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  • whyareyou : pigeons are filthy and need to die

Pigeons intuitively solve the Monty Hall problem faster than humans do :marseybigbrain:

https://www.livescience.com/6150-pigeons-beat-humans-solving-monty-hall-problem.html
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I've read the explanation of that problem dozens of times and I get the math behind it but it just doesn't register with me mentally :#marseypeanutbrain:

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Maybe I was just too r-slurred that my brain looped around or I'm just a fricking genius but when I first heard about the problem in 6th grade or whatever I genuinely could not understand why people struggled with the problem. the wrong answer made no sense to me at all :marseywhirlyhat:

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mythbusters had a intuitive example. imagine there's 100 doors, 99 have goats, 1 has a cash prize. you pick one at random, (what are the chances you picked the right one on your first try?), then host reveals 98 doors have goats behind them, which leaves two doors. He knows which one has the cash so it just leaves your initial choice and the cash. if you feel confident about your first choice (should you?) you can stay. if you feel like you probably made a mistake on your first try, you should switch. 99% of the time you picked wrong the first time and the host left the cash behind the other door. 1% of the time you picked right the first time and shouldn't switch. you should probably switch.

with 3 doors, you picked wrong at first with probability 2/3 so you should switch when given the chance.

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>99% of the time you picked wrong the first time and the host left the cash behind the other door.

>with 3 doors, you picked wrong at first with probability 2/3 so you should switch when given the chance.

Oh man, I think I actually do get it now. Perhaps the reason this is so confusing to me (and others) is that in my mind the question of "should you switch doors?" translates into "now you have two doors left, do you stay (i.e. pick door 1) or switch (i.e. pick door 2)?" as if you're basically starting a new round with no prior knowledge and only two doors to choose.

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what are the chances you picked the right one on your first try?

Well???? What is it????

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100%, i sucked off the producer the before the show and she told me which one has the cash

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>sucked off

>she

:#marseyhmmhips:

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:#marseywink:

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Big butt nipples?

God darn neighbor :#shyyt:

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:carptrans#flag:

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Think of it like a deck of cards, and you have to find the 7 of clubs to win. So you pick a card, and then they show you 50 of the remaining 51 cards. Do you keep the card you already chose or do you decide to switch based on the new information?

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I don't know :marseyaliencrying:

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https://montyhall.io/

You will learn :abusivewife:

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I just clicked "stay" on the fwirst game I played and won.

Where's ywour Gwod nyow?

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Gwod stayws iwn heavwen becauwwse he two wiwves in feaw of what hew's cweated

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The host will never open your door.

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:#mariogoatse:

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>marsey

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