The liberal movement has reached its limits.

DEI projects are failing left and right. Niche websites also no longer care about the trans movement as something worth pushing further. Polyamory failed at becoming common place. The value of women in the sexual market place has consistently fallen down and the world is beginning to backtrack on the additional rights and freedoms given to women in society, such as believe all women.

In the western world you are seeing a rise in support for right wing parties, and left wing parties are only alive due to right wing parties being anti-abortion in the US, and being declared as evil for decades in European societies.

The one place liberalization is winning is in the middle east where they are making progress on things such as letting women drive and letting women out of the house without a male guardian. In the current decade liberalization has shifted from taking the form of accelerating in the west, to moving forward the most backwards societies in the world. Modern day liberalization has moved from growing vertically to growing horizontally, with the moderate version ( Turkish level liberal values ) spreading across the world.

Even California, the most liberal state in the US, has slowed down in terms of passing more extreme social liberal policies at the state level. We have reached the point in global values and ideals where global value chains are being rectified to be more similar to one another. Meanwhile, Texas, the more rightwing neighbor of California, is seeing far higher population growth rate than California.

Today, the biggest outliers in terms of liberal values are no longer the middle east, but instead places like Afghanistan and Pakistan. Nation states too poor to have anything beyond their local culture to hold on to.

Afghanistan today is well on its way to becoming the poorest and most backwards part of the world, and it is this Afghanistan-Pakistan region of the world, where we can expect the most backwards societies of the world to persist over time.

In Japan we see an increase in liberalization in the form of improved work hours. In South Korea we see a complete failure of liberal values as the nation state falls off a demographic cliff. In China we see increased liberalization of values among the youth as they find out that their lives could be lived easier than they are today, knowledge learned through interactions with western media. In India, a hybrid form of liberalization occurs in line with the liberalization seen historically in east Asia.

All these trends reflect a slow liberalization in the non-western developed world, closing the gap between them and the western world in terms of values, rather than any further liberalization of western societies.

For most of the developed world, it appears to be the case that instead of seeing further leftwards shift in society, we will instead see a further rightwards shift along with fewer work hours in the day. That is the only place where society "progresses". Fewer working hours for the citizens.

As of now the shortest working hours are to be found in Germany, where the average German is working around 3.6 hours per day across the year 2021

The most successful form of liberalization in the world today thus takes the form of reduced work hours across the world, and spread of European culture ( in the form of migration policy, being part of the European Union, and more open trade markets ) across greater geographical area.

Ukraine siding with the west as a result of the Ukraine - Russia war has been one of the biggest successes of the liberal world order in the 2020s. Guaranteeing that societies across Europe will be further homogenized along the lines of Western European values.

Another rising challenge to liberal world values is that there are now multiple nation states that are in a state of high economic development without having strong liberal values which opens up the possibility of western styled liberal values not being necessary to becoming a developed economy. For example - China without embracing western liberal values in now the second biggest economy in the world. Turkey, without embracing western liberal values fully is still able to continue growing year on year. Singapore, without fully embracing the western liberal world order, is still one of the highest GDP per capita nation states in the world. Saudi Arabia, without embracing fully the western liberal world order, is still as rich as any other developed economy on a per capita basis.

What we are seeing is that globally conservative nation states are finding out that they have the option to keep growing as nation states and prospering internally even while only being required to embrace more conservative/ more moderate liberal values. For the non-western world order, this is great motivation to not liberalize, as it allows them to retain their own culture while still growing year on year, which is more preferred than to grow on foreign values by the citizens of these nations.

As of now, the primary example of this non-liberal value growing nation is China, which tries to be as anti-capitalism as possible, only giving in to another capitalistic value to continue to grow economically as it reaches the limits of economic growth with conservative systems. In this manner, China acts as an example of the least quantity of liberalization required to keep growing as a nation state.

Conclusion:

Liberalization is slowing down in the developed western world. Nobody cares strongly about pushing trans rights or DEI anymore. The highest levels of liberalization are taking place in the form of lowering work hours globally, expansion of the EU, and the liberalization of the most conservative societies in the world. There are multiple non-westernized nation states that are successfully growing year on year and this acts as incentive for non-western nation states to not westernize as they now have the option of both keeping their values and growing further at the same time. China is the primary example of this, and any nation state that is poorer than China on a per capita basis can follow China's blueprint instead of liberalizing until it is as rich as China on a per capita basis.

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