https://thehill.com/policy/international/581013-us-concerned-russia-trying-to-rehash-2014-ukraine-invasion-blinken-says
ITS HAPPENING ukrussaine posts have been happening since NOVEMBER FUCK OFF EVERYONE Russia set to invade Ukraine again 😮😳?
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As the US should've been doing when the paratroopers took that airport in Odessa.
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I'm still pissed we didn't intervene as r-slurred as it would have been. I wanted to fight Russians instead of sand people for a change. Peer adversary conflict is the real deal, no holds barred. Solid chance I'd be dead from airburst artillery or a guided bomb though lol.
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Calling Russia a peer at best is dubious. America has vastly superior conventional forces.
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With the exception of China, it's as close to peer as any adversary nation. I agree about the disparity, but Russia certainly has a local advantage on the mass of forces they can quickly bring to the fight. US strength (especially in armor) in Europe is a shadow of what it was during the Cold War. DEFENDER Europe 20 brought a lot of the current limitations to light, and without REFORGER, bringing significant heavy equipment to Europe would take a costly amount of time. That said, Russia doesn't have the Warsaw Pact anymore, but most NATO allies also lack the munition stores to sustain a conventional war. I'm very confident in the ability of the US to seize control of the air. I'd bet a good deal of money that Russia's vaunted IADS would fail to live up to its claimed capabilities, and their aircraft and a2a weapons are significantly outclassed.
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lol
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I'm glad that I don't gamble
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I only started thinking there was a good chance they'd invade in early Jan 2022, and even then I didn't bet on it. I also continually underestimated the Ukrainians up to the September counteroffensive. I went digging through my Reddit comments from Jan and Feb a couple days ago and had some laughs.
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I don't think anyone expected the sheer scale of Russian incompetence. A good number of analysts said they were a paper tiger for years, but then actually being a flaming paper tiger with severe FAS had to be a shock.
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On top of that, Putin handled the initial invasion in the stupidest, most audacious manner possible. Putin lied to his own Central Bank so they couldn't repatriate their foreign exchange reserves from foreign banks. That's how the US and EU were able to freeze something like 60% of their forex. He kept his own generals in the dark so they couldn't adequately strategize and prepare. They sent in military police during the initial bum rush on Kyev because they thought Ukraine would be another 1956 Hungary situation. He was completely drunk on his own Koolaid.
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I mean if the question is can Russia push into the baltics, sure. But once America mobilized and responded Russia stands no chance of holding a single piece of land outside of nukes.
This isn't even getting into the massive losses they'd take from air strikes before the US even showed up.
Like I'm pretty sure even the Europeans could establish air superiority over Russia.
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