The US question will only be answered via a constitutional convention but things haven't got bad enough to pull that trigger yet.

Executive power is significantly weaker than most presidents claim but it requires Congress to hold them in check. Judicial branch is supposed to exist to resolve conflicts between executive and Congress rather than third parties trying to stop them being cucked. Constitution didn't consider that Congress would become so weak and ineffective that the balance of powers would cease to function.

We were also supposed to have a convention every ~generation to realign the constitution with current needs, the law is for the living as Jefferson & Madison considered it. Instead we have had hundreds of years of inventing meanings for words to justify doing things, people never consider that allowing something they think is good will allow something they think is bad.

The D president who wins in 2028 will use the power grab Trump has done to try and construct a progressive utopia (which will obviously fail spectacularly because progressives are as r-slurred as conservatives, feelz/realz for all of them) that will further cause strife and frick with normal people who just want to live.

My guess is the shit is going to get bad enough middle of next decade to trigger a convention or national divorce. The gibs for retirees will reach the point at which they have to stop pretending it's sustainable by 2031 when mandatory crosses the 100% federal revenue mark (perhaps sooner depending on the new tax cuts), R won't agree to cuts or tax increases and D won't agree to cuts or tax increases that would be meaningful.

Either the US fragments in to smaller countries or there is a significant weakening of the federal government with sub national groups taking over many of the functions. More federation than republic if it survives.

Something also to consider is that we are pretty exposed via our debt internationally already. Japan, China and the UK hold enough of our debt that they could trigger a recession at will just by not renewing their holdings. Even with the fed empowered as they are it's not clear at all to me they could cushion this without causing a massive inflationary response, QE has worked because it's confined to the base where that would absolutely act on supply.

Also just for shits and giggles the current law projection of debt (so not accounting for debt growth acceleration like it has been for decades) by 2035 is $52t. Interest on that debt will be nearly $2t a year, for reference the fed were unable to act as aggressively as they wanted in a fairly minor period of inflation because it would cause funding issues due the federal government so this is just going to continue to restrict the ability of monetary policy to work. A 16% rate (the peak under Vokler) quadruples interest cost.

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