Russia loses last black sea missile ship. - https://www.kyivpost.com/post/34951
Israel threatens to take Lebanon to the stone age. ( I thought they were already there ) - https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/06/27/israel-threatens-to-take-lebanon-back-to-the-stone-age/
Russia sends new citizens to dig trenches. - https://novayagazeta.eu/articles/2024/06/27/over-10000-newly-naturalised-russian-citizens-sent-to-dig-trenches-in-ukraine-en-news
North Korea ready to send troops to Ukraine. - https://www.kyivpost.com/post/34893
Chinese elite salaries capped. - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-06-27/china-s-financial-elite-face-400-000-pay-caps-bonus-clawbacks
Israel cucks the Ultraorthodox jews. Time for them to serve in the military. - https://apnews.com/article/israel-politics-ruling-military-service-orthodox-e2a8359bcea1bd833f71845ee6af780d
China harassing Norway. - https://www.yahoo.com/news/chinese-military-harassed-dutch-warship-070344083.html
My take based on the pattern of events unfolding around the world.
Russia is doing badly in the war. There is no scenario where Russia is winning and also willing to have North Korea send in troops to help it in the war.
The Chinese elite salary cap will bite China in the butt as such systems only work if these elite have no other better opportunities to move to abroad. China is making decisions that force itself to be stuck in the middle income trap. Capitalistic levels of economic growth require money to move freely. The Chinese CCP is disconnected from how to keep growing the nation state at a relentless rate and are going to have their own ideology get in the way of future growth. 400,000 USD pay cap is too low. You generally want to go after billionaires then the millionaires then below that range.
Long run impact:
Russia and China are both on the losing end this decade if both of them are making these kinds of decisions to run their nation states and wars. This leaves India as the next global player.
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China is in a prime position to actually compete with the West on consumer electronics development rather than just production.
And they're wasting their resources on building a green water navy and punishing CEOs
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Many times, mindset is what holds success back.
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tbf the good chips are in taiwan which would be a problem for high end consumer electronics development
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Exactly my first thought. In 2006 they had the strategy of bombing all over Lebanon to knock out the power for the Sunnis and Christians, imagining that they would then somehow go south and fight Hezbollah and win the war for them. It was a completely r-slurred strategy back then for a number of reasons and didn't work at all, but they're gonna try it again. It's ever more r-slurred now because there's already only a few hours of power anywhere in Lebanon. Most of the power in the country is from little portable generators owned by individual people.
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I agree with what you said.
I am more fascinated by the China trying to punish capitalism while being dependent on capitalism bit though. Everybody including the Chinese forget that a communist society is supposed to evolve as an end product of capitalistic society. Similar to how much more socialist European societies appear to be.
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Pleeaase
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