https://old.reddit.com/r/somethingiswrong2024/comments/1hix708/if_less_than_115000_votes_had_switched_in_three/
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(reddit.com)
934 thread views
#327223
earned 648 coins from votes
If Less Than 115,000 Votes Had Switched in Three Battleground States, Harris Would Have Beaten Trump : somethingiswrong2024
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For the numerically-minded, this stuff is always true. You can only do it once all the votes are in, so it's always a fixed data set. Then you can either monte-carlo it or PCA or whatever and find the optimal minima that would have the maximum effect.
It's always an interesting thing, but it is interesting because it's an artefact of statistical analysis of what was, not what could have been. It has no comment on actual voting, only on the voting numbers.
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Someone did it to 1864 United States presidential election. There it was something like 10-20k votes. When in popular vote lincon won 55% to 44%
Ofc this was done to justify McClellan as genius
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