2024 YR4 is an asteroid recently discovered by scientists in Chile (it's not the flying Tesla "asteroid", this one is legit). It is an "Apollo-type" near-Earth object that crosses our planet's orbit.
This week, scientists learned it had a 1.2%-1.6% chance of hitting Earth on 22 December 2032.
At a diameter of between 40 and 100 metres (130 and 330Β ft), an impact with the ground could release approximately 8 megatons of destructive energy.
For reference, that is 533 times the bomb at Hiroshima and more than double the maximum yield of a US Navy Trident II ICMB.
All this places 2024 YR4 at a troubling 3 (out of 10) on the Torino Scale of impact hazards. It is the only non-0 threat, and the second highest ever recorded, exceeded only briefly in 2004 by 99942 Apophis before closer observations revealed that asteroid would not hit Earth.
So that is the bad news. Ready for the good news?
Calculations by NASA and the ESA show that 2024 YR4's "risk corridor" (where it would hit) doesn't pose a threat to anywhere important.
Other sources:
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Please let it hit india
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But where will the survivors go?
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What survivors?
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Cockroaches always find a way to survive
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The great states of China and Russia are surely lacking skilled software engineers and intelligent IT personnel so they would be happy to provide them refuge.
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China, Pakistan, and other parts of SE Asia.
(That is to say, they will not be allowed to leave).
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How can I blame climate change
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If we had more smog it would burn up faster
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There is a Norwegian tv miniseries on Netflix called La Palma, about a volcanic eruption causing half of the titular island to collapse into the ocean, triggering a megatsunami.
I'm not kidding, the dialogue partially blames climate change for the impending disaster.
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Without climate change, earth wouldnt be as hot, so the magma inside earth wouldnt be as hot either and the volcano wouldnt erupt. Its science, chud π
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It will be in 2032 though. Since we have time, I propose evacuating everyone from india, africa, the middle east and south america and bringing them to europe as soon as possible
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I hope it hits northern Brazil
Wait, all of the macacos on rDrama are the rich ones from the south.
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Your roll (1-1000): 182
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Close one
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You almost killed us there!
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please
lort let it hit san fran
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I better stockpile some cocaine. Just in case.
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Wasn't one of Ed Teller's last suggestions to the scientific community and the US military (after the Cold War ended) to develop a massive nuke to launch at stuff like this before it reaches earth?
If this one is only 100m wide we could probably actually do that with existing rocket tech and existing nukes if we started planning now
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you don't need to blow it up, just knock it off course. even a laser would do it
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Hope it hits Israel
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Dramatards can't even read a red line on a map
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The map was made by them
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What about the meteorite?
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Those are from space
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Where their lasers are? Suspicious...
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Space jews?
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Calculations expect it will miss the Promised Land by more than 1,000km (625mi).
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So you are saying there's a chance
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It will hit the gaza strip
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Same thing by 2032
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Look at that line, it goes through Yemen
Sometimes G-d punishes His Chosen People, but sometimes He punishes their enemies
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Snapshots:
https://brobible.com/culture/article/nasa-asteroid-2024-yr4-hit-earth-2032/:
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Torino Scale:
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https://www.esa.int/Space_Safety/Planetary_Defence/ESA_actively_monitoring_near-Earth_asteroid_2024_YR4:
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archive.org
archive.ph (click to archive)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_YR4:
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People talk about glassing an area by dropping nuclear bombs on an area. A meteor's impact would be a different reaction, I imagine, but if it hit somewhere like the Sahara, would we suddenly have a load of space glass?
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Maybe if it goes a liiiitle bit more north, it will hit the panama canal straight on
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Oh good I was worried we might be in trouble
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Stopped reading
this isn't recent
this has been news for over a decade
i guess the difference is that there's some new data about it
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2024 YR4 was only discovered on 27 December 2024.
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He's posting from the future
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i must be thinking of a different asteroid that was to hit in 2032 also i s*x your mother
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