https://old.reddit.com/r/nottheonion/comments/1j6y374/invading_canada_would_spark_guerrilla_fight/
In actuality, this is how the invasion of Leafland would go on Day 1
>95% of Canadian military surrenders at the first show of force (it's not like they had gas or enough working vehicles to fight back anyways)
>Chinese secret police in Vancouver begin rounding up and slaughtering suspected dissidents to Chinese rule while the CBC runs news stories about how Xi is the only protector of Canadians worth trusting
>Brampton Ontario is declared a part of Punjab by Modi
>Various Sikh, Hindu nationalist and Pakistani factions armed with long sticks take to the streets and begin fighting each other while screaming unintelligible insults in broken English
>Trudeau flees to Klaus Schwabs house for a "Scheduled Climate and Racial Justice Summit"
>PSA ships 200 pallets of complete AR-15s to Alberta, support for American occupation reaches 97%
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I don't know about refining capacity, but Canada is a net exporter of petroleum to the US.
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Petroleum or crude? A lot of the refineries in Canada can't process the crude from the oil sands so they ship it the US
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Leaf incompetence is such that they could have a Coast Guard vessel in the Great lakes struggle to get drinking water
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