foid. 55k is literally nothing, it's probably not even 0,001% of money they been making from Russia

🇺🇸‼️🚨 Rob “The Russians are everywhere” Bauer has now a NAFO dog.

🤷‍♂️ pic.twitter.com/2UxWE9htHI

— Lord Bebo (@MyLordBebo) July 11, 2024

Pretty much everyone was expecting but a lot more happened than expected.

Before the summit started it was assumed Ukrainian would do some big push to have some gains to show at this summit as winning but nothing happened not even missiles strikes.

Even Russia prepared for this summit better by doing breakthrough in couple of sectors and bussy blasting Kiev.

During the summit there was a lot of talks about nothing like for example this:

And this

Then not even 24 hours after those statements they did a 180 flip. Biden told no and

Poland had interesting ideas about fixing refugees problems

"I think many Poles are outraged when they see young Ukrainian men in hotels and cafes, and they hear how much effort we have to make to help Ukraine,"

So they started a "volunteers brigade"

"In Poland, we are beginning to train the first Ukrainian brigade composed of volunteers from inside Poland. We have up to a million Ukrainians of both genders, and several thousands of them have already registered for the draft,"

"Interestingly, many of them want to serve and rotate their compatriots, but they say: 'We don't want to be thrown into the battle without being properly trained and equipped.' And we're going to do this for them," Sikorski said.

Oh heck yeah, that's why they run away from Ukraine and the mobilisation

"And then they will be available to the Ukrainian government as a unit with the right to return to Poland after their rotation," he added.

He encouraged other European countries also hosting male Ukrainian refugees or with significant Ukrainian minorities to do the same.

"If every European country did that, Ukraine would have several brigades," Sikorski said.

Realistically this move will push Ukrainian to find a job or move to Germany since Germany just can't do similar move because of ma ethics

Then Poland promised Ukraine it would shoot down missiles that are heading towards Poland in Ukrainian sky. But of course did a flip by saying NATO should shoot those missiles but nobody reacted or commented so it went

Then NATO promised to give Ukraine 40 billion next year but just a month ago countries decided to tell no to nato idea of giving Ukraine 40 billions but honestly it's impossible to track all the money heading to Ukraine. Wikipedia stopped updating it and froze it at 380 billion since November 2023 and we know that Ukraine got at least 50 from eu, 61 from US and tons of smaller aids packages this year. Yesterday tho Biden gave Zelenskyy only 220 millions.

Biden was the star of the show tho

So as expected

🇺🇸🇺🇦 The US will allocate more than 7 million dollars to support women in the Armed Forces of Ukraine, — Secretary of State Blinken.

👀 The aid, in particular, will include more than 10,000 uniforms, shoes and other necessary equipment. pic.twitter.com/t9eraydBcZ

— MAKS 24 🇺🇦👀 (@Maks_NAFO_FELLA) July 11, 2024

include more than 10,000 uniforms, shoes and other necessary equipment

Note:

It won't be as fast a decline as China.

There is very likely going to be a forever war in Ukraine lasting many more years.

Here is my proof:

Russia's war economy has left Russia short of 4.8 million workers - https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-short-around-48-million-workers-2023-crunch-persist-izvestia-2023-12-24/

Russian GDP growth for past five years averaged 1.32% per year. ( 2.2 + (-2.7) + 5.6 + (-2.1) + 3.2)/5 = 6.2/5 = 1.32% per year - https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG?locations=RU

Russian GDP reached a new peak in 2023 - 2,240 + 3.2% = 2.311 trillion USD - https://www.worldometers.info/gdp/russia-gdp/

Russian population peaked in 1993 at 149 million people. - https://www.bofit.fi/en/monitoring/weekly/2024/vw202409_1/

Russian artillery production is high but Ukraine is still getting better equipment - https://apnews.com/article/ukraine-nato-summit-patriot-air-defense-6bf639e3a76e9ea8adbdadabd2660490

Russia's robot density is 6 per 10,000 workers, so the declining population is not being balanced out by robot production. - https://tadviser.com/index.php/Article:Industrial_robots_in_Russia

Russia is increasing trade with India and China, both economies big enough to allow Russian economy to stay in business for the years ahead. - China economy - 18 trillion GDP. India economy - 3.5 trillion GDP. Russia economy - 2.5 trillion GDP.

Russia's median age is 39.2 years now. - https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/russia-population/

Russia is giving citizenship to 100,000 plus Tajikistani workers per year now. - https://eurasianet.org/tajikistan-as-expat-worker-life-gets-harder-russian-citizenship-tempts

Hundreds of thousands of Russians may already be dead in the Russia-Ukraine war - https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1920357/russia-army-casualties-update-ukraine-war

Conclusion:

Russia is using every single point in its favor to try and win this war. Russia is suffering from a labor shortage that is likely to worsen as long as the war with Ukraine continues. Tajikistan is not a large enough nation state to supply all the labor needs of Russia even if Russians keep accepting Tajikistan nationals as citizens at current rates.

Russia's economy will not collapse due to lack of markets to trade with, however Russia's demographics are going to continue to worsen along with increasing labor shortages over time. The two nations poor enough to keep sending people to Russia are Tajikistan and Uzbekistan. The combined population of these two territories is 45 million people. Both of these regions are growing at a fast enough rate economically that the flow of citizens to Russia from these regions is only going to slow down year on year at a rapid rate.

Russia's demographic decline will not be as extreme as other East Asian economies due to being open to immigration from Central Asian nation states, however, Russian economy also does not have the support network provided by mass usage of robotics in their manufacturing industry, meaning that their GDP growth will consistently decline as their overall population declines over time.

As Russia is using every single trick it can to stay afloat, while conducting a forever war in Ukraine, it becomes safe to conclude that Russia's decline will be glacial and guaranteed.

also that was never a penalty but

🇺🇸🇺🇦 F-16s are being delivered to Ukraine “as we speak”

They are being transferred by Denmark and the Netherlands, and the fighters will be in the skies of Ukraine this summer. pic.twitter.com/ti7Kjb3sTA

— Lord Bebo (@MyLordBebo) July 10, 2024

Probably there will be picture of f16 in Lvov

But telling now that f16 will fly in Ukraine this summer when we are past 50% of the summer is not very wise. People expecting f16 go bombing Russian and destroy Russian jets.

https://x.com/the_real_fly/status/1811069572948148726

And it seems they for real again hyping f16. It's like so not wise to do this with new recon drones.

Also the agreement Zelenskyy is flexing:

Luxembourg army is 900 men

The agreements also literally don't mean anything

https://ecfr.eu/article/the-power-of-a-promise-understanding-ukraines-bilateral-security-agreements/?amp

However, the degree and terms of this support are not clear. None of the agreements is ratified by the parliaments of the signatory countries

Not ratification means the documents ain't valid

This is an important distinction. The Ukrainian leadership refers to the agreements as security guarantees, choosing a term that is clear and reassuring for the wider public. But using the term guarantees is misleading: Ukraine relied on a similar 'guarantee' without legal mechanisms to enforce it when it gave up its nuclear arsenal in exchange for protection from the United States, the UK, and Russia under the 1994 Budapest Memorandum.

Live a life to not learn anything

What the document says:

all the agreements contain a clause stating that in the event of a future Russian attack against Ukraine, the parties will consult within 24 hours to determine the measures needed to counter and deter the aggression.

Basically Luxembourg will give Ukraine advice how to stop Russia.

So those agreements Ukraine is collecting are as good meme as legendary peace summit:

Global Peace Summit will strengthen Ukraine diplomatically – Volodymyr Zelenskyy

If we now google ukrainian peace summit one of results will be:

But I am legit surprised that Blinken let him self so easily be caught

This is Washington

There are also on other places around the world.

But you have to give credit to those Ukrainian men, they are low inhib as frick. Because when you see Ukrainian men protesting and one that look fit you automatically asking your self "neighbor why u here ?". But they don't give a frick

This neighbor even went cheap and didn't changed his pride month costume

https://x.com/ug_chelsea/status/1810273828720758919

There were a lot of hits and in cities that were supposed to be protected by patriot like Kiev and Khrivoi Rog

https://x.com/menchosint/status/1809861278917091768

This patriot system that was destroyed 2 days ago and obviously pro Ukrainian claimed it's fake. Was supposed to protect khruvoi rog.

Ukraine started campaign that Russia supposedly hit some hospital with x101 missile

It's a slowed down video so you can compare that missile with couple of x101 hitting same target

Ukraine also didn't mention that main strike was at night and only focused at that hospital.

Ukraine put a lot of effort in this campaign

https://x.com/mylordbebo/status/1810419215599620181

But question should been what do they expect from it ? US already rushed saying they won't let Ukraine use its weapons on Russian soil. There also wouldn't be any new weapons for Ukraine and Israel with Gaza made sure nobody would give a frick about this event.

But what's important to me is

I been telling for months patriots ain't going to do a shit. And now after Ukraine received more patriots than Germany has, and Zelenskyy promised it would stop Russian bombings. We are enjoying how effortless Russian is bombing a city that has most patriot defence on earth. As I mention in the past, patriots can stop around 100 missiles a year. It's probably less in reality because factories that build those often get caught in fire and storages etc in nato countries get blown up like this happened 2 days ago:

Only a year ago they were proudly claiming patriots are shooting down kinzhals

And now they have to beg Israel to give them ammo

>Could Turn the Tide

If Zelenskyy poo right now it could turn the tide, I mean everything is theoretically possible.

With new Orlan drones Ukraine is now constantly also losing Himars vehicles

https://x.com/dd_geopolitics/status/1810611257856213352

The targets Russian hit yesterday was some factories and some electricity generators but that's just propping since Russian main goal is to send Ukraine into blackout during the winter.

The winter part will be very interesting because with constant blackouts a lot of Ukrainian will move to the west.

But don't worry to Bloomberg Zelenskyy promised a new counteroffensive and that he end this conflict by end of this year. And yesterday signed some agreements with Poland and Poland promised to him they will shot Russian missiles that enter Polish air space. It's a good promise is will be as effective as:

Russian missiles are just couple seconds in Polish air space, shooting them in Polish air space + making sure it falls in Polish soil is kinda very hard to do. Russia has radars in that area so if Polish missile hits Russian missile in Ukrainian air space it will be a direct involvement.

Edit: seems later Poland did an back-steep

Tusk on the idea of shooting down missiles in Ukraine's skies: we need NATO cooperation for this

We need unequivocal cooperation within NATO for this, because this kind of action does require joint NATO responsibility.

So it was just some food for Ukrainian to feel good yesterday

Edit: Ukrainian twitter channel today flex that it got patriot from Germany on 5 June and something (probably ammo) from Romania on 20 June

https://x.com/ukrreview/status/1810618910154043565

They couldn't pick a better day to flex about it

Even if we assume Russian won't bomb air fields in Poland.

Ukraine is around 800 miles wide. Polish military bases on western part of the country so we put it at 200 miles from Ukraine for easier math. F16 top speed is 1400 mph so to reach Donbas and back it would take over a hour flight on afterburner but it can fly on afterburner only for 16-20 min. Full loaded with fuel tanks f16 can fly only around 2 hours in low altitudes and f16 cruising speed is 577 mph. If f16 tries a high low mission it instantly will be spotted by Russian AD in Kaliningrad and Belarus so f16 won't be able to do any bombing missions.

So it's not even valid strategy.

It's also funny how Redditors compare f16 to su34 and tell f16 is better

Su34 is a bomber that has more fuel than f16 weight. Russian are successful dropping so many heavy bombs because su34 are huge.

I doubt f16 will even have timed success like himars, atacms, m777, storm shadow and other game changers.

But it's a bit refreshing that Redditor start realising the game changer ain't so game changing and perhaps they find a new game changer to cope ?

Here source for coping hards:

Just as general information, the F-16 at full military power and low altitudes burns about 8000 pounds of fuel an hour

F16 can carry 7,000 pounds internal or 12,000 pounds with two external tanks.

Meanwhile US GDP peak was last in the year 2024.

Ukraine's last economic peak was in 2021.

European Unions peak GDP was in current year.

China's GDP peak is in current year.

Russia is a has been economy fighting against currently still rising empires. Anybody who thinks Russia is going to win is r-slurred. Winners don't use human wave tactics in current year sacrificing 1000+ troops a day.

It's like watching a senile old man trying to relive his glory days.

The only way Russia could win this fight is by sacrificing the rest of its future in terms of the amount of people it sends out to die.

Russia only has 22 million bodies left to throw at Ukraine. After that its over for Russia.

And now

It will fall out of the top 15 largest economies of the world.

Other than that not much else will change. It will not collapse, just stagnate as a society as they have sacrificed too many soldiers for the invasion.

Its economic ranking will continue to go down for the next two decades. It will not be in a position to invade again.

In the long run, it is an empire permanently in decline, as it is cut off from the western economic network, and the Chinese SCO still requires a major net importer to hold the system up that nobody is willing to become.

If Russia persists in its decline in relation to other nation states, that means China will no longer be able to compete with the west on its own, as China will have zero powerful partners remaining, which with China's aging population, sets it up to soon follow in Japan's footsteps in terms of global decline, becoming the 5th or 6th largest economy one to two generations down the line.

Conclusion:

Russia's failure to win the Ukraine war along with economic decline will result in a domino effect of the decline of the anti west alliance over the coming decades.

Cuba is already crashed. Pakistan is crashed. Russia is crashing. China is aging fast. That leaves Iran.

The eastern axis will not be able to beat the west