I don't foresee any meaningful changes. Michigan may go red and NC may go blue but I doubt it.
Let's see yours. Don't bother with the shades. We'll revisit this again in October.
As a reminder, I was off by around 1% in 2020.
Carp map:
Actual result:
They call me Nate Platinum.
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
How red do you think PA is?
I've been pretty surprised that most people are low key about the election this year.
Follower of Christ
Tech lover, IT Admin, heckin pupper lover and occasionally troll. I hold back feelings or opinions, right or wrong because I dislike conflict.
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
Cook report has PA as a toss us right now, and Given literally all other factors I give toss ups to who i think will be the winner
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
Yeah I could see it being a toss up for sure.
Follower of Christ
Tech lover, IT Admin, heckin pupper lover and occasionally troll. I hold back feelings or opinions, right or wrong because I dislike conflict.
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
More options
Context
More options
Context
I think after 4 years of absurd pricing for everything and unbuyable homes, the actual silent majority of grillers who don't care about politics is going to vote to make it stop. PA is grillchads at heart even with the goofy billboards and signs on houses.
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
That's literally what my mom said. She's voting Trump because "she has to" for a better economy.
Follower of Christ
Tech lover, IT Admin, heckin pupper lover and occasionally troll. I hold back feelings or opinions, right or wrong because I dislike conflict.
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
There's really no way around it unless I've suddenly become very poor at judging collective human character. Or something drastic changes between now and November. Most people have political stances that they're firm in, but ultimately most people just want to live their lives and not think about any of it aside from the passing familiarity with current events necessary to engage with society as a whole. These prices are insane, the interest rates have completely devastated the ability to buy a house or new vehicle, every aspect of day to day life is in shambles relative to where it should be and where it usually is. Every excuse in the world has been tried - covid, putin's price hike, "the economy is good actually, don't believe your lying eyes" - and while headlines and the Extremely Online will insist that these things are true and cite things to back it up, this has no relevance to normal people.
Everything is fucked for the normals and Kamala has been second in command for the four years of fuckening. Conversely, everything was quite good during orange man's reign. Pet fringe issues (LGBT nonsense, unions, Ukraine, marijuana, etc.) will not play a part in the overwhelming majority of the electorate's choice in a few months when mainline shit is so bad.
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
not reading your substack
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
More options
Context
More options
Context
More options
Context
More options
Context
More options
Context