I don't foresee any meaningful changes. Michigan may go red and NC may go blue but I doubt it.
Let's see yours. Don't bother with the shades. We'll revisit this again in October.
As a reminder, I was off by around 1% in 2020.
Carp map:
Actual result:
They call me Nate Platinum.
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The base state of the map they give is interesting since of the undecided states Trump would need only PA to win. I do feel hesitant about marking GA leaning Republican because of what happened in 2020.
Anyways, here's mine. I'm willing to bet AZ will go red because of the border crisis, though I acknowledge that abortion could flip that. Besides betting that 2020 was ultimately an anomaly for GA I really have no idea how the rust belt will vote. As long as AZ and GA flip back to red Trump only needs one of PA, WI, or MI to win.
A more interesting thing to try and predict would be the shakeup in Congress. Allegedly the final straw that forced Joe out was that internal polling suggested they were going to get killed on the downballot if they kept him. Now that he's out I feel like neither house will budge much. GOP keeps the House, Dems keep the Senate and nothing happens for four more years.
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Georgia will be Blue, from Savannah to Calhoun
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