https://old.reddit.com/r/fivethirtyeight/comments/1dp9j3w/republicans_rally_behind_trump_after_conviction/
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Regarding the fact that Republicans have been substantially more likely to respond to pollsters after his conviction:
Never mind that the pollsters obviously normalize their data so Republicans responding more doesn't actually skew the results. Although I think these races are primarily decided by turnout so one side being more motivated than the other is a huge factor. In 2022, Democrats were extremely motivated because the RvW appeal was so recent. It seems like old history now in comparison, I don't see many Democrats enthusiastic to go out and vote.
Gosh it'll be funny if Trump wins in 2024 by a larger margin than Biden did in 2020.
edit:
as a side note, all these cope threads are FULL of statements like this
When will they realize that Americans don't actually give a shit about the economy of other countries? You will literally never convince the general public that the economy is good by comparing it to non-US economies. I don't care how "real" or "academic" the comparison is, it doesn't matter. Americans don't fricking care. We care about our own economy and that's it. The American public has literally ALWAYS been isolationist, and although it's not as extreme as it was before WW1, it's still the prevailing undercurrent.
If you want to convince the man on the street that the economy is good, you simply cannot do that through comparison to other countries. He doesn't care.
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Americans want other economies to be bad so they can travel cheaper, but they 100% don't give a shit about actual relative wealth when they can also see their money get fricked in rea time
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If you asked the average American to rate the issues on which are most important, that wouldn't even crack the top 10. Very few Americans regularly go on international vacations enough for it to matter at all. Most might go every few years, if they go on any at all.
I just checked and only 48% of Americans even have a passport in the first place.
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Grocery have gotten r-slurred, insurance is raping everyone and housing still absolutely blows unless you can be a ruralcel
The economy is great besides that.
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The economy is great if you're a boomer. If you're not 35+ its never been worse
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