2024 YR4 is an asteroid recently discovered by scientists in Chile (it's not the flying Tesla "asteroid", this one is legit). It is an "Apollo-type" near-Earth object that crosses our planet's orbit.
This week, scientists learned it had a 1.2%-1.6% chance of hitting Earth on 22 December 2032.
At a diameter of between 40 and 100 metres (130 and 330ย ft), an impact with the ground could release approximately 8 megatons of destructive energy.
For reference, that is 533 times the bomb at Hiroshima and more than double the maximum yield of a US Navy Trident II ICMB.
All this places 2024 YR4 at a troubling 3 (out of 10) on the Torino Scale of impact hazards. It is the only non-0 threat, and the second highest ever recorded, exceeded only briefly in 2004 by 99942 Apophis before closer observations revealed that asteroid would not hit Earth.
So that is the bad news. Ready for the good news?
Calculations by NASA and the ESA show that 2024 YR4's "risk corridor" (where it would hit) doesn't pose a threat to anywhere important.
Other sources:
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
Hope it hits Israel
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
Look at that line, it goes through Yemen
Sometimes G-d punishes His Chosen People, but sometimes He punishes their enemies
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
More options
Context
Dramatards can't even read a red line on a map
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
The map was made by them
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
What about the meteorite?
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
Those are from space
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
More options
Context
Where their lasers are? Suspicious...
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
More options
Context
Space jews?
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
More options
Context
More options
Context
More options
Context
More options
Context
More options
Context
Calculations expect it will miss the Promised Land by more than 1,000km (625mi).
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
So you are saying there's a chance
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
More options
Context
More options
Context
It will hit the gaza strip
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
Same thing by 2032
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
More options
Context
Jump in the discussion.
No email address required.
More options
Context
More options
Context
More options
Context