I think they might be serious this time.
Where will we be in two weeks?
Continued Israeli raids but nothing major, some more rockets, total snorefest - 6,000 total betted - WINNER!
Ongoing, drawn out fighting with Hamas, other fronts completely cold - 3,600 total betted
Ongoing, drawn out fighting with Hamas, skirmishes elsewhere but nothing major - 17,800 total betted
Ongoing, drawn out fighting with Hamas, other fronts open - 4,400 total betted
Hamas effectively destroyed, Hezbollah pussied out, nothing of note from Syria, total Israeli victory - 11,400 total betted
Hamas effectively destroyed, still fighting with Hezbollah, Syria either way - 2,400 total betted
Hamas effectively destroyed, Hezbollah on the ropes, Syria either way - 1,200 total betted
All-out war between at least three of the following: Israel, Iran, Syria, Lebanon, Jordan, Egypt - 1,800 total betted
Nuclear Option: if there is a single nuclear explosion in the region within two weeks, this wins by default and I will mint a mushroom cloud badge for people who got it right - 18,400 total betted
Israel beaten, Palestine freed! - 400 total betted
WORLD WAR III (specifications tbd but I'll know it when I see it) - 800 total betted
Betting is now closed.
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Already voted but what is the criteria for "other fronts open"?
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Infantry combat against another state; not just Hezbollah
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Lebanese Army against Israel is almost a non starter so let's go Syria, I guess.
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