could fluffing rfk blow up in the magatards face?

Pretty much every poll that is used to measure the impact of third-party candidates asks the same two questions. Who between the top two, and then who among those plus RFK/West/Stein/maybe Oliver. Consistently, West+Stein get one or two percent each. And consistently, the outcome doesn't change very much or shifts by a percent or two in either direction. But if you make the wild and crazy assumption that West+Stein mostly attract left-wing voters, you must also conclude that RFK takes more votes from Trump than he does from Biden/Harris.

Now, the Democrats are pretty dumb, but they can mostly bang two rocks together. They can figure this out. And yet they consistently promote messaging that freaks out about RFK's candidacy and have spent money trying to deny him ballot access. Purportedly because it's just so important to beat Donald Trump, even though what they're doing is more likely to actually contribute to their own loss.

Why? Well, pizza, hopefully you can take this as just a little more evidence that the great Democracy In Distress narrative is a giant larp and nobody on the inside seriously believes it. The Democrats consider it a higher priority to prevent the rise of rival parties that could eventually be real contenders versus "stopping Donald Trump", no matter how much they insist they're just oh-so-scared of the big scary orange fascist.