I don't foresee any meaningful changes. Michigan may go red and NC may go blue but I doubt it.
Let's see yours. Don't bother with the shades. We'll revisit this again in October.
As a reminder, I was off by around 1% in 2020.
Carp map:
Actual result:
They call me Nate Platinum.
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This was the dramaphilic 269-269 electoral college map from 2020 and it's plausible as the actual election map this year. This matches state House delegations except for NC (split), MN (split but will go blue in the election), and AK (which is blue but has 1 house seat).
The 269-269 electoral maps I could come up with have silly outcomes like Wisconsin going blue but Michigan going red, would be curious if there's a plausible dramaphilic map. This is the best I could do but I don't see it as plausible.
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This one is pretty possible. Tied election, and Trump and Kamala must decide the victor by naked mud wrestling
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Cook report has moved Nevada too far for me to think we will ever get a reasonable, actual 269-269 *sips tea*
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