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FrozenChosin they/them korean war veteran  5d ago (reddit.com) Edited 4d ago 586 thread views #279231

/r/politics is very mad that Nate Silver's forecast has Trump in the lead with 66% chance of winning the election, 0 upvotes and 261 comments

https://old.reddit.com/r/politics/comments/1dp7gx5/polling_guru_nate_silver_forecasts_trump_has_a/

For those who don't understand it... I would say to them: Think of your friends who will likely be killed if Republicans are able to get the level of control they aspire to and will probably achieve in another Trump term. By not voting, you condemn them to death. Our blood will be on your hands, and if your "principles" are comfortable with seeing us die so you can feel very temporarily better about yourself, you aren't a leftist, you're just an embarrassed Republican.

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I fear that this post having 0 upvotes might be a symptom of our worsening head-in-the-sand-itis.

You aren't wrong lol we need outside opinions to check out biases from time to time, nobody is immune to group think or being stuck in an echo chamber where you only ever see opinions that back your own.

Now does that mean we should seriously consider blatant misinformation or propaganda? Absolutely not. But I don't think Nate falls into those categories.

I'm interested to see how many people actually read the article. It's obviously not perfect, no polling or projection is. But trump outperformed the polls both times in 2020 and 2016. Luckily Biden had such a big lead in 2020 it didn't matter, but now, it seems we're at a toss up at best, and Biden behind at worst.

Now obviously with the Roe V Wade overturning things have been relatively good for Democrats, and hopefully that can continue to carry some weight, but we've yet to see how it effects a presidential election.

:#marseyhesright:

People in these threads acting like people down-voting this means anything for the election.

/r/politics isn't going to have an effect on the election. Sorry to burst that bubble.

We could downvote every story into oblivion or every story to the top and that would still be true.

:#marseyhesright:

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